Warren Buffett Buys Tesla: Why the Oracle is Avoiding Elon Musk Instead

Warren Buffett Buys Tesla: Why the Oracle is Avoiding Elon Musk Instead

The internet loves a good "what if." Recently, a whirlwind of rumors suggested a massive shift in the financial universe: Warren Buffett buys Tesla. It sounds like the ultimate crossover event, a merger of the old-school value investing king and the techno-king of the future.

Honestly, it’s a fantasy that makes for great clickbait. But if you look at the cold, hard filings from Berkshire Hathaway, the reality is much less cinematic. Warren Buffett hasn't bought Tesla. In fact, he’s spent the last year doing the exact opposite of what most tech-hungry investors are doing. He’s been hording cash and exiting the auto sector almost entirely.

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The Truth Behind the Rumors

Let’s get the facts straight. The idea that Warren Buffett is suddenly scooping up TSLA shares usually stems from misinterpretations of 13F filings or, more recently, a very convincing April Fools' prank in 2025. One satirical article claimed Buffett was buying Tesla for $1 trillion and secretly driving a Cybertruck around Omaha. It was fake.

People want it to be true because it would validate Tesla's astronomical valuation. If the world’s most famous "value" guy buys in, it must be a value play, right? Wrong.

As of early 2026, Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio shows zero shares of Tesla. Buffett actually spent much of 2025 trimming his most famous tech position—Apple—and dumping his remaining stakes in other automotive plays like BYD. If he’s selling the "Tesla of China," why would he jump into the original version at a much higher price-to-earnings multiple?

Why Buffett and Musk Don't Mix

You’ve got to understand the "Circle of Competence." This is the invisible fence Buffett builds around his investments. If he doesn't understand how a company will look in ten years, he doesn't touch it.

  1. The Moat Problem: Buffett loves moats—durable competitive advantages. He’s gone on record saying that while Tesla has done amazing things, the car industry is brutal. Everyone is making EVs now. Ford, GM, and the Chinese giants are all eating into Tesla’s market share, which fell to around 38% in the U.S. by late 2025.
  2. Predictability: Buffett likes boring. He likes Sees Candies and Geico because people will always want chocolate and car insurance. Musk’s Tesla is a moving target. Is it a car company? An AI house? A robotics lab? To Buffett, that uncertainty is just risk in a fancy suit.
  3. The "Key Man" Risk: Elon Musk is a lot. Between running X (formerly Twitter), SpaceX, and his stint with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), his focus is split. Buffett prefers managers who live and breathe one business.

The Trillion Dollar Pay Package Tension

Things got a bit spicy in 2025. Buffett used his final annual letter as CEO to take a swipe at "envy and greed" in corporate America. While he didn't name Musk, the timing was impossible to ignore. It happened right after Tesla shareholders approved a pay package for Musk that could eventually be worth $1 trillion.

Buffett’s style is the $100,000 salary and a focus on the shareholders. Musk’s style is the "all-or-nothing" moonshot. They aren't just in different ballparks; they're playing different sports.

What Berkshire is Actually Buying

If he isn't buying Tesla, where is the money going?

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Surprisingly, Berkshire opened a position in Alphabet (Google’s parent) in late 2025. This was a shocker. Alphabet was trading at a much more "Buffett-like" valuation compared to the rest of the Magnificent Seven. It’s got a massive moat (Search) and generates piles of cash.

He’s also sitting on a record-breaking cash pile of over $300 billion. He’s waiting for a "fat pitch"—a great company at a terminal price. Tesla, trading at triple-digit P/E ratios during its peaks, simply doesn't fit the math.

The Takeaway for You

If you’re waiting for the "Warren Buffett buys Tesla" headline to confirm your investment, you might be waiting forever. Buffett is a historian of failure. He knows that out of the hundreds of car companies that started in the 20th century, only a few survived. He isn't betting against Musk; he’s just refusing to bet on a race where the track is still being built.

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Actionable Steps for Investors

  • Check the 13F Filings: Don't trust social media rumors. Use the SEC EDGAR database or sites like WhaleWisdom to see what Berkshire actually owns.
  • Look at the Moat: If you own Tesla, ask yourself if their "moat" is software or hardware. If it’s software (FSD), you’re betting on AI. If it’s hardware, you need to watch the margins like a hawk as competition increases.
  • Diversify Like the Oracle: Even when Buffett likes a sector, he doesn't go "all in" on the most expensive player. He looks for the one with the best cash flow relative to its price.
  • Ignore the Hype: Most "Buffett buys X" news is either old or misinterpreted. Focus on the earnings reports, not the rumors.

The legendary investor has officially stepped back from the CEO role at Berkshire, handing the reins to Greg Abel. Abel is a "numbers guy" even more than Buffett. If the Oracle didn't buy Tesla at $50, the new guard is unlikely to buy it at $250.

Focus on the fundamentals of the business you are buying, rather than the celebrities you hope will buy it after you.