You’ve probably been checking your phone every twenty minutes, wondering if you actually need to dig out the heavy-duty shovel or if a quick sweep will do. Honestly, the weather forecast Matawan NJ residents are staring at right now is a bit of a moving target. January in Monmouth County is rarely straightforward, and today—Saturday, January 17, 2026—is proving that point with a messy mix of "maybe" and "definitely."
Right now, it’s 33°F outside. It feels more like 28°F, though, thanks to a 6 mph breeze coming from the south. The sky is basically a solid sheet of gray. If you’re looking out the window and thinking it looks like snow weather, you’re right on the money.
The Messy Reality of Today's Forecast
The big question everyone asks is: "Is it going to stick?" For the daylight hours today, we’re looking at a high of 38°F. That’s the tricky part. Since the temperature is hovering just a few degrees above freezing, the weather forecast Matawan NJ shows a 69% chance of light snow during the day. Because of that 38-degree peak, some of that might turn into a slushy mess or a wintry mix before it even hits the pavement on Main Street.
Basically, it’s that annoying kind of weather where you can't decide if you're wearing boots or sneakers.
Tonight, things quiet down a little. The temperature will dip to a low of 30°F. The wind shifts slightly to the southwest at 8 mph, and the chance of precipitation drops significantly to 25%. It’ll stay cloudy, but the "active" part of the storm should be tapering off as we head into the late hours.
What the Numbers Actually Mean
- Current Temp: 33°F
- Feels Like: 28°F
- Today’s High: 38°F
- Tonight’s Low: 30°F
- Humidity: 68% (Expect that damp, bone-chilling cold)
- UV Index: 1 (You won't be seeing the sun today)
Why Local Predictions Are So Hard Here
Matawan is in a weird spot geographically. We’re close enough to the Raritan Bay that the water temperature can mess with our snow totals. Meteorologists like Joe Martucci have often noted that the "rain-snow line" loves to park itself right over the Garden State Parkway.
Earlier this season, experts predicted a weak La Niña influence for the 2025-2026 winter. This usually means big swings. You might get four days of 50-degree weather followed by a sudden Arctic blast. We’re currently seeing that "clash of the air masses" in real-time. The moisture is coming up from the south, but the cold air is stubborn.
Survival Tips for the Weekend
If you have to be out on Route 34 or hitting the Cheesequake Park trails, keep in mind that the humidity is high at 68%. That means the air holds the cold. Even if the thermometer says 38°F, the dampness makes it feel much sharper.
Check your tire pressure. These sudden drops from 38°F to 30°F are exactly when those "low pressure" lights start popping up on your dashboard. Also, if you’re planning on heading toward the city, remember that the "feels like" temp is going to stay below freezing all day.
Keep an eye on the slush. Since we’re expecting a 69% chance of snow during the day, but temperatures are above freezing, the roads will likely be wet rather than icy until the sun goes down. Once we hit that 30°F low tonight, anything left on the ground is going to turn into a skating rink.
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Actionable Next Steps:
- Pre-treat your walkways before the sun goes down to prevent the 30°F freeze-over.
- Dress in layers—the 38°F high is deceptive when the humidity is this high.
- Check local transit alerts if you're using the North Jersey Coast Line, as wintry mixes can sometimes cause minor signal delays.