It feels like every time you turn on the news lately, the "I-word" is flying around again. Honestly, it’s like a recurring dream—or nightmare, depending on who you voted for. We’ve been here before. Twice. But 2026 is a whole different animal than 2019 or 2021. If you're wondering will congress impeach trump again, the answer isn't a simple yes or no. It's a "maybe, but let's look at the math."
Right now, Washington is a pressure cooker. We’ve got new articles of impeachment floating around the House, specifically H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 537. Democrats like Shri Thanedar and April McClain Delaney are leading the charge, citing everything from executive overreach in Venezuela to the dismantling of federal agencies. But here’s the kicker: wanting to impeach and actually having the votes to do it are two very different things.
The Reality of the 119th Congress
To understand if this is going anywhere, you have to look at who's actually sitting in those leather chairs on Capitol Hill.
As of early 2026, the Republicans hold the keys. They have a slim but functional majority in the House of Representatives—roughly 218 to 213. In the Senate, the GOP has a more comfortable lead with 53 seats.
Politics is a numbers game. To impeach a president, you need a simple majority in the House. Since Republicans control the House, they also control the "on" switch for any impeachment inquiry. Unless a handful of Republicans decide to break ranks—which, let’s be real, is about as likely as a snowstorm in Miami in July—those Democratic resolutions are mostly staying in the Judiciary Committee's "maybe someday" pile.
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What are the actual charges this time?
It's not just one thing. It's a pile-on. Critics are pointing at:
- The Venezuela Situation: Recent military actions without a formal declaration of war have sparked massive "usurpation of power" allegations.
- DHS and ICE: There's a massive row over how the Department of Homeland Security is being run, with some calling the current enforcement tactics "nuclear-grade corruption."
- The Travel Bans: New, expanded travel restrictions that took effect on January 1, 2026, have civil rights groups and several lawmakers screaming "unconstitutional."
Why This Time is Different (And Why It’s Not)
In his first term, the impeachments felt like a legalistic battle over transcripts and phone calls. This time, it feels more like a war over the very structure of the government. You’ve got Secretary Kristi Noem facing her own impeachment threats, and the President himself being accused of "illegally dismantling" agencies.
But here is the thing most people miss: impeachment is a political process, not a criminal one. The Constitution says a President can be removed for "Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors." But "high crimes" basically means whatever the House says it means at that moment.
If you're asking will congress impeach trump, you're really asking if the political cost of not impeaching becomes higher than the cost of doing it. For Republicans, that cost is currently zero. Their base is largely on board with the "America First" agenda, and they view these impeachment attempts as just more "lawfare" from the opposition.
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The Senate Roadblock
Even if, by some miracle, the House did pass articles of impeachment, they’d hit a brick wall in the Senate. You need 67 votes to convict and remove a president. Democrats and the two independents who caucus with them only have 47 votes.
They aren't even close. They would need 20 Republicans to flip. In the current hyper-partisan climate, that’s not just a tall order—it’s impossible.
What to Watch For in the Coming Months
The 2026 midterms are the real shadow over this whole conversation. Every member of the House is up for re-election. If Democrats think they can use the threat of impeachment to fire up their voters and take back the House in November, they’ll keep pushing these resolutions.
On the flip side, Trump is already using the impeachment talk as a fundraising tool. He's framing it as the "Deep State" trying to stop his second-term agenda.
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Actionable Insights for the Informed Citizen
If you want to stay ahead of the curve on this, don't just watch the headlines. Watch these three things:
- The House Judiciary Committee: Watch Chairman Jim Jordan. As long as he’s in charge, no impeachment resolution against Trump is getting a floor vote. If there's ever a "discharge petition" (a way to force a vote), that's when you should pay attention.
- Special Election Results: If Republicans start losing "safe" seats in special elections, they might start distancing themselves from the White House. This is the only way the "math" changes.
- The War Powers Resolution: Keep an eye on Rep. Ilhan Omar’s efforts regarding military hostilities. This is a "quieter" legislative path that could lead to more serious legal challenges for the administration.
Basically, the "will they or won't they" saga is going to continue for the foreseeable future. While the legal arguments for impeachment are being drafted in Democratic offices, the political reality is that as long as the GOP holds the majority, an actual impeachment is stuck in neutral. It’s less of a legal trial and more of a 2026 campaign strategy at this point.
If you’re tracking this, keep your eyes on the House floor proceedings and the 2026 primary schedules. That's where the real movement happens, far away from the TV cameras and the shouting matches. Stay skeptical of the "breaking news" banners—the Constitution is slow, and the math in the 119th Congress is even slower.