Honestly, if you're checking the weather for leroy new york, you’re probably bracing for a blizzard or wondering if you should pack a parka for a June wedding. People call this part of Western New York the "snowbelt," and they aren't exactly wrong. But it's also not the frozen wasteland people imagine.
Right now, as of January 17, 2026, things are looking pretty typical for mid-winter. The current temperature is sitting at 35°F, but with a southwest wind kicking at 11 mph, it actually feels more like 28°F. It’s mostly cloudy—standard Genesee County vibes—but we’ve got some weirdly specific shifts coming over the next few days that illustrate exactly why this town’s microclimate is so fascinating.
The Lake Effect Paradox
Most people think the closer you are to the water, the more snow you get. In Le Roy, it’s all about the "fetch."
Because the town sits just east of the Lake Erie shoreline and south of Lake Ontario, it gets hit from two sides. Sometimes, a massive band of lake effect snow will hammer Buffalo, and Le Roy stays bone dry. Other times, the wind shifts just five degrees, and suddenly you're looking at a localized dumping that leaves the neighboring village of Stafford completely untouched.
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It’s actually quite stressful for the highway crews.
For instance, looking at the immediate forecast:
- Saturday (Today): We’ve got a high of 37°F with a 39% chance of snow during the day.
- Sunday: The bottom drops out. The high only reaches 21°F and the low hits 14°F.
- Monday: Expect a high of 23°F and a 40% chance of steady snow.
Basically, if you’re driving on the I-90 or Route 5 this week, you’ve gotta watch those west-to-southwest winds. They’re forecasted to gust between 13 mph and 19 mph over the next 48 hours. That’s enough to turn a little bit of falling snow into a complete whiteout through the open farm fields.
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Summer in the Valley
Le Roy isn't just about the white stuff. Summers here are surprisingly gorgeous, though they can get a bit "sticky," as locals say.
July is the hottest month, with an average high of 82°F. It’s the kind of weather where you actually want to be outside at the local parks or checking out the Jell-O Museum. But even in the peak of summer, the humidity stays around 66% to 71%. It’s not Florida, but you'll feel it.
The interesting thing about the weather for leroy new york is the clarity. August is officially the clearest month of the year. The sky is clear or partly cloudy about 65% of the time. If you’re into stargazing or just want a reliable day for a BBQ, that’s your window.
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Compare that to January, where we only see the sun about 29% of the time. It's a gray existence for a few months, but it makes those spring blooms in April feel earned.
The Numbers Nobody Tells You
We like to talk about the big storms—like the massive "Snowvember" event of 2014 where some spots in Western New York saw 70+ inches—but the day-to-day reality is more about the persistence of moisture.
- Rainfall Patterns: September is actually the wettest month on average, pulling in about 3.0 inches of rain.
- The Coldest Night: Usually happens around January 29th. The average low is 16°F, but we've seen it dip way below zero when the arctic air loses its mind and sweeps down from Canada.
- Soil Conditions: Right now, the soil temperature in Le Roy is sitting at exactly 32°F. It’s frozen. No mud risk, but definitely no gardening either.
Surviving the 10-Day Outlook
If you're planning your week, keep an eye on Tuesday, January 20th. We’re looking at a high of only 13°F with snow showers. It’s going to be the coldest day of the stretch.
By the following Sunday, January 25th, it gets even more intense with a projected high of 8°F and a low of 1°F. That’s the kind of cold that makes your car struggle to start.
Actionable Weather Strategy for Le Roy:
- Vehicle Prep: Ensure your tires have sufficient tread before Monday’s snow; the southwest winds at 19 mph will create significant drifting on east-west roads like Route 5.
- Home Maintenance: With temperatures dropping to -2°F by late next week (January 27), now is the time to ensure your outdoor spigots are drained and insulated.
- Travel Planning: If you're commuting toward Rochester or Buffalo, the lake effect bands are most likely to impact the morning commute on Wednesday, January 21, when there's a 35% chance of snow showers and shifting winds from the south.
The weather for leroy new york is a moving target. It requires a bit of patience and a lot of layers. Whether it's the 37-degree "warm" spell we're having today or the sub-zero temps coming next week, you've just gotta take it one day at a time.