Why the Celtics winning the championship was the most predictable surprise in NBA history

Why the Celtics winning the championship was the most predictable surprise in NBA history

Banner 18. Finally.

It took years of heartbreak, trade rumors that almost broke the internet, and a whole lot of "are they actually tough enough?" talk, but the Boston Celtics winning the championship in 2024 wasn't just a moment. It was an inevitability. If you look at the way Brad Stevens built this roster, it’s basically a masterclass in modern team construction. They didn't just win; they dismantled the competition.

Honestly, the narrative around Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown was getting pretty exhausting before this run. Everyone wanted to split them up. "They play the same position," they said. "There's only one ball," they shouted. Well, when the confetti fell at the TD Garden after Game 5 against the Mavericks, all that noise just... stopped.

The Celtics winning the championship proved that patience actually exists in a league that usually has the attention span of a toddler.

How the 2024 roster became a defensive nightmare

You can't talk about this title without talking about the trades. Marcus Smart was the heart and soul of Boston for a decade, and trading him felt like a gut punch to the city. But getting Kristaps Porzingis? That changed everything. Then, somehow, the Milwaukee Bucks basically handed them Jrue Holiday on a silver platter because they wanted Damian Lillard.

It was a heist. Plain and simple.

Think about the defensive versatility. Most teams have one or two "lockdown" guys. The Celtics had five. You had Jrue Holiday picking up full court, Derrick White chasing guards through a million screens, and Jaylen Brown taking the toughest individual assignment every single night. Brown’s defensive leap was probably the biggest factor in him winning Finals MVP. He didn't just score; he erased people.

The math was also just better for Boston. They shot more threes than almost anyone, and because they had five shooters on the floor at all times, the spacing was a literal nightmare for guys like Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving. You can't double-team Tatum when Porzingis is standing at the logo and Derrick White is shooting 40% from the corner. It's math. Cold, hard, "we have more talent than you" math.

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The Joe Mazzulla factor

People made fun of Joe Mazzulla early on. The guy watches The Town four times a week, stares at people without blinking, and talks about "the mathematical advantage" like he's a Wall Street quant rather than a basketball coach. But he was right.

His obsession with the three-point volume and "empty corner" sets turned the Celtics into an offensive juggernaut that could survive cold stretches because their defense was so consistently suffocating. He didn't care about the optics. He cared about the efficiency.

The path of least resistance? Not exactly.

There’s this weird thing people do where they try to put an asterisk on the Celtics winning the championship because of injuries. "Oh, Jimmy Butler was out." "Oh, Tyrese Haliburton got hurt." Look, you can only play who is in front of you.

The 2024 Celtics finished the regular season with 64 wins. Their net rating was historically high—ranking among the greatest teams of all time like the '96 Bulls or the '17 Warriors. When you're that much better than the rest of the league, you make the playoffs look easy. It wasn't that the East was weak; it's that Boston was a buzzsaw.

Jaylen Brown’s performance in the Finals was the ultimate "shut up" move. For years, people clowned his left hand. They clowned his supermax contract. But when the lights were brightest, he was the most consistent player on the floor. He averaged 20.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.0 assists in the Finals while guarding the best player on the other side. That’s elite. That's why he's got the trophy.

Tatum's evolution into a playmaker

Jayson Tatum didn't shoot the ball particularly well in the Finals. In the past, that would have sunk the Celtics. But the 2024 version of Tatum was different. He realized he didn't need to score 40 to win. He grabbed 11 rebounds a game. He threw cross-court dimes that looked like something out of Larry Bird’s highlight reel.

He grew up.

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By the time Game 5 rolled around, and he dropped 31 points and 11 assists to close out the Mavs, it was clear he had reached that "Apex Predator" level where he could impact the game even when his jumper was broken.

Why this title feels different for Boston

Boston fans are spoiled. Let's be real. Between the Patriots, Red Sox, Bruins, and the '08 Celtics, the city has seen a lot of parades. But this one felt like a long time coming because this specific core had failed so many times.

  • 2020: Lost in the Bubble East Finals.
  • 2022: Up 2-1 on the Warriors in the Finals and collapsed.
  • 2023: Lost Game 7 at home to an 8th-seed Heat team.

Those scars matter. When you see Al Horford—at 38 years old—finally lifting that trophy, you realize how much work went into this. Horford played 186 playoff games before winning a ring. That's the most in NBA history. Seeing him finally get his moment was probably the highlight for most Celtics fans, even more than Tatum or Brown’s success.

The blueprint for the future

So, what does this mean for the rest of the NBA? Basically, everyone is scrambling to copy the Celtics' model. The "Two-Way Wing" era is in full swing. If you don't have multiple guys who can guard three positions and shoot the three, you aren't winning a title in 2025 or 2026.

But here's the kicker: it’s really hard to find a Derrick White. Finding a guy who is a borderline All-Star but is perfectly happy being the fourth option is nearly impossible in an era of ego and branding. The Celtics won because they had zero ego.

Holiday took fewer shots. Tatum focused on passing. Porzingis played through a "rare" leg injury that would have sidelined most players for months. They sacrificed.

What most people get wrong about the "Superteam" label

Some call this a superteam, but it wasn't built like the KD Warriors or the Heatles. It was built through the draft (Tatum/Brown), savvy trades for "undervalued" assets (White), and being aggressive when a disgruntled star became available (Holiday). It’s a blueprint for team building that rewards smart management over just "signing big names."

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Practical takeaways for the off-season and beyond

If you’re a basketball fan or even just a casual observer of how high-performing teams work, there are some serious lessons from the Celtics winning the championship.

Understand the "Second Apron" Reality
The NBA's new Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) is designed to kill teams like the Celtics. It makes it incredibly expensive to keep a roster this talented together. Boston’s ownership basically said "screw the tax" and spent hundreds of millions because they knew their window was now. For other teams, the lesson is: if you have the chance to win, you have to go all-in before the rules make it impossible.

The Value of "Connector" Players
Don't just look for stars. Look for guys like Derrick White. He’s the "glue." Every championship team needs a guy who doesn't need the ball to be the most impactful player on the court. If you're building a team—in sports or business—find your Derrick White.

Patience Pays Off
If the Celtics had traded Jaylen Brown three years ago like everyone asked, they wouldn't have Banner 18. Sometimes the best move is the one you don't make. Continuity is a superpower in a league where everyone is constantly changing teams.

Defense Still Wins
In an era where scores are 130-125 every night, the Celtics proved that having the #1 defense is still the most reliable way to navigate the playoffs. Offense fluctuates. Shooting comes and goes. But effort on the defensive end is a choice.

The Boston Celtics are back on top of the NBA mountain with 18 titles, surpassing the Lakers once again. Whether they can repeat depends on health and how they handle the massive bullseye on their backs, but for now, they are the undisputed gold standard of professional basketball.

If you want to track how the roster holds up under the new CBA, keep a close eye on the contract extensions for Derrick White and the luxury tax implications for the 2025-26 season. The window is open, but the price of staying there is higher than it’s ever been in NBA history.