You know that feeling when you check the apps on your phone and three different icons tell you three different things? One says it's snowing, another says it’s just overcast, and the third is convinced there’s a thunderstorm brewing over the Landis Avenue ShopRite.
Honestly, the weather forecast Vineland NJ residents deal with is a bit of a moving target.
Because we’re tucked into Cumberland County—far enough from the coast to miss the immediate ocean breeze but close enough to the Delaware Bay to feel its humid mood swings—the weather here is rarely "simple." Today, January 17, 2026, we are looking at a messy mix. As of 7:06 AM, sensors at Millville Executive Airport (KMIV), which basically acts as the official eyes for Vineland, clocked us at 38°F.
It feels like 36°F. The sky is mostly cloudy, and there is a 50% chance we see some snow or rain before the afternoon settles in.
The Immediate Outlook: Ice, Rain, or Just Grey?
If you’re planning to head out to the Cumberland Mall or maybe grab a coffee downtown, keep an eye on the sky around midday. We’re expecting a high near 44°F, which is actually quite mild for mid-January. Southwest winds are kicking up at 5 to 10 mph, with gusts reaching 20 mph.
That wind is the real kicker. It’s coming off the land, not the water, so it feels sharper.
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Tonight, things get tricky. The temperature is going to dip to 30°F. Between midnight and the early hours of Sunday, there is a legitimate threat of a "wintry mix." That's weather-speak for "we aren't sure if it's going to be slush, freezing rain, or actual flakes."
Most local data suggests little to no snow accumulation, but the risk of a thin glaze of ice on the backroads near the Maurice River is high.
Why the Weather Forecast Vineland NJ Often Surprises Us
Vineland is a "Southwest Zone" city in New Jersey. According to the New Jersey State Climatologist at Rutgers, this region sits between sea level and about 100 feet up.
Why does that matter?
Because we don't have the sandy, porous soil of the Pine Barrens to our east, our ground holds onto heat a little longer. If you drive twenty minutes toward the Atlantic City Airport, you might see the temperature drop 10 degrees because their sandy soil radiates heat back into space faster than our heavier soil.
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Basically, Vineland is a heat island compared to the woods around it.
The "January Thaw" is Ending
We’ve had a weirdly warm start to 2026. The first two weeks of January felt more like late March. But that "January Thaw" is officially packing its bags. Looking at the long-range outlook for the rest of the month, a firm turn toward colder, more traditional "Jersey Winter" trends is expected to hit by January 18th or 19th.
Expect to see:
- Highs struggling to break 34°F by early next week.
- Overnight lows crashing into the teens (around 12°F or 10°F).
- Mostly sunny but "bitter" days where the UV index is low (around 1) but the wind chill makes you regret leaving the house.
It’s a stark contrast to the 44°F we’re seeing today.
Historical Context: Is This Normal?
If you look at the 30-year averages (1991–2020), January in Vineland usually averages a high of 42°F and a low of 25°F.
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We are currently hovering right around those normals, though the state has been warming by about three degrees (Fahrenheit) over the last century. David Robinson, the NJ State Climatologist, often points out that while our winters are getting milder on average, our "heavy precipitation events"—those massive rain or snow dumps—are becoming more frequent.
Last year, January 2025 was breezy and dry. This year feels a bit more "active," with more moisture trapped in the atmosphere.
Surviving the Week Ahead
If you’re commuting, Sunday is the day to watch. With "snow likely" after 7 AM on Sunday, January 18th, and a low of 20°F that night, the Monday morning commute could be a mess of refrozen slush.
Martin Luther King Jr. Day (Monday) looks mostly sunny with a high of 34°F. It’ll be beautiful to look at through a window, but you’ll want the heavy coat if you’re heading to any local events.
Pro-tip for Vinelanders: Always check the dew point. Right now it's around 21°F. When the dew point is that low, the air is incredibly dry. It’s that "chapped lips and static electricity" kind of weather.
Actionable Steps for Vineland Residents:
- Check your tires today: With temperatures dropping from 44°F to 30°F tonight, your tire pressure will likely dip. A 10-degree drop usually equals 1 PSI lost.
- Salt the walkways: If you have a north-facing porch that doesn't get sun, that midnight rain/snow mix will turn into a skating rink by 6 AM Sunday.
- Prepare for a "Hard Freeze" Tuesday: We are looking at a projected low of 10°F on Tuesday night. If you have outdoor pipes or a garden hose still attached, get them sorted today while it’s still in the 40s.
- Watch the Delaware Bay: If the wind shifts to the Southeast, expect higher humidity and "raw" feeling cold. If it stays Southwest or West, it’ll be a "dry" cold.
The weather forecast Vineland NJ is rarely boring, but staying ahead of the ice is the only way to handle a Jersey January.
Get your snow shovel out of the back of the garage today. Even if we only get an inch, it’s better than digging through frozen slush tomorrow morning.