So, if you were hoping for a quiet Sunday in Ocean County, the atmosphere has other plans. Honestly, tomorrow—Sunday, January 18, 2026—is shaping up to be one of those classic Jersey Shore winter days where you can't quite decide if you need a shovel or an umbrella. Or maybe both.
The big story for weather for toms river nj tomorrow is a sloppy transition. We're looking at a daytime condition of rain and snow. It's not a full-blown blizzard, but it's definitely enough to make a trip to the ShopRite on Route 37 feel like a chore.
The Nitty-Gritty Numbers for Sunday
Let's talk stats because the timing of these shifts matters when you're trying to plan your day. According to the latest data from Google Weather, the high for tomorrow is hitting exactly 36°F. That is dangerously close to the freezing mark, which is why we’re seeing that "rain and snow" mix instead of just fluffy powder.
When the sun goes down, things get significantly colder. The low is projected to drop to 22°F.
The humidity is going to be sitting high at 93%. Basically, it’s going to feel damp and raw. The wind will be coming out of the north at 10 mph. While 10 mph doesn't sound like a gale, a north wind at 36 degrees has a way of cutting right through a light jacket.
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Precipitation: What to Expect When You Step Outside
The chance of precipitation during the day is 45%, and it's specifically labeled as snow in the forecast breakdown. However, because of that 36-degree high, don't be surprised if it starts as slush or a cold, biting rain before showing any flakes.
Nighttime brings a 40% chance of snow.
The interesting part? The night condition is eventually expected to clear out. This means whatever falls during the day might freeze solid once that temperature craters to 22°F. If you have a driveway to clear, you’re probably better off doing it before the sun sets. Once it hits the 20s, that slush turns into a block of ice.
Why Tomorrow's Forecast is So Uncertain
Predicting weather for toms river nj tomorrow is always a bit of a gamble because of the "Coastal Effect." We're sitting right there by the water. Often, the Barnegat Bay acts as a heat sink, keeping the immediate shore just warm enough to prevent snow from sticking, while places just a few miles inland—like Manchester or Jackson—get a few inches.
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National Weather Service discussions from Mount Holly have been tracking two distinct systems moving through the region this weekend. While the Saturday system was the "First Alert" event for many, Sunday is the lingering "System Two" that keeps the wintry pattern established.
The UV index is a 1. You won't be seeing much of the sun until maybe very late in the day or into Sunday night.
What This Means for Your Monday
Looking ahead just a tiny bit, the clearing on Sunday night is actually a precursor to a much colder, but sunnier, start to the week. By the time Martin Luther King Jr. Day rolls around, the moisture should be gone, but the chill will be very real.
But for tomorrow? It’s a messy mix.
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Drive safe if you're heading out. The Parkway can get notoriously slick around the Toms River exits (81 to 83) when the temperature hovers right at 32-34 degrees. Black ice is a real possibility in the early morning and late evening hours.
Quick Prep for Sunday in Toms River
- Check your wipers: With a rain-snow mix, you’ll be using them constantly.
- Salt the walk early: Don't wait for the 22°F drop at night.
- Watch the North Wind: That 10 mph breeze will make it feel closer to 28°F.
Stay warm, keep an eye on the sky, and maybe just stay in and watch the game. It's that kind of Sunday.
Check your local municipality's social media pages for any specific brine or salting schedules on township roads, as they usually prep the main drags like Old Freehold Road and Hooper Avenue ahead of these 40% plus precipitation windows.