Texarkana is a weird place for weather. One minute you’re walking downtown near the post office that straddles the state line, and it’s a crisp, clear afternoon. Two hours later? You’re digging for that heavy coat you swore you wouldn't need until February.
If you’re looking at the weather in texarkana 10 days out, you've probably noticed a bit of a roller coaster starting to form on your phone's screen. Honestly, January in the Ark-La-Tex is less of a season and more of a mood swing.
Right now, we are sitting in a bit of a sweet spot. Tonight, January 15, things are staying clear with a low of 30°F. If you're out late, it’s going to feel more like 36°F with that light south wind. It’s that dry, biting cold that makes you appreciate a thick pair of socks.
The 10-Day Outlook: Sunshine Meets a Soggy Finish
Tomorrow, Friday the 16th, looks like a winner. We are hitting a high of 58°F. It’s basically the "perfect" Texas-Arkansas winter day—sunny enough to feel the warmth on your face but cool enough that you aren't sweating in a sweater.
But don't get too comfortable.
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Saturday is going to be a bit of a reality check. The high drops back to 41°F, and the clouds are moving in. If you have outdoor plans for the weekend, Sunday is your better bet for comfort, even though it starts off at a freezing 23°F. It’ll bounce back to 50°F under clear skies.
Breaking Down the Next Week
The middle of next week is where the "Texarkana Special" happens. We see a gradual climb in temperatures, but it comes with a price: rain.
- Monday (Jan 19): Partly sunny, high of 46°F. Solid day for errands.
- Tuesday (Jan 20): Mostly sunny, high of 48°F.
- Wednesday (Jan 21): This is the pivot point. We jump to 53°F, but the chance of rain hits 35% during the day and climbs to 45% at night.
- Thursday (Jan 22): Expect a high of 60°F. It sounds nice, but with 85% humidity and light rain, it’s going to feel "soupy."
- Friday (Jan 23): We peak at 61°F. Still rainy, still grey.
By the time we hit Saturday, January 24, the temperature starts to slide again, settling around 51°F with lingering showers.
Why Texarkana Weather Is So Unpredictable
You've lived here long enough to know the drill. We are at the mercy of Gulf moisture fighting against those northern cold fronts. When they collide right over Bowie and Miller counties, things get messy.
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Historically, January is our coldest month. The average high is usually around 54°F, which lines up pretty well with what we are seeing this year. But records show we’ve seen everything from -7°F back in 1918 to a whopping 85°F in 1907. That’s a 92-degree spread for the same month. Crazy, right?
The humidity here is the real kicker. In January, it averages about 82%. That’s why a 40-degree day here feels way more miserable than a 40-degree day in a place like Denver. The dampness just seeps into your bones.
What You Actually Need to Wear
Forget the fashion show. Between now and the 25th, you need layers.
Layering is key because you’ll start your morning at 27°F and end up in a 50-degree afternoon. A light windbreaker or a medium-weight jacket is usually enough for the sunny days, but once those rain chances spike on Wednesday and Thursday, make sure you have something actually waterproof. A cotton hoodie will just turn into a heavy, wet rag in that 85% humidity.
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Staying Ahead of the Storm
Texarkana isn't exactly a blizzard capital, but we do see occasional snow or sleet when the timing is "just right." For this 10-day stretch, the snow risk is remarkably low. We might see a 10% flake chance on Saturday the 17th, but don't go buying out the milk and bread at Super 1 just yet. It’s likely just going to be a cold, cloudy day.
The real threat is the rain towards the end of the week. With rainfall amounts potentially hitting over 2 inches in some models for Wednesday, watch out for the usual low-spot flooding on the Arkansas side.
Next Steps for You:
- Check your tires: That sudden drop from 58°F on Friday to 41°F on Saturday will trigger your "low tire pressure" light. Air them up now.
- Garden Prep: If you have sensitive plants out, Sunday morning's 23°F low is the one that will kill them. Cover them or bring them in by Saturday night.
- Waterproofing: Dig out the umbrellas and rain boots before Tuesday night. You'll be using them for three days straight starting Wednesday.