If you’ve spent any time in Rhode Island, you know the drill. One minute you're enjoying a crisp afternoon at Lincoln Woods, and the next, you're wondering if you should have brought a parka, an umbrella, or perhaps a small boat. Weather for Lincoln RI is basically a masterclass in New England unpredictability.
Honestly, the "Blackstone Valley blur" is a real thing. Because Lincoln sits tucked between the urban heat of Providence and the higher elevations to the northwest, we get this weird microclimate that defies the generic "Providence area" forecasts you see on the news.
Why the Forecast Feels Like a Guessing Game
Right now, as of January 15, 2026, we’re looking at a temperature of 46°F, which feels more like 40°F thanks to a 12 mph southwest wind. It’s sunny, sure, but that’s a bit of a tease. If you’re heading out to the Twin River area or just grabbing coffee in Manville, don't let the "sunny" label fool you.
The humidity is sitting at 56%, which is actually quite dry for us, but the real story is what's coming tonight. We’re expecting the mercury to crater down to 20°F. That’s a nearly 30-degree swing in a matter of hours.
Most people think Rhode Island is too small to have varying weather patterns, but that’s just not true. Lincoln often ends up on the "rain-snow line." That's the invisible, frustrating boundary where a storm decides to dump six inches of powder on us or just soak everything in a miserable, freezing slush.
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The Upcoming Week: Buckle Up
If you have plans this weekend, Saturday is the day to watch. We’re looking at a mix of rain and snow with a 65% chance of precipitation. The high will hit 39°F, which is that classic New England "raw" weather—the kind that gets into your bones no matter how many layers you wear.
The start of next week looks even more brutal. By Tuesday, January 20, we’re looking at a high of only 21°F and a low of 8°F.
- Friday: High of 32°F, sunny but windy (18 mph from the west).
- Monday: High of 32°F, low of 13°F. Pure January.
- Next Saturday (Jan 24): Keep an eye on this. Early models are showing a heavy snow storm with a 65% chance of accumulation.
What Most People Get Wrong About Our Climate
We tend to remember the big ones—like the 2010 floods that shut down I-95 or Blizzard Juno—but the real trend in Lincoln has been the gradual "warming." Since the early 20th century, Rhode Island has warmed by about 3°F. That sounds small, but it’s the difference between a white Christmas and a rainy one.
Historically, January is our coldest month, with average highs around 35°F and lows near 21°F. But look at today’s high of 49°F. We are consistently beating those old averages.
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One thing local experts like those at the Rhode Island Infrastructure Bank point out is that our precipitation is getting "chunkier." Instead of steady rain, we get these massive "precip events" where it feels like the sky just opens up. Lincoln has several dams, like the Pratt Dam, that the town has to keep a close eye on because these intense storms put a lot of pressure on our older infrastructure.
Survival Tips for the Lincoln Local
If you're new here or just tired of being caught off guard, here’s the deal.
First, ignore the "sunny" icon in the winter. It’s almost always a trap. The wind coming off the Blackstone River or through the open spaces of the parks makes that "feels like" temperature the only number that actually matters.
Second, if the forecast says "mixed precipitation," just assume the roads will be a mess. Lincoln’s hills—especially around Saylseville and Lonsdale—don't play nice with ice.
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Third, check your gutters now. With the erratic freeze-thaw cycles we’re seeing this week (49°F today, 20°F tonight), ice dams are a huge risk for homeowners here.
Basically, weather for Lincoln RI is a constant negotiation with nature. You just have to be ready to pivot.
Next Steps for Staying Safe:
- Check your tire pressure: These 30-degree temperature swings will trigger your TPMS light every single time.
- Stock the "Slush Kit": Keep a real shovel and a bag of grit in the trunk before Saturday’s rain-snow mix hits.
- Watch the Saturday Forecast: The 65% chance of snow could easily turn into a messy commute if the temperature drops faster than expected.