If you’ve lived in Bucks County for more than five minutes, you know that the weather for Warminster Pennsylvania is basically a roll of the dice. One day you’re scraping a quarter-inch of ice off your windshield on Street Road, and by Tuesday, you’re thinking about whether it’s too early to turn on the mulch. It’s confusing.
People often look at Philadelphia’s forecast and assume it’s a mirror image of what’s happening in Warminster. That’s a mistake. We sit at a slightly higher elevation than the city, and that small difference often means we’re the ones getting the "wintry mix" while Philly just gets a cold rain.
Today, January 14, 2026, is a perfect example of this Bucks County weirdness.
The Current State of Warminster's Skies
Right now, the mercury is sitting at 44°F, which sounds decent for mid-January. But don't let that fool you. With a 12 mph wind coming out of the southwest, the "feels like" temperature is actually shivering down at 37°F. It’s cloudy, gray, and honestly, a bit damp.
The humidity is hanging around 53%, and while the day started out mostly dry, things are shifting. By tonight, we’re looking at a low of 38°F with a 25% chance of light snow or rain. It’s that classic Warminster "in-between" weather where you aren’t sure if you need the heavy parka or just a solid rain jacket.
What the Forecast Actually Means for Your Week
The high today is expected to hit 49°F. If you’re planning on hitting the trails at Warminster Community Park, do it before the sun starts to dip. Once that light rain starts mixing with the cooling air tonight, those trails are going to get sloppy.
Looking ahead, January 2026 has been following a weird trend of "bitter then mild." We’ve seen some mornings drop into the 20s, but then we get these random spikes into the 50s. It’s enough to give your sinuses an identity crisis.
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Why Warminster Weather is Different from Philly
A lot of locals rely on the big TV stations out of Philadelphia, but those sensors are usually at the airport. Warminster is roughly 20 miles north. That distance matters.
- Elevation Shifts: We are just high enough to catch different wind patterns.
- The Concrete Effect: Philly has more "urban heat island" effect, keeping them a few degrees warmer.
- The Bucks County Breeze: We tend to be gustier. Those open spaces around the old Johnsville Centrifuge site let the wind whip through more than in the tightly packed city streets.
Historically, January in Warminster averages a high of 38°F and a low of 22°F. This year, we’re running a bit warmer than the historical average, which aligns with the broader climate trends we've seen across Pennsylvania. According to the Pennsylvania State Climatologist, we’re seeing more "variable" winters, meaning fewer weeks of consistent snow and more "freeze-thaw" cycles that wreck our roads.
Dealing with the "Mix" and Ice
If you’re driving near the intersection of York and Street Roads, you know that a little bit of ice goes a long way. Because Warminster often hovers right at the freezing mark (32°F) during January nights, "black ice" is a genuine hazard.
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One thing people often overlook is the wind chill. A 38-degree day with a 15 mph wind feels much more brutal than a 25-degree day that’s dead calm. Today’s 8 mph breeze isn’t terrible, but it’s enough to cut through a light sweater.
Seasonal Realities
We typically see between 24 and 30 inches of snow over a full season here in Bucks County. However, February is usually our "big" month for nor’easters. January is more about the persistent gray and the occasional dusting that turns into slush by noon.
- Check your tire pressure. Cold snaps make it drop.
- Keep the salt bucket by the door. That 25% chance of snow tonight could easily turn your front steps into a skating rink.
- Dress in layers. Honestly, it’s the only way to survive a Pennsylvania winter without being too hot or too cold.
Actionable Tips for This Week
Since we’re looking at temperatures hitting near 50°F today before dropping back into the 30s tonight, your focus should be on moisture management. If you have outdoor chores, get them done while it's 49°F. Once the sun sets at 4:59 PM, the dampness will make it feel significantly colder.
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Check your gutters if you haven't recently. With the rain/snow mix predicted for tonight, any clogs will lead to ice dams when the temperature drops further later this week. Stay off the back roads tonight if the mist starts to settle—Bucks County fog is no joke when it hits the rural patches.
Pack an extra pair of socks if you're heading to the office or school. There's nothing worse than stepping in a slush puddle at 8:00 AM and having cold feet until lunch.
Monitor the wind gusts if you have loose patio furniture or holiday decorations still hanging on for dear life. While 12 mph isn't a gale, we’ve seen gusts up to 34 knots in the region this month, which is enough to send a plastic chair into your neighbor’s yard.