Stack of Playing Cards: What Most People Get Wrong About Randomness

Stack of Playing Cards: What Most People Get Wrong About Randomness

You’ve seen it a thousand times. A magician sits down, cracks the plastic seal on a fresh deck, and starts fiddling with a stack of playing cards. It looks simple. It’s just cardboard and ink, right? Honestly, though, if you actually stop to think about the math happening between those 52 pieces of cardstock, it’s enough to make your head spin. Most people assume that after a few quick riffles, the deck is "random."

It isn't. Not even close.

In 1992, Persi Diaconis—a man who literally ran away from home to do magic before becoming a Harvard statistics professor—proved something that changed how casinos and pro players look at a deck. He showed that it takes exactly seven riffle shuffles to truly randomize a standard deck. Six isn't enough. Eight is barely better than seven. But seven is the magic number where the original order finally, completely dissolves into chaos.

The Math of the 52-Card Order

Let’s talk about the number 52!. That’s 52 factorial. If you write it out, it’s a 5 followed by 67 zeros. That is a massive, incomprehensible number. To give you some perspective, if every star in the observable universe had a trillion planets, and on every one of those planets there were a trillion people, and every one of those people had a trillion decks of cards, and they all shuffled those decks a trillion times a second since the Big Bang... they still wouldn't have even scratched the surface of all the possible ways a stack of playing cards can be arranged.

Every time you give a deck a truly thorough shuffle, you are almost certainly holding a sequence of cards that has never existed before in the history of the universe. Ever.

It’s wild.

But here’s the kicker: humans are terrible at recognizing randomness. We see patterns where there are none. If you deal a hand of poker and get four Aces, you think the deck is "hot" or rigged. In a truly random stack, clusters happen. A perfectly "spaced out" deck where no two cards of the same color touch is actually the opposite of random; it’s highly ordered.

The Problem With Modern Manufacturing

Most people don't realize that a brand-new stack of playing cards comes in a very specific "New Deck Order." For a standard Bicycle deck (manufactured by the United States Playing Card Company), that order is Spades (Ace through King), Diamonds (Ace through King), then Clubs and Hearts in reverse.

If you take that brand new stack and perform a "perfect" Faro shuffle—where the deck is split exactly in half and the cards interlace one-by-one—you can actually return the deck to its original state. Do it eight times perfectly? The deck is back to the exact order it was in when it left the factory in Erlanger, Kentucky.

Casinos hate this.

That’s why they use "the wash." You’ve seen it on TV. The dealer spreads the cards face down on the table and just swirls them around like a toddler playing with finger paints. It looks messy. It looks unprofessional. But it’s actually one of the most effective ways to break up "slugs" of cards that stayed together from the previous hand.

Why Quality Matters (It’s Not Just Snobbery)

If you're just playing Go Fish with the kids, a $2 deck from the drugstore is fine. But if you're serious about card handling or magic, the physical construction of the stack of playing cards changes everything.

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  1. The Core: Real playing cards aren't just one layer of paper. They are "black core" or "blue core." This means two layers of cardstock are glued together with an opaque adhesive. This stops people from "peeking"—holding the card up to a light to see the value through the paper.
  2. The Finish: Most high-end cards use a linen finish. If you look closely, the surface isn't smooth; it has tiny dimples. These dimples trap air, acting like little ball bearings that allow the cards to glide over each other. Without that air cushion, the cards would stick together like a humid mess.
  3. The Cut: This is the nerdy stuff. Cards are punched out of large sheets using a blade. A "Traditional Cut" means the blade goes from the face to the back. This creates a tiny bevel on the edge that makes it easier to do certain shuffles. If a deck feels "gritty" when you shuffle it, it’s usually because the cut was done cheaply.

The Rise of Plastic

In the world of high-stakes poker, paper is dead. Brands like Kem or Copag dominate. These aren't paper; they’re cellulose acetate or PVC. You can literally wash them in the sink. You can bend them into a U-shape and they’ll snap back perfectly.

The reason isn't just durability. It’s security. In a long game, paper cards get "nicked." A tiny dent on the corner of the Ace of Spades becomes a "mark" that an observant player can use to cheat. Plastic cards are nearly impossible to mark accidentally. If you're running a game with a $1,000 buy-in, you aren't using paper.

The Psychology of the Stack

There is something deeply satisfying about a squared-up stack of playing cards. In the world of "cardistry"—a performance art that’s basically juggling but with cards—the deck is treated as a kinetic sculpture. Performers like the Virts or Dan and Dave Buck have turned the simple act of shuffling into something that looks like CGI.

But for the rest of us, the deck represents something else: the ultimate equalizer. Whether it's a game of Bridge at a retirement home or a Blackjack table in Vegas, the rules are the same. The cards don't care who you are.

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Common Misconceptions

People think shuffling more always means better randomness. Not true. If you do an "overhand shuffle"—that thing where you just drop chunks of cards from one hand to the other—you would need to do it about 10,000 times to get the same level of randomness as seven riffle shuffles. 10,000. Nobody has time for that.

Another big one? The "Joker" rule. Many people leave them in the deck because they think it "adds more randomness." It doesn't. It just changes the math of the game. If you're playing a game designed for 52 cards, adding those two extra pieces of cardboard changes the probability of every single draw.

Actionable Steps for Your Next Game

If you want to handle your stack of playing cards like a pro and ensure a fair game, follow these specific steps.

First, ditch the "bridge" at the end of the shuffle if you're using cheap paper cards. It looks cool, but it warps the cardstock, making them "belly" or "bow." This makes the deck harder to deal and easier to read from the side.

Second, adopt the Vegas Standard Shuffle:

  • Riffle
  • Riffle
  • Box (take the middle chunk, move it to the top)
  • Riffle

Third, if you're buying a gift, look for "Premium Bee Stock." It’s slightly thicker and snappier than the standard Bicycle stock. It feels more substantial in the hand and lasts about 30% longer before the edges start to fray.

Finally, pay attention to the humidity. Cards are made of paper. They breathe. If your cards feel "mushy," they’ve absorbed too much moisture. Keep them in a metal card clip (often called a Porper clip) to keep them flat and dry. It sounds overkill, but it's the difference between a deck that lasts a week and one that lasts a year.

Understand the physics, respect the math, and keep the deck squared.