Why is the Price of Silver Going Up? What Most People Get Wrong

Why is the Price of Silver Going Up? What Most People Get Wrong

Honestly, if you looked at your portfolio this morning and saw silver's price tag, you might’ve done a double-take. It’s been a wild ride. While everyone was busy obsessing over Bitcoin's sideways shuffle or Nvidia’s latest earnings, silver just... took off. We aren't talking about a boring 2% nudge, either. Since the start of January 2026, silver has been outperforming gold by a mile, recently smashing past $88 and even touching $93 an ounce.

Why?

It’s not just one thing. It's a "perfect storm" of solar panels, geopolitics, and a massive supply gap that’s been widening for five years straight. Most people think silver is just "gold’s cheaper cousin." That’s the first mistake. Silver is a weird, high-beta hybrid—part precious metal, part industrial workhorse—and right now, both sides of its personality are screaming "buy."

The Solar Squeeze and the Green Energy Trap

Basically, the world is addicted to silver, and we don't have enough of it. You’ve probably heard that silver is used in solar panels. But you might not realize how much the industry is panicking about it.

The silver price is going up because the solar industry is essentially the new "whale" in the room. In 2024 and 2025, solar manufacturers consumed over 25% of the total global silver supply. By the time we hit the start of 2026, that number didn't just grow; it exploded. Every time a new "mega-farm" of TOPCon solar cells goes up in China or Europe, a massive amount of silver paste gets locked away forever.

Why can't they just use something else?

They're trying. Believe me, they're trying. Companies like LONGi Green Energy are desperately testing copper as a substitute because silver is eating their margins alive. But here’s the kicker: copper isn't as conductive. To get the same efficiency, you need silver.

  • Electric Vehicles (EVs): Your average Tesla or Rivian uses significantly more silver than an old gas-guzzler for its complex wiring and sensors.
  • Artificial Intelligence: This is the "hidden" driver. AI data centers require high-end electronics and semiconductors, all of which rely on silver's unmatched electrical conductivity.

When industrial demand accounts for more than 50% of total consumption, and that demand is tied to "must-have" tech like AI and green energy, the price isn't just reflecting investor vibes. It’s reflecting a physical shortage.

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A Supply Chain Running on Fumes

Here is the part most news outlets gloss over: we are currently in the fifth consecutive year of a global silver deficit.

Think about that. For five years, the world has used more silver than it has mined. We’ve been living off "above-ground" stocks—vaults in London and New York—and those vaults are starting to look a little thin.

Mining silver isn't like turning on a faucet. Most silver is actually a byproduct. It's found while people are looking for lead, zinc, or copper. So, even if the price of silver triples, a miner can't just "dig more silver" if the demand for lead or zinc is flat. Plus, Mexico—the world’s silver powerhouse—has hit a wall with regulatory changes and declining ore grades. You can't just wish more metal into existence.

The "Safe Haven" Panic of 2026

If the industrial side is the engine, geopolitics is the high-octane fuel.

Why is the price of silver going up right now? Look at the headlines. We’ve got political instability in Venezuela, ongoing friction between the U.S. and Iran, and domestic turmoil in Japan. When the world feels like it’s coming apart at the seams, people ditch paper assets. They want something they can hold.

The Fed Factor

The Federal Reserve is in a corner. With inflation still hovering above that 2% target and the economy showing signs of a "soft-ish" landing, the market is betting on rate cuts. When interest rates drop, "hard assets" like silver become way more attractive because they don't pay a yield anyway. You aren't losing out on 5% interest in a savings account if the savings account only pays 2%.

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Then there’s the Gold-to-Silver Ratio. Historically, this ratio tells us how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. For a long time, it was stuck at 80:1 or 90:1. Investors looked at that and said, "Silver is way too cheap compared to gold." As gold hit its own record highs (surpassing $4,600 earlier this month), the "catch-up trade" began. Silver is the "high-beta leader"—when it moves, it moves fast.

What Most People Get Wrong

You'll hear people call this a "bubble." They say silver is just a speculative playground for Reddit traders.

While there is definitely some FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) happening—especially with silver ETFs seeing record inflows—the structural deficit is real. In 2025, silver gained a staggering 147%. To start 2026 with a 16% jump in two weeks is legendary.

But it’s not just a meme. It’s math.

"Silver is behaving like gold on crack," says Adrian Ash of BullionVault. It’s more volatile, more "dangerous," but it’s also the only asset that doubles as a critical industrial mineral and a global currency hedge.

The U.S. government even added silver to its official list of Critical Minerals in late 2025. That’s a massive signal. It means the government recognizes that without silver, the "green revolution" and the AI boom simply stop.

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Where Does the Price Go From Here?

It’s tempting to think it’ll just go up forever. But let's be real.

Experts like Ajay Kedia are already warning about a "time correction." When an asset jumps 180% in a year, some big players are going to sell and take their profits. We might see a pullback toward $72 or $75 as the market "rebalances."

However, the long-term floor has moved. The days of $20 silver are likely gone. As long as the world wants solar power and AI, and as long as mines in Mexico and Peru struggle to keep up, the upward pressure remains.


Actionable Insights for the Current Market

If you're looking at silver today, don't just "ape in" because of the green candles. Be smart about the volatility.

  • Watch the $85 Support: If silver holds above $85, many analysts expect a run toward $100. If it breaks below, expect a "healthy" correction where you might find a better entry point.
  • Check the Premiums: If you're buying physical coins or bars, the "spot price" you see on Google isn't what you'll pay. Dealers are charging high premiums right now because physical metal is hard to find.
  • Consider Silver ETFs: If you don't want to store heavy metal in your basement, silver-backed ETPs (Exchange Traded Products) offer a way to track the price with much lower transaction costs, though you don't get the "prepper" benefit of physical ownership.
  • Dollar-Cost Average: Don't throw your whole life savings in at an all-time high. Buying a little bit every month (a SIP approach) helps smooth out the insane price swings this metal is known for.

Silver is finally having its "moment" after decades of underperformance. Whether it hits $150 or pulls back to $60, the fundamental reason for the rise—a world that needs more silver than it can produce—isn't going away anytime soon. Monitor the pace of renewable energy expansion and the Federal Reserve’s next move on rates; those will be your best indicators for when the next leg up begins.