What Happens If Broncos Win Today: The Path To The AFC Championship Explained

What Happens If Broncos Win Today: The Path To The AFC Championship Explained

The energy in Denver right now is basically a fever dream. It’s Saturday, January 17, 2026, and after a decade-long drought of home playoff games, Empower Field at Mile High is finally "bumping" again. We’re deep into the Divisional Round, and the Denver Broncos—the AFC's No. 1 seed—are currently locked in a heavyweight battle with Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills.

Honestly, if you told a Broncos fan three years ago that Bo Nix would be leading a 14-3 squad into a home playoff game as the conference favorite, they might have asked you to check the altitude. But here we are. Sean Payton’s "Head West" rallying cry has the team one win away from a massive milestone.

But let's talk brass tacks. You're likely wondering about the bracket. If the clock hits zero and Denver is on top, the implications for the city, the franchise, and the NFL playoff bracket are huge.

What Happens If Broncos Win Today?

If the Broncos beat the Buffalo Bills today, the most immediate and exciting consequence is that Denver officially clinches a spot in the AFC Championship Game. There’s no "wait and see" for home-field advantage either. Because the Broncos secured the No. 1 seed during the regular season, a win today guarantees they will host the AFC Championship at Mile High next weekend, Sunday, January 25.

Think about that for a second. The last time Denver hosted a conference title game was January 2016, when Peyton Manning outlasted Tom Brady.

Who would they play next?

The opponent isn't set in stone yet. That depends on the outcome of tomorrow's game between the No. 2 New England Patriots and the No. 5 Houston Texans.

  • If New England wins, the Patriots come to Denver.
  • If Houston pulls the upset, the Texans will fly to the Mile High City.

Either way, the road to Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara officially runs through Colorado.

The Bo Nix Factor and Sean Payton’s Masterclass

It's kinda wild to see how far this offense has come. Bo Nix isn't just "managing" games; he led the NFL with seven game-winning drives this season. He’s been clinical. While the Bills' Josh Allen is known for the "second-act" plays—those scrambles where he creates magic out of nothing—Nix has been the king of the high-leverage moment.

Payton has been obsessed with the red zone lately. He mentioned in his Thursday presser that he was looking at two years' worth of third-down data in the red zone to prep for this. That's the level of detail we're talking about. If Denver wins today, it’ll likely be because Nix was efficient inside the 20 and didn't turn the ball over against a Buffalo defense that lives for interceptions.

Then there’s the defense. Vance Joseph has this unit playing like a top-five squad. They allow just 278.2 yards per game. To beat Buffalo, they have to contain James Cook, who gashed them in last year's Wild Card loss. A win today would be a massive "revenge" statement after that 31-7 blowout in Buffalo last January.

Impact on the Denver Community and Economy

A win today isn't just about football. It’s a massive business boost for the city.

Hosting the AFC Championship Game next week would bring in tens of millions of dollars in revenue for local hotels, bars, and restaurants. We're talking about a city that hasn't seen this kind of post-season "wealth" in ten years. The "Orange Crush" vibes are back, and the merchandise sales alone are likely breaking records.

Looking Toward Super Bowl LX

If the Broncos win today, they are exactly 120 minutes of football away from a world championship.

The Super Bowl this year is being held at Levi’s Stadium. Ironically, that’s where the Broncos won Super Bowl 50. Payton has been using that "Head West" theme all year to keep the team focused on returning to the site of their last trophy.

🔗 Read more: Real Sociedad vs Barca: Why Reale Arena is the Scariest Trip in La Liga

Why this win matters more than others:

  1. The Drought is Over: It proves the 14-3 regular season wasn't a fluke based on a "soft schedule."
  2. Bo Nix's Legacy: It cements Nix as the legitimate franchise QB after years of the "quarterback carousel."
  3. Home Field: It ensures the AFC Championship isn't played in a loud dome or a freezing Foxborough; it stays in the thin air of Denver.

What Fans Should Do Next

If you're watching the game or tracking the score, keep an eye on the fourth-quarter point differential. Both these teams are top-three in the league for scoring late. If the Broncos win, here is your immediate checklist:

  • Check Ticket Portals Immediately: Tickets for the AFC Championship Game will go on sale almost instantly after a win. Expect prices to be astronomical, but the atmosphere will be historic.
  • Watch the Patriots vs. Texans Game: Tomorrow at 3:00 p.m. ET (on ABC/ESPN), you’ll find out exactly who Denver is hosting.
  • Gear Up: If you haven't grabbed your Divisional Round or "Conference Bound" gear, local shops in Denver like the team store at the stadium will be flooded.

Basically, a win today turns Denver from a "team with a good season" into the "team to beat" for the Lombardi Trophy. The stakes couldn't be higher.


Actionable Insights for Broncos Country:

  • Monitor the Injury Report: If Denver wins, watch for updates on Bo Nix’s health, as he’s been dealing with minor nagging issues.
  • Travel Logistics: If you’re planning to fly in for the AFC Championship, book your flights to DIA tonight. Prices will spike 30-50% by tomorrow morning.
  • Official Announcements: Follow the official Denver Broncos social channels for the exact kickoff time and ticket release windows for next Sunday.