Buying Walmart Stock: Why Most People Get the Retail Giant Wrong

Buying Walmart Stock: Why Most People Get the Retail Giant Wrong

You've probably walked into a Walmart more times than you can count. It’s that familiar, blue-vested behemoth that somehow manages to sell everything from organic kale to motor oil under one roof. But when you think about whether you should buy stock in Walmart, your brain might go straight to "boring." It’s an old-school retailer. It’s huge. It’s slow, right?

Wrong.

Actually, it's one of the most aggressive tech plays hiding in plain sight. If you’re looking at WMT (the ticker symbol on the New York Stock Exchange) and seeing just a grocery store, you’re missing the forest for the trees. The company has spent billions—literally billions—to make sure it doesn't get "Amazoned" into extinction. And honestly, it’s working. They aren't just selling cans of beans anymore; they’re selling advertising, data, and delivery subscriptions.

Is it actually a good time to buy stock in Walmart?

Timing the market is a fool's errand, but understanding the value proposition is different. Walmart isn't a penny stock. It’s a "Blue Chip" dividend payer. This means it’s generally stable, but that stability comes with a price—it's rarely "cheap" by traditional valuation metrics.

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Investors often look at the P/E ratio (Price-to-Earnings). Historically, Walmart trades at a premium compared to other retailers because of its massive moat. You can’t just go out and build a logistics network that reaches 90% of the U.S. population within ten miles. That footprint is their secret weapon. When you buy a share, you're buying a piece of that physical real estate and a massive digital ecosystem that is finally starting to scale.

Let’s talk about the 2024 stock split. Walmart did a 3-for-1 split back in February 2024. Why? Because the price per share was getting so high that it was hard for their own employees to buy in through their associate stock purchase plan. Splits don't actually change the value of the company—think of it like cutting a pizza into 12 slices instead of 4—but it makes the stock much more accessible for the average person.

If you want to buy stock in Walmart, you have to decide if you're looking for a "safe haven" or a growth engine. Remarkably, it's becoming a bit of both. During the 2022 and 2023 inflationary spikes, Walmart actually gained market share. Why? Because when eggs cost six dollars a dozen at the fancy grocer, even the wealthy start shopping at Walmart. They call it "trade-down" traffic. It’s a recession-resistant model.

The stuff nobody talks about: Beyond the aisles

Retail is a low-margin business. You buy a shirt for five dollars and sell it for seven. After you pay the cashier, the electricity bill, and the trucker, you're left with pennies. That’s why the "new" Walmart is so interesting.

Walmart Connect is their advertising arm. Think about it. When you search for "paper towels" on the Walmart app, brands pay to be the first result. This is high-margin revenue. It’s almost pure profit. In recent quarters, their global advertising business has grown by double digits. This is the same playbook Amazon used to turn a retail site into a profit machine.

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Then there's the membership. Walmart+. It's their answer to Amazon Prime. By locking customers into an ecosystem with free shipping and gas discounts, they ensure that the "buy stock in Walmart" thesis isn't just about foot traffic—it's about recurring, predictable revenue. Data from firms like Consumer Intelligence Research Partners (CIRP) suggests that once someone joins a program like this, their annual spend with the retailer skyrockets.

How to actually pull the trigger and buy

So, how do you do it? You don't need a fancy broker in a suit.

Most people use apps like Robinhood, Fidelity, or Charles Schwab. You search for WMT. You decide how many shares you want. Or, if you don't have enough for a full share, many brokers allow "fractional shares." You can literally put five dollars into Walmart if you want.

  1. Open a Brokerage Account: You'll need your Social Security number and some basic bank info.
  2. Fund the Account: Transfer the cash you're willing to invest.
  3. Research the Price: Check the "Ask" price.
  4. Place the Order: You can use a "Market Order" to buy it immediately at the current price, or a "Limit Order" to say "I only want to buy if it hits $X price."

One thing to keep in mind: Dividends. Walmart is a "Dividend Aristocrat." They have increased their dividend for over 50 consecutive years. When you own the stock, the company literally sends you a small check every quarter just for holding it. Many investors use a DRIP (Dividend Reinvestment Plan) to automatically use that cash to buy more shares. Over 20 or 30 years, that compounding effect is how people build actual wealth. It’s not flashy. It won’t make you a millionaire overnight. But it’s consistent.

The risks (because nothing is a sure thing)

It would be irresponsible to say this is a "guaranteed" win. It isn't.

Walmart faces massive pressure from labor costs. When you have 2.1 million employees, a one-dollar raise in the minimum wage costs the company billions. Then there’s the international struggle. They’ve done well in Mexico (Walmex), but they’ve struggled in other markets. They famously retreated from Germany years ago, and their push into India through Flipkart is a high-stakes, expensive gamble that hasn't fully paid off yet in terms of bottom-line profit.

Also, the valuation can get stretched. If the stock is trading at 30 times earnings and growth slows down to 3%, the stock price is going to drop. It’s just math. You have to be okay with the price wiggling around.

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Specific steps for the serious investor

If you're moving beyond the "I think I'll buy some" phase and getting serious, you need to look at the quarterly earnings reports. Don't just read the headlines. Look at "Same-Store Sales." This tells you if the stores they already have are growing, or if they're just growing because they're opening new ones. Look at "E-commerce Growth." If that number stalls, the "Walmart is a tech company" narrative dies.

I've seen a lot of people make the mistake of buying right before an earnings announcement. That’s basically gambling. The stock could jump 5% or drop 8% based on a single sentence from the CEO. A more "human" way to do it is Dollar Cost Averaging. Put in a little bit every month regardless of the price.

Actionable Next Steps:

  • Check your current portfolio: If you own an S&P 500 index fund (like VOO or SPY), you already own a lot of Walmart. Make sure you aren't over-leveraged in one sector.
  • Evaluate your "Why": Are you buying for the 1.3% - 1.5% dividend yield, or do you believe they will beat Amazon in the delivery wars?
  • Set a "Buy Zone": Look at the 52-week moving average. If the stock is way above its historical trend, maybe wait for a "pullback" (a fancy word for a dip).
  • Look at the competition: Compare WMT to Costco (COST) and Target (TGT). Target is often cheaper but more volatile. Costco is more expensive but has insane customer loyalty. Walmart is the middle ground—the king of scale.
  • Verify the Dividend: Ensure you know the "Ex-Dividend Date." You must own the stock before this date to get the next payout.

Ultimately, buying stock in Walmart is a bet on the American consumer. As long as people need milk, diapers, and affordable TVs, this company has a reason to exist. It’s a defensive play with an offensive strategy. Just don't expect it to move like a tech startup; it’s a giant, and giants move with heavy, deliberate steps.