Honestly, if you're living in Abingdon, you already know the drill. One minute you’re looking at a clear sky over the Boulevard at Box Hill, and the next, you’re wondering if you should’ve grabbed that heavier coat. Maryland weather has a reputation for being indecisive, and this week in Harford County is basically proving everyone right.
Today, Thursday, January 15, 2026, we’re looking at a classic winter "fake out." It’s bright. It’s sunny. But don't let that fool you into thinking it's warm. The thermometer is sitting at 34°F, but with the wind coming out of the west at 15 mph, it actually feels like 25°F.
The Abingdon Breakdown: What’s Actually Happening?
If you're planning your day around Abingdon, here is the raw data you need.
Right now, the humidity is staying low at 39%, which keeps that air feeling crisp and biting. The UV index is a measly 1, so you don't need to worry about sun protection, but you definitely need to worry about your ears freezing if you're out walking the dog near Otter Point.
The high for today is expected to hit 35°F, which is pretty much where we are now. Tonight, things take a dive. We're looking at a low of 19°F. It’s going to be clear, but that drop is significant. If you’ve got sensitive plants or left the hose attached, maybe deal with that before the sun goes down.
Looking Ahead: The Weekend "Mess"
So, here’s where things get kinda tricky. Tomorrow, Friday, January 16, starts off mostly cloudy with a high of 36°F. But by tomorrow night, there’s a 25% chance of light snow. It’s not a blizzard, but enough to make the 1-95 commute a bit of a headache if the timing is wrong.
Saturday, January 17, is the day to watch. We’re expecting a high of 43°F, which sounds great until you see the "rain and snow" mix in the forecast. There is a 35% chance of precipitation during the day. It’s that messy, slushy stuff that Maryland is famous for—the kind that makes the parking lot at Wegmans a total disaster.
Why Abingdon Weather is So Weird
You’ve probably noticed that your weather app sometimes says one thing while your neighbor in Bel Air is seeing something totally different. Part of that is the "Susquehanna Effect." Being so close to the river and the top of the Chesapeake Bay means moisture levels can shift in a heartbeat.
- The I-95 Corridor factor: Heat trapped by the asphalt often creates a micro-climate that turns "expected snow" into "annoying rain."
- The Wind Chill: Because we’re relatively flat here in the southern part of the county, that west wind has nothing to stop it. A 15 mph wind hits a lot harder here than it does in the more wooded areas further north.
The 7-Day Outlook (At a Glance)
Basically, we are in a deep freeze cycle. After that messy Saturday, Sunday (January 18) clears up but stays cold with a high of 35°F.
Monday and Tuesday are going to be the "real" winter. We’re talking sunny skies but highs that struggle to get past 23°F on Tuesday, with overnight lows dipping all the way down to 10°F. If you haven't checked your tire pressure lately, do it now. Cold snaps like this are notorious for triggering those annoying TPMS sensors.
📖 Related: Finding the Best Beauty Supply on 87th and Kedzie Without Getting Overwhelmed
Pro-Tips for Surviving the Week
Look, nobody likes being caught off guard. Here is the move for the next few days:
- Layers, obviously. But specifically, wind-blocking layers. That 16 mph wind forecast for tonight is no joke.
- Watch the Saturday mix. Even if it looks like rain, the ground temperature has been cold enough that it might freeze on contact on some of the backroads near Constant Friendship.
- Check the pets. A low of 10°F on Tuesday night is dangerous. Make sure they’re in.
Next steps? Keep an eye on the Friday night flurries. If that 25% chance of snow starts trending upward, the Saturday morning grocery run is going to be a lot more crowded than usual. Stay warm out there.