Why Sustainable Aviation Fuel Still Hasn't Taken Off (Yet)

Why Sustainable Aviation Fuel Still Hasn't Taken Off (Yet)

Flying is a massive problem. Honestly, if you look at the numbers, aviation contributes about 2.5% of global $CO_2$ emissions, but its total impact on global warming is even higher because of those white streaks—contrails—you see in the sky. We're all waiting for electric planes to save us, but battery energy density just isn't there for a long-haul flight from New York to London. That’s where Sustainable Aviation Fuel comes in. It’s basically the "drop-in" solution everyone is betting on because we can pump it into existing Boeing and Airbus engines without changing a single bolt.

But there's a catch. Or rather, a few dozen catches.

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Right now, SAF makes up less than 0.1% of total jet fuel consumption. That is a tiny, almost embarrassing sliver of the pie. We talk about it like it’s the future, but the current reality is a mix of high costs, feedstock shortages, and a massive gap between what airlines promise and what they actually do. If we're going to hit "Net Zero" by 2050, we need to scale this stuff by roughly 3,000% in the next few decades.

What Is Sustainable Aviation Fuel Actually Made Of?

It isn't just one thing. When people talk about Sustainable Aviation Fuel, they’re usually referring to a broad category of non-petroleum-based fuels.

The most common version right now is HEFA—Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids. Basically, it’s used cooking oil, waste fats, and greases. You take the stuff left over from a McDonald’s deep fryer, refine the hell out of it, and turn it into kerosene. It works. It’s reliable. Planes have already flown across the Atlantic using 100% SAF in one engine, like the Virgin Atlantic Flight 100 back in late 2023.

But we have a "fat" problem. There simply isn't enough used cooking oil in the world to fuel the global fleet.

Then you have Alcohol-to-Jet (AtJ). This is where companies like LanzaJet come in. They take ethanol—made from corn, sugarcane, or even captured industrial waste gases—and chemically convert it into jet fuel. It’s a bit more complex than refining grease, but the feedstock is much more abundant. Then there’s the "holy grail": e-fuels or synthetic fuels (Power-to-Liquid). This involves taking $CO_2$ directly out of the air or from an industrial source, combining it with green hydrogen made from renewable electricity, and synthesizing a hydrocarbon. It sounds like science fiction, and price-wise, it currently is. It’s incredibly expensive.

The Elephant in the Room: The Price Tag

Let's talk money. Aviation is a low-margin business.

Airlines hate spending more than they have to on fuel, which is usually their biggest expense. Fossil-based kerosene is cheap because we’ve spent a century perfecting its extraction and because it doesn't always bear the "true cost" of its environmental damage. Sustainable Aviation Fuel currently costs anywhere from 2 to 5 times more than traditional jet fuel.

Who pays for that? You do.

If an airline switches to 10% SAF, your ticket price has to go up, or the airline goes bust. Some countries are trying to force the issue. The European Union’s "ReFuelEU" mandate is the big one. It requires fuel suppliers at EU airports to ensure that 2% of fuel is SAF by 2025, ramping up to 70% by 2050. It’s a bold move, but it also risks making European airlines less competitive compared to those in regions with zero mandates.

Why Most People Get the "Green" Part Wrong

People assume "sustainable" means "zero emissions." It doesn't.

When you burn Sustainable Aviation Fuel in a jet engine, it still releases $CO_2$ out of the back of the plane. The "sustainability" comes from the lifecycle. If you make fuel from a plant, that plant absorbed $CO_2$ while it was growing. When you burn it, you’re just returning that $CO_2$ to the atmosphere rather than digging up "new" carbon from underground.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) claims SAF can reduce lifecycle emissions by up to 80%. But that "up to" is doing a lot of heavy lifting. If you clear-cut a rainforest to plant palm trees for SAF (which happened with some early biofuels), you’re actually making the climate problem worse. This is why certification bodies like the Roundtable on Sustainable Biomaterials (RSB) are so vital. They track where the stuff comes from to make sure we aren't just trading one environmental disaster for another.

Real-World Obstacles Nobody Tells You About

There's a technical limit.

Currently, most aircraft are only certified to fly on a 50% blend of SAF mixed with regular kerosene. Why? Because jet engines need something called "aromatics." These are specific chemical compounds in fossil fuels that make the rubber seals in the fuel system swell up and create a tight seal. Most SAFs are "paraffinic," meaning they lack these aromatics. If you ran 100% SAF in an old engine, the seals might shrink, and the engine might leak.

Engine manufacturers like Rolls-Royce and GE are working on this. They've proven in test flights that modern engines can handle 100% SAF, but getting the entire global fleet of 25,000+ planes re-certified is a regulatory nightmare that takes years.

Then there's the infrastructure.

You can't just build a SAF plant anywhere. You need to be near the feedstock (the corn or the waste) and you need to be able to get the finished product to an airport. Our current pipeline systems are designed for massive refineries on the coast. Moving to a decentralized model where fuel is made in smaller batches all over the place is a logistical headache that hasn't been solved.

The Competition for Feedstock

Aviation isn't the only industry trying to go green.

The trucking industry wants biodiesel. The maritime shipping industry wants green methanol. Everyone is fighting over the same piles of used cooking oil and the same fields of energy crops. Aviation is in a tough spot because it has no other options. Trucks can go electric. Trains can go electric. Planes? Not really. This makes the "biofuel war" particularly intense for airlines.

How to Actually Track Progress

If you want to know if Sustainable Aviation Fuel is actually happening, don't look at airline press releases. Look at "Offtake Agreements."

An offtake agreement is a legally binding contract where an airline agrees to buy a specific amount of fuel from a producer in the future. These are the only things that allow SAF startups to get bank loans to build their multi-billion dollar refineries. United Airlines has been a leader here, investing in companies like Alder Renewables and NEXT Renewable Fuels.

Also, watch the "Book and Claim" systems. This is a clever (if slightly confusing) accounting method. It allows an airline to buy SAF in one part of the world (where it’s produced) and have it pumped into a plane there, while "claiming" the credit for a flight happening somewhere else. It’s like buying green energy for your house; the specific electrons hitting your toaster might not be from a wind farm, but you paid for that amount of wind energy to be put into the grid.

Practical Steps for the Conscious Traveler

If you’re sitting there wondering what you can actually do besides feeling guilty every time you book a holiday, here is the reality of the situation.

First, stop falling for "carbon offsets" that promise to plant trees. Most studies, including a major investigation by The Guardian and Die Zeit into Verra (the world’s leading carbon credit certifier), found that a huge percentage of these forest offsets are essentially worthless or vastly overstated.

If you want to support Sustainable Aviation Fuel, look for airlines that allow you to specifically buy SAF credits during checkout. Lufthansa and the Air France-KLM group are pretty transparent about this. It’s more expensive than a $5 tree-planting fee, but it actually puts money toward the specific technology needed to decarbonize the industry.

Second, fly direct. Takeoffs and landings are the most fuel-intensive parts of a flight. A single long-haul flight is almost always "greener" than two shorter flights with a connection, even if the total distance is slightly more.

Third, pay attention to the aircraft type. A Boeing 787 Dreamliner or an Airbus A350 is roughly 20-25% more fuel-efficient than the older planes they replaced. Even without SAF, flying on newer metal makes a massive difference in your personal carbon footprint.

The road to making Sustainable Aviation Fuel the standard is long and incredibly expensive. We are currently in the "valley of death" for this technology, where the pilot projects work but the massive commercial scale-up hasn't quite arrived. It’s going to take a combination of government mandates, massive private investment, and a willingness from passengers to pay a bit more for their "escape to the sun."

Without it, the future of flight looks increasingly grounded. We have the chemistry figured out; now we just need the economy to catch up. Flight is one of the greatest achievements of human engineering, and saving it from its own carbon footprint is the next great challenge. We’re getting there, just much slower than the brochures would lead you to believe.