If you’re walking down North Washington Avenue right now, you’ve probably noticed the air has that sharp, East Texas winter bite. It’s 40°F out there tonight, but honestly, with the wind coming off the south at 12 mph, it feels more like 32°F. Welcome to January in Marshall.
Most people think Texas is just a monolith of heat, but Harrison County residents know better. We live in that weird transition zone where the Gulf moisture fights the Arctic air, and right now, the Arctic air is winning a few rounds before a massive temperature swing hits us this weekend.
The Week Ahead: A Rollercoaster in Harrison County
Basically, if you don't like the weather forecast for marshall texas today, just wait twenty-four hours. Tomorrow, Friday, January 16, we are looking at a high of 63°F. That is a solid 10-degree jump from yesterday. It’s going to be sunny, perfect for a long lunch or finally cleaning out the gutters. But don't get too comfortable.
Saturday is where things get kinda messy.
The high drops back down to 49°F as a northwest wind kicks in. We’re looking at cloudy skies and a slight 10% chance of rain during the day, which might flip over to a stray snow flurry at night when the temperature bottoms out at 25°F. It won't be a blizzard—don't go panic-buying bread at Kroger just yet—but it’s a reminder that winter is very much here.
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Real Talk on the Numbers
Here is what the immediate horizon looks like for us:
- Friday: Sunny and a beautiful 63°F. Low of 36°F.
- Saturday: Chilly 49°F high. Nighttime freeze at 25°F.
- Sunday: Clear and 53°F. Another 25°F freeze overnight.
- MLK Day: Mostly sunny, rebounding to 56°F.
The big story for next week is the rain. By Wednesday and Thursday, the humidity is going to spike into the 80s and 90s. We’re talking light rain chances of 35% to 45% as temperatures climb back into the 60s. It’s that classic "wet cold" that East Texas is famous for.
Why Marshall Weather Feels So Different
Ever wonder why the weather forecast for marshall texas often feels colder than the actual thermometer reading? It’s the humidity. Even in January, our average humidity sits around 57% to 60%. Wet air transfers heat away from your body much faster than dry air.
When it’s 40°F here, it feels significantly more "bone-chilling" than 40°F in West Texas.
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Also, we have to talk about the Polar Vortex. National weather experts like the folks at WeatherTrends360 have been watching a weakening vortex this month. While the first half of January 2026 has been about 6°F warmer than last year across the U.S., that Arctic air is looking to surge south toward the end of the month.
What Most People Get Wrong About East Texas Winters
There's this myth that we don't get "real" winter. Tell that to anyone who lived through the 2021 freeze or even the record lows we've seen in the past. Historically, Marshall has seen temperatures as low as -5°F in January.
While we aren't seeing anything that drastic in the current forecast, the "January Thaw" we're experiencing right now—that 63°F peak on Friday—is often a precursor to a sharp correction.
Local Hazards to Watch
Governor Greg Abbott actually renewed a disaster proclamation earlier this month regarding fire weather conditions. It sounds counterintuitive for winter, but the "cured" (dead) grasses from recent freezes combined with dry, windy days (like the 12 mph gusts we’re seeing) can lead to brush fires. If you're planning on burning brush piles this weekend, honestly, maybe hold off until the rain arrives next Wednesday.
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Survival Tips for the Marshall Climate
- The Layering Rule: Since we're swinging from 25°F to 63°F in a matter of days, the "Base, Mid, Shell" approach is your best friend. A moisture-wicking base for the humid mornings and a wind-resistant shell for those 12 mph south winds.
- Pollen is Coming: Believe it or not, tree pollen is already starting to trigger allergies for some locals. With the milder start to January 2026, keep your meds handy.
- Pipe Prep: Sunday night is hitting 25°F. That’s low enough to cause issues for exposed irrigation or thin-walled outdoor pipes. Wrap 'em.
The weather forecast for marshall texas is a moving target right now. We're moving from a sunny, mild Friday into a freezing weekend, followed by a soggy, humid work week. Keep your umbrella in the truck and your heavy coat near the front door. You’re gonna need both before the week is out.
Stay weather-aware, especially with those rain chances ramping up to 65% by next Saturday.
Next Steps for Marshall Residents:
Check your outdoor faucets and irrigation systems before Saturday night's 25°F freeze. If you have sensitive plants that survived the last cold snap, move them indoors by Saturday evening to avoid the 11 mph northwest winds that will drop wind chills into the teens.