Honestly, if you've lived in Morganville for more than a week, you know the drill. You wake up thinking it’s a light jacket kind of morning, and by 2:00 PM, you’re wondering why you didn't pack a parka and an umbrella. It’s that classic Monmouth County mix. We’re tucked just far enough inland from the Atlantic to lose the ocean's moderating warmth in the winter, but close enough to get clobbered by the humidity in July.
Right now, Morganville is shivering through a legitimate winter stretch. As of late Friday night, January 16, 2026, the temperature is sitting at 31°F, though the wind coming out of the south at 6 mph makes it feel more like 25°F. It’s mostly cloudy, and the air has that heavy, damp "it’s going to snow" vibe.
The Weekend Reality Check
If you had outdoor plans for Saturday, January 17, you might want to rethink them. We're looking at a messy mix of rain and snow. The high is expected to hit 39°F, but with a 65% chance of precipitation during the day, it's going to be that slushy, grey New Jersey mess that makes the Garden State Parkway a nightmare. By Saturday night, it transitions into light snow with a low of 28°F.
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Sunday doesn't offer much of a break. More snow is in the forecast with a high of only 34°F. The silver lining? The wind stays relatively calm at 4 mph. But don't let that fool you—the humidity is expected to spike to 80%, making that freezing air feel like it’s soaking right into your bones.
The Deep Freeze is Coming
Monday, January 19, brings the sun back, but it’s a "fake sun." You know the type. It looks beautiful through the window, but the second you step outside, the 12 mph southwest wind hits you. Even with clear skies, we're only hitting 34°F, and Monday night plunges to a brutal 18°F.
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Tuesday is actually the day to watch out for. It’s going to be the coldest of the week by far. We’re talking a high of 21°F and a low of 13°F. If you haven't dripped your pipes or checked your antifreeze yet, that is the window where things usually start to crack.
Why Morganville Weather is a Different Beast
Most people lump us in with NYC or "the shore," but Morganville has its own microclimate. Basically, because we're part of Marlboro Township and sit on a bit of an elevated plateau compared to the coastal towns like Belmar or Asbury Park, we often get the "rain-to-snow line" sitting right over our backyards.
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- January is officially the coldest month. Historically, our average lows hover around 27°F, but as we're seeing this week, "average" doesn't mean much when a Canadian polar vortex decides to visit.
- The Wind Factor. January is also our windiest month, averaging around 13 mph. In a town with as many open suburban pockets and developments as ours, that wind tunnel effect is real.
- Summer Flip-flop. By July, the script flips entirely. We hit highs of 85°F or 86°F regularly. The humidity becomes a physical weight. While the shore gets a sea breeze, we often get "stuck" air that just simmers.
What to Do Right Now
The next few days are going to be a rollercoaster of slush and ice. Since we're looking at a 65% chance of snow today followed by a drop to 13°F by Tuesday, the biggest risk isn't the snowfall amount—it's the flash freeze. Any slush that doesn't get cleared on Saturday is going to turn into a sheet of concrete by Monday night.
Actionable steps for the next 72 hours:
- Clear the Slush Early: Don't wait for Sunday to shovel. Saturday's rain-snow mix will be heavy. If you leave it to freeze Sunday night, you won't be able to move it without a pickaxe.
- Check the Salt: Stock up now. With temperatures hitting 13°F on Tuesday, standard rock salt starts to lose its effectiveness. Look for calcium chloride if you want to keep your walkway clear in the deep freeze.
- Pipe Protection: If you have an exposed line in a crawlspace or garage, Tuesday night is the danger zone.
The rest of the 10-day outlook shows more snow potential for Thursday, January 22, with a high of 39°F. It seems the 2026 winter season is finally finding its teeth. Stay warm, Morganville.