Why Plagues and Peoples Still Matters: The Book That Changed History

Why Plagues and Peoples Still Matters: The Book That Changed History

History books used to be boring. They were mostly lists of kings, dates of battles, and maps showing which empire swallowed which neighbor. Then, in 1976, William H. McNeill published Plagues and Peoples, and suddenly the "great men" of history looked a lot smaller. McNeill didn't focus on Napoleon's genius or the tactical brilliance of the Spanish conquistadors. Instead, he looked at germs. He looked at the invisible, microscopic hitchhikers that have killed more people than every sword, musket, and atomic bomb combined. Honestly, it's a bit of a reality check. We like to think we are in control of our destiny. McNeill argues that, for most of human existence, we were just lunch for parasites.

It's a dense read. But it’s foundational. If you've ever wondered why a handful of Spaniards managed to topple the massive Aztec and Inca empires, McNeill has the answer. It wasn't just horses and steel. It was smallpox. The disease did the heavy lifting long before the final battles were even fought.

The Invisible Hand of Microparasites

McNeill introduced two concepts that changed how academics think about society: macroparasites and microparasites. Macroparasites are the big things—lions, tigers, and, most importantly, other humans like tax collectors, soldiers, and kings who live off the labor of others. Microparasites are the viruses, bacteria, and multicellular creatures that live inside us. Plagues and Peoples argues that human history is essentially a long, bloody balancing act between these two groups.

When humans lived as small bands of hunter-gatherers, we didn't have many plagues. Why? Because we didn't stay in one place long enough to poop in our own water supply. We also didn't have enough people to keep a virus alive. A virus like measles needs a huge, dense population to survive; otherwise, it burns through everyone, they either die or become immune, and the virus has nowhere left to go. It goes extinct.

Agriculture changed everything.

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Once we settled down and started living next to cows, pigs, and chickens, we invited the devil to dinner. Most of our most famous killers—flu, smallpox, tuberculosis—jumped from animals to us. This is "zoonosis." It’s a process that is still happening today. McNeill tracks how these diseases followed trade routes, moving from established "pools" of infection in places like India and China toward Europe and eventually the Americas.

Why Plagues and Peoples Was a Paradigm Shift

Before this book, historians basically ignored biology. They treated the environment as a static background. McNeill made the environment the lead actor. He showed that when a "civilized" population that has lived with a disease for centuries meets a "virgin" population that has never seen it, the result isn't just a medical crisis. It’s a total societal collapse.

Think about the psychological impact.

Imagine you are an Aztec warrior. You are brave, trained, and fighting for your gods. Suddenly, your people start dying by the thousands from a localized horror that doesn't seem to touch the invaders. The Spanish were mostly immune because they had been exposed to smallpox as children. To the Aztecs, this looked like divine intervention. Their gods had abandoned them; the white men’s God was clearly superior. McNeill highlights that the "triumph" of Christianity in the New World was facilitated by the fact that the old gods couldn't stop the pox. It’s a brutal, unsentimental way to look at religion, but it makes a lot of sense when you look at the raw data.

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The Rise of the "Common Market" of Germs

By the time the Mongol Empire connected Asia and Europe in the 13th and 14th centuries, the world was becoming a "common market" for microbes. This is where the Black Death comes in. McNeill’s account of the plague isn't just about the boils and the death carts. He looks at the ecological shift—how the movement of rodents and fleas across the Silk Road turned a localized Himalayan infection into a global catastrophe.

The consequences were weirdly positive for some. With so many people dead, labor became valuable. Serfs could suddenly demand wages. The feudal system started to crack. This is the kind of insight Plagues and Peoples excels at: showing how a microscopic organism can accidentally trigger the rise of the middle class and the beginning of the modern world.

The Book’s Flaws and the "Diamond" Connection

No book is perfect. Critics have pointed out that McNeill sometimes oversimplifies. He focuses so much on the germs that he occasionally ignores the agency of the people involved. It’s easy to fall into "biological determinism," where you assume biology is the only thing that matters.

Also, later authors took his ideas and ran with them. You’ve probably heard of Guns, Germs, and Steel by Jared Diamond. Diamond basically took the core thesis of Plagues and Peoples and updated it with more modern geography and linguistics. If McNeill is the grandfather of this field, Diamond is the guy who made it a bestseller. However, McNeill is often more nuanced about the cultural shifts that follow an outbreak. He doesn't just care about who won the war; he cares about how the survivors viewed the world afterward.

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What We Can Actually Learn Today

We are currently living in a post-COVID-19 world, and reading Plagues and Peoples today feels like reading a prophecy. McNeill warned us that as we move into new environments and crowd into bigger cities, we are just creating new opportunities for microparasites. We aren't "above" nature. We are part of it.

The book teaches us that stability is an illusion. We are always one mutation away from a massive shift in how our economy, our government, and our daily lives function. It also teaches us about "herd immunity" long before that was a buzzword on the evening news. Communities that survive a plague come out stronger, biologically speaking, but the cost of getting there is usually a "die-off" that reshapes their entire culture.

Acknowledging the Limitations

Is it a light read? No. McNeill writes like a mid-century academic. It’s a bit dry. Some of his specific historical timelines have been updated by modern DNA sequencing of ancient pathogens. For instance, we now have much more precise data on when the plague first entered Europe (it was actually there in the Bronze Age, much earlier than McNeill thought). But the logic of the book holds up. The framework of viewing history through a biological lens is still the gold standard for environmental history.

Actionable Insights for the Modern Reader

If you want to truly understand the world after reading Plagues and Peoples, don't just put it on a shelf. Use the perspective to change how you consume news and history.

  • Watch the Intersections: Don't look at a pandemic as just a health event. Look at how it shifts power. Who gains leverage when the workforce shrinks? Which institutions fail when they can't protect the public?
  • Question "Inevitability": When you read about the "rise of the West," ask how much of that was due to superior philosophy and how much was due to the accidental biological advantage of living in proximity to domestic animals for 5,000 years.
  • Read the Updates: Pair McNeill with Kyle Harper’s The Fate of Rome, which uses modern climate and genetic data to show how the Roman Empire was undone by smallpox and the plague. It’s basically the "high-def" version of what McNeill started.
  • Recognize Zoonotic Risks: Understand that our relationship with animals isn't just about food or pets; it's a constant exchange of genetic material. Modern factory farming and encroachment on wild habitats are exactly the kinds of behaviors McNeill would warn lead to the next "common market" of germs.

The most important takeaway from Plagues and Peoples is humility. We are a successful species, sure. But we share the planet with organisms that don't care about our borders, our religions, or our bank accounts. They just want to replicate. Understanding that struggle is the only way to understand where we’ve been—and where we are likely going next.

If you want to dive deeper, your next step is to look at the "Justinian Plague." It’s often overshadowed by the Black Death, but McNeill argues it was arguably more influential in destroying the ancient world and ushering in the Dark Ages. Researching that specific event provides a perfect case study for everything McNeill talks about regarding the collapse of complex societies under biological pressure.