If you’re just glancing at the box scores, you’re probably missing the weirdest part about the Golden State Warriors right now. Most people look at the standings, see a 21-19 record, and assume the dynasty has finally run out of gas. They see an 8th-place team in a brutal Western Conference and think it's a slow fade into the sunset.
Honestly? It's way more complicated than that.
The stats on warriors game nights tell a story of a team that is fundamentally different from the 2015-2022 era, yet they are still leaning on a 37-year-old Stephen Curry to do things that shouldn't be possible. We're talking about a guy averaging 28.8 points per game while being old enough to be some of his teammates' uncles. It’s wild.
The Curry Factor: More Than Just Threes
Everyone knows Steph is a shooter. But the efficiency he's maintaining in 2026 is actually a statistical anomaly. He’s currently hitting 4.7 three-pointers per game on a 39.1% clip. That’s sixth-highest in single-season history for 3s per game.
What’s even crazier is his True Shooting percentage. He’s sitting at 64.2%. For a guard who carries this much volume and takes this much contact, that’s basically god-mode.
Steph is the only player this season averaging over 28 points on 64% True Shooting besides the "Big Three" of Nikola Jokic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Giannis Antetokounmpo. He’s keeping them afloat. When he’s off the floor, the offensive rating falls off a cliff.
Jimmy Butler in the Bay?
One of the biggest shifts in the stats on warriors game flow this year comes from the addition of Jimmy Butler III. It still feels weird seeing him in a Warriors jersey. But look at the numbers.
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Jimmy is giving them nearly 20 points a night (19.9 to be exact) and shooting 50.9% from the floor. He’s not shooting a ton of threes—only about 2.3 attempts per game—but he’s getting to the line nearly 8 times every night. That’s something the Warriors have historically lacked: a guy who can just go get a foul when the jump shots aren't falling.
Draymond Green and the Defensive Identity
Draymond is 35 now. He’s not the DPOY-level athlete who could switch 1 through 5 for 40 minutes anymore. But the impact is still there in the advanced metrics.
- Defensive Rating: The team allows 113.6 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA.
- Playmaking: He’s still the primary engine, leading the team with 5.5 assists.
- The "Glue" Effect: He's averaging 8.6 points and 5.9 rebounds, which doesn't look like much until you see that he has a game-high 12 assists in a single outing recently against the Clippers.
But it hasn't been all smooth sailing. Draymond was ejected in early January against the Jazz after two quick techs. His availability is still a rollercoaster. He’s dealt with ankle sprains and "rest" days that have forced Steve Kerr to lean on younger guys like Quinten Post and Trayce Jackson-Davis.
The Youth Movement: Kuminga and Podziemski
Jonathan Kuminga is the rebounding leader? Believe it. He's grabbing 6.2 boards a game. He’s only 23 and finally starting to look like the physical force they’ve wanted him to be, even if his scoring (11.8 PPG) is a bit inconsistent.
Then there's Brandin Podziemski.
He’s playing 26.8 minutes a night and hitting nearly 40% of his threes. He’s basically the heir apparent to the "Warriors Way" of playing. He does all the little things—the charges, the hockey assists, the scrappy rebounds.
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Bench Depth or Bench Trouble?
The Warriors are currently 16th in Offensive Rating (115.5) and 10th in Defensive Rating (113.7). That +1.8 Net Rating is actually better than their 21-19 record suggests.
They’ve had some heartbreakers. They lost to the Clippers by 1 point (103-102) on January 5th. They got blown out by OKC (131-94) on January 2nd. It’s a Jekyll and Hyde situation.
The shooting depth is a bit weird. Buddy Hield is only averaging 7.3 points in 17 minutes. You’d expect more from a guy with his gravity, but the rotation is crowded. Seth Curry is also on the roster now, which is a fun narrative, but he’s mostly playing bit minutes.
Why the Records Don't Match the Talent
The West is a gauntlet in 2026. The Thunder are 33-7. The Rockets are 22-14. The Spurs—with a maturing Victor Wembanyama—are 27-12.
Being .500 right now isn't the death sentence it used to be, but the Warriors are hovering at the 8th seed for a reason. Their field goal percentage defense is 17th in the league (47.2%). They aren't scaring people at the rim anymore. Al Horford is 39 years old and giving them 18 minutes a night. He’s a smart defender, but he’s not erasing mistakes at the rim.
Actionable Insights for the Second Half
If you're watching the stats on warriors game trends to see if they can make a playoff run, keep an eye on these three specific indicators.
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First, look at the turnover margin. They are still prone to those "Draymond-to-Steph" home run passes that end up in the third row. When they keep turnovers under 12, they usually win.
Second, monitor Jimmy Butler’s health. He’s 36. If he misses a 10-game stretch, this team doesn't have enough rim pressure to survive.
Third, watch the 3-point defense. They are 6th in the league at defending the arc (34.8%), which is their path to winning. If they start giving up 40% nights to opponents, they simply can't outscore the elite teams anymore.
The road ahead is tough. They have Portland, New York, and Charlotte coming up at home. If they want to climb out of the play-in tournament, they need to turn that +1.8 Net Rating into actual wins.
Watch the rotation of Moses Moody. He’s averaging 10.2 points in 24 minutes and has been one of their most consistent "plus" players. If Kerr gives him more of Podziemski's or Hield's minutes, the defense might tighten up enough to secure a top-6 seed.