So, you're looking at the tallahassee 10 day forecast and wondering if you should pack a parka or a polo. Honestly, welcome to winter in North Florida. It's that weird time of year where the morning feels like the Arctic and the afternoon feels like a mild spring day in the Carolinas.
Basically, if you don't like the weather in Tally, just wait twenty minutes. Or, in the case of this upcoming week, wait about forty-eight hours for a total vibe shift.
The Wild Ride of the Tallahassee 10 Day Forecast
Right now, as of Friday, January 16, 2026, we are sitting at a crisp 50°F with a humidity of 33%. It’s gorgeous out—sunny, clear, and exactly what people moved to Florida for. But don't get too comfortable. Today’s high is hitting 54°F, but the low is plummeting to a freezing 28°F tonight.
That’s a 26-degree swing. You’ve gotta love it.
Here is the thing about the tallahassee 10 day forecast right now: we are entering a "transition week." We are coming off a weak La Niña pattern, which typically means a drier, warmer winter for us. However, the National Weather Service and the Climate Prediction Center are eyeing a shift toward ENSO-neutral conditions. What does that mean for your weekend plans? It means variability is the name of the game.
Saturday and Sunday: The Cold Snap and the... Snow?
Saturday, Jan 17, brings a messy change. Expect light rain with a high of 63°F and a low of 42°F. The humidity is going to spike to 78%. It’s that damp, "gets-in-your-bones" kind of cold.
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Then comes Sunday. This is the one everyone is texting about. Sunday, Jan 18, is looking sunny with a high of 45°F, but here’s the kicker: there is a 65% chance of snow during the daytime.
Yes, snow in Tallahassee.
Before you go buying a sled, remember where we live. Most of the time, "snow" in the Big Bend means a few stray flakes that melt before they hit the pavement at the Challenger Learning Center. But with a low of 32°F and a biting 11 mph northwest wind, it’s going to feel legitimately freezing.
The Mid-Week Warmup
By Monday, Jan 19, the sun is back, but the "cold" lingers with a high of 53°F. The rest of the week looks like a slow climb back to "Florida normal."
- Tuesday, Jan 20: Mostly cloudy, high of 49°F. Still chilly.
- Wednesday, Jan 21: Partly sunny, high of 56°F.
- Thursday, Jan 22: We finally break the 60s again with a high of 65°F.
By the time we hit next Saturday, Jan 24, we’re looking at a high of 72°F. That is classic Tallahassee. You go from a 28-degree night to a 72-degree afternoon in the span of a week.
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Why Tally Weather is So Weird in January
Tallahassee isn't like Miami or even Orlando. We’re inland, and we’re sitting right in the path of those continental cold fronts that dive down from the Plains. According to historical data from the FSU Climate Center, January is statistically our coldest month.
The average high is usually around 64°F, with lows near 40°F. But averages are just numbers. Real life in Tally means record highs like the 83°F we saw in 1957, or the record low of 6°F back in 1985. We live on the edge of the subtropics, and sometimes the Arctic wins the tug-of-war.
Understanding the Humidity Factor
People talk about the "dry" winter air here, but "dry" is relative. Today’s 33% humidity is a treat. By Saturday, that 78% humidity combined with rain makes the 63°F high feel significantly colder than it actually is.
If you're visiting from up North, you might laugh at us wearing puffer jackets in the 50s. But trust me, once that Gulf moisture hits the cold air, it creates a "wet cold" that is notoriously hard to dress for.
What You Should Actually Do
If you are tracking the tallahassee 10 day forecast for a trip or just to plan your yard work, here is the move.
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First, drip your pipes on Friday and Sunday nights. With lows hitting 28°F and 32°F, you don't want to deal with a burst pipe on Monday morning. Second, if you have sensitive plants (looking at you, hibiscus and citrus), bring them inside or cover them now.
Third, dress in layers. It's a cliché for a reason. You'll need a heavy coat at 7:00 AM for that coffee run to Lucky Goat, but by 2:00 PM, you'll be stripping down to a long-sleeve tee.
Kinda crazy, right? But that’s just life in the Panhandle. Keep an eye on the northwest winds—they are the real culprit behind those "feels like" temperatures. When the wind is coming from the south (like it is today at 6 mph), we stay mild. When it flips to the northwest at 11 mph on Sunday, that’s when the "real" winter arrives.
Check your local radar on Sunday for those snow flurries. Even if it doesn't stick, it’s a rare Tallahassee treat that makes for a great Instagram story before the humidity climbs back up and the rain returns next weekend.
Actionable Insights for the Week:
- Pipe Protection: Cover outdoor faucets by Friday evening to prepare for the 28°F low.
- Layering Strategy: Saturday requires waterproof outer layers; Sunday requires wind-resistant gear for that 11 mph breeze.
- Plant Care: The "killing frost" potential is high on Friday and Wednesday nights (lows of 28°F and 29°F).
- Rain Prep: Keep the umbrella handy for Saturday (45% chance) and next Sunday (40% chance).