So, you’re looking at Thursday and trying to figure out if you need the heavy parka or just a decent rain shell. New York weather is famously indecisive, but this coming Thursday, January 22, 2026, is leaning into that classic "messy middle" territory that drives commuters crazy.
Honestly, it’s looking like a bit of a mixed bag.
According to the latest data from the first available forecast card, New York is bracing for a daytime condition described as rain and snow. It’s that soggy, slushy combination that makes the street corners at 42nd Street feel like a trap. The high temperature is sitting at 37°F, which is just warm enough to keep things from freezing solid but cold enough to feel like it’s biting through your jeans.
The Thursday Breakdown: Slush and Southwest Winds
If you’re planning to be out and about, the daytime precipitation chance is currently pegged at 20%, specifically for snow. While that might sound low, in the city, even a little bit of "rain and snow" can make the subway stairs slick and the sidewalks unpredictable.
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The wind is coming in from the southwest at 9 mph. It’s not exactly a gale, but with a humidity of 53%, it’s going to carry that damp chill.
Here is the quick look at what the numbers actually say:
- Daytime: Rain and snow with a high of 37°F.
- Nighttime: Clearing up significantly with a low of 21°F.
- Wind: 9 mph from the southwest.
- UV Index: A very low 1. You definitely won’t need the sunscreen.
What Happens When the Sun Goes Down
The real shift happens once the sun sets. The forecast for the night is clear, which sounds nice until you look at the thermometer. The temperature is expected to drop all the way down to 21°F.
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That’s a 16-degree swing.
Because there’s a 0% chance of precipitation at night, we aren’t looking at fresh snow after dark, but anything that fell during the day as "rain and snow" is likely to freeze over. Black ice on the side streets is a very real possibility when you jump from 37°F to 21°F in a few hours.
Staying Ahead of the Slush
Basically, you’ve got a daytime that is wet and cold, followed by a nighttime that is dry and freezing. It’s the kind of day where you want waterproof boots for the morning and a serious scarf for the trek home.
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The humidity and the southwest wind mean it won't feel "dry-cold." It’ll feel heavy. If you're driving, keep an eye on those lower temperatures in the evening. The transition from rain/snow to clear skies usually means the heat escapes the ground quickly, leading to a fast freeze on the asphalt.
Actionable Next Steps:
- Wear waterproof footwear: The 20% chance of snow mixed with rain means puddles are a guarantee.
- Layer for the evening drop: A 21°F night is significantly harsher than a 37°F afternoon; don't get caught under-dressed for the commute home.
- Check the commute early: Slushy conditions often lead to minor transit delays in the city.