Honestly, everyone thinks Florida in January is just a constant blast of heat and palm trees. It’s not. If you’re looking at the weather for naples florida this weekend, you’re actually in for one of those classic "Sunshine State" curveballs where you’ll be peeling off a sweater at noon and hunting for it again by 6:00 PM.
This weekend—specifically Friday, January 23 through Sunday, January 25, 2026—is shaping up to be a perfect example of why locals joke about having "four seasons in a day."
The Friday Setup: Clouds and a Late Splash
Starting Friday, Jan 23, things feel a bit moody. We’re looking at a high of 79°F, which sounds like prime beach weather, but the sky is going to be mostly overcast. Humidity will hover around 65%, so it won’t feel like that oppressive summer swamp air, but it’s definitely there.
Wait for the evening.
If you’re planning to hit 5th Avenue South for an early dinner, keep an eye on the sky. There's a 22% chance of showers late Friday night. It's not a washout, just enough to make the pavement slick and the air feel a bit crisp. The low drops to 65°F.
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Saturday: The Sweet Spot
Saturday, Jan 24 is the day you want if you’re heading to the Naples Boat Show at Sugden Regional Park. The clouds clear out. The sun actually shows up.
It’s going to be 77°F and sunny.
Wind speeds stay low at about 10 mph. This is basically the "Goldilocks" zone for being outdoors. It’s warm enough for a t-shirt but cool enough that you won't be sweating through it while looking at center consoles or yachts at the City Dock.
Sunday: The Heat Returns (Sorta)
By Sunday, Jan 25, the mercury climbs back up to 80°F. It’s the warmest day of the weekend. If you’re doing the Caloosahatchee Celtic Festival or just grabbing a coffee at Third Street South, this is your short-sleeve weather.
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The low for Sunday night is 64°F, with a very low 6% chance of rain. Basically, if you have outdoor plans, Sunday is your safest bet for zero interruptions from the sky.
The Packing Mistake Everyone Makes
Look, I see it every year. People fly into Southwest Florida International (RSW) with nothing but flip-flops and tank tops because they saw "Florida" on the map.
Bad move.
The Gulf breeze is real. When that sun goes down at 6:04 PM, the temperature doesn't just "dip"—it slides. You’ll want a light jacket or a decent hoodie for the evenings, especially if you’re near the water.
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- Friday: High 79°F / Low 65°F (Late showers)
- Saturday: High 77°F / Low 66°F (Full sun)
- Sunday: High 80°F / Low 64°F (Mostly sunny)
What to Actually Do with This Forecast
Since the weather for naples florida this weekend is staying relatively dry after Friday night, the city is wide open.
The Naples Boat Show is the big ticket item running Jan 22–25. With Saturday’s 77-degree clear skies, that’s the prime time to take the free shuttle between the City Dock and Sugden Park. If you’re more into the arts, the "Festival Under the Stars" opera series has performances on Saturday night at the Wang Opera Center. Just remember that 66-degree low; an outdoor performance in a thin shirt will get old fast.
The Gulf water temperature is sitting around 68°F to 70°F right now. For locals, that’s "polar plunge" territory. For visitors from Ohio? It’s probably fine. Just know that the wind can make getting out of the water feel a lot colder than being in it.
Your Weekend Game Plan
Basically, treat Friday like a transition day. Expect some gray skies and maybe a sprinkle while you're sleeping. Saturday is your "active" day—hiking at Bird Rookery Swamp or walking the Pier. Sunday is for the beach or the boat.
Pack layers. Seriously. A linen button-down or a light cardigan will save your life when the sun disappears. And don't forget the sunscreen just because it's January; that UV index is still hitting 3 or 4, which is enough to catch a burn if you're out all afternoon at the boat show.
Actionable Next Steps:
- Friday Evening: Move outdoor dinner reservations to a covered patio or stick to indoor dining to avoid the 22% shower chance.
- Saturday Morning: Head to the Naples Boat Show early to catch the best light and the mildest winds (10 mph).
- Packing: Toss a windbreaker or medium-weight sweater in your bag for any plans after 5:30 PM.