Tallahassee Weather Explained: Why This 10-Day Forecast Is Getting Wild

Tallahassee Weather Explained: Why This 10-Day Forecast Is Getting Wild

Honestly, if you live in Florida’s capital, you’ve probably learned to keep a parka and a pair of shorts in your car at all times. It’s just how it is. But the 10 day weather forecast for Tallahassee fl starting January 17, 2026, is leaning heavily into that "bipolar" reputation we all joke about. We’re looking at a stretch that swings from rainy 65°F afternoons to bone-chilling 24°F nights in the span of 24 hours.

It’s weird. It’s North Florida.

The Immediate Outlook: Rain Today, Freeze Tomorrow

Right now, as of Saturday morning, January 17, things are feeling a bit damp and heavy. We’ve got a current temp of 44°F, but with that 84% humidity and a 7 mph breeze coming off the southeast, it "feels like" 41°F. If you’re heading out to the Market District or just grabbing coffee, keep the umbrella close. Today’s high is hitting 65°F, but the real story is tonight—the chance of rain jumps to 75%.

Then, the floor falls out.

Sunday, January 18, is where the forecast gets genuinely aggressive. We’re talking about a high of only 45°F during the day, which is actually lower than the average low for some parts of the state. But the overnight? 24°F. That is a hard freeze, folks.

The National Weather Service has been keeping a close eye on this, and they’ve even mentioned the possibility of a brief rain/snow mix or "all snow" for a few hours Sunday morning as that cold air mashes into the departing moisture. Don’t go buying a sled just yet—the ground is way too warm for anything to stick to the roads—but your grass might look a little "festive" for an hour or two.

Breaking Down the 10 Day Weather Forecast for Tallahassee FL

If you’re trying to plan your week, here’s the raw data without the fluff.

Monday and Tuesday (Jan 19-20) are going to be bright but brutal. We’re looking at sunny skies on Monday with a high of 54°F, but another 24°F low at night. Tuesday stays cool at 54°F with a slightly "warmer" low of 28°F. Basically, if you have outdoor plants or exposed pipes, you aren’t out of the woods until Wednesday.

By midweek, things start to moderate. Wednesday, January 21, brings us back to 60°F, and the lows finally crawl out of the 20s, hitting 32°F. It’s still cold, but it won’t feel like the Arctic tundra anymore. Thursday and Friday see us holding steady with highs in the 60s and lows reaching the low 40s.

The second weekend of this forecast—Saturday, Jan 24, and Sunday, Jan 25—actually looks decent. We might see a high of 72°F on Sunday. That’s nearly a 30-degree jump from the previous Sunday.

Why Tallahassee Gets These Wild Swings

Why does this happen? Most people forget that Tallahassee is geographically more like South Georgia than South Florida. We don’t have the luxury of the Gulf Stream keeping us warm when these Arctic fronts dive south.

Historically, January is our coldest month. While our average high is usually around 64°F, we’ve seen extremes like the 6°F record back in 1985. So, hitting 24°F isn't "record-breaking," but it’s definitely enough to trigger the opening of local cold-weather shelters, which officials have already started doing.

Expert Tip: When the 10 day weather forecast for Tallahassee fl shows consecutive nights below 30°F, the "Four P's" are non-negotiable: People, Pets, Plants, and Pipes.

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What You Should Actually Do Now

Don't wait until Sunday night when it's already 30 degrees to look for your faucet covers.

  1. Check your heater now. There is nothing worse than turning on the furnace for the first time in months only to realize it's blowing cold air.
  2. Water your plants. It sounds counterintuitive, but moist soil stays warmer than dry soil and can actually protect the roots during a freeze.
  3. Drip those faucets. If you’re in an older home in Midtown or near FSU, those pipes are vulnerable when it hits 24°F.
  4. Pet safety. If it’s too cold for you, it’s too cold for them. Bring them inside.

The roller coaster is just starting. By the time we hit Monday, January 26, we’ll be back to 62°F with a 25% chance of rain, returning to the standard Tallahassee "gray and cool" January vibe.

For now, enjoy the 65°F today, because tomorrow morning is going to be a very different story.