Spring, Texas, is one of those places where you can genuinely experience three different seasons in the span of a single lunch break. If you’ve lived here long enough, you know the drill: you walk into a store wearing a hoodie because it’s 45 degrees, and by the time you’re loading groceries into your car, the sun is out, the humidity has spiked, and you’re cranking the AC. Honestly, it’s a lot to keep up with.
As we move through January 2026, the spring texas weather forecast is showing a familiar pattern of "temperature whiplash" that keeps everyone on their toes. It’s not just about whether you need an umbrella; it’s about understanding the specific atmospheric collision that happens right over Harris and Montgomery counties.
What the 2026 Forecast Actually Looks Like
Right now, we are looking at a January that is holding relatively steady, but with some sharp outliers. For the week of January 13, 2026, we’re seeing daytime highs hovering around 60°F to 67°F. That sounds comfortable, right? Kinda. But the nights are still dipping into the low 40s.
By January 21, the moisture starts crawling back up from the Gulf of Mexico. We are looking at a 75% chance of rain that Wednesday, with temperatures jumping up to a humid 71°F. It’s that weird, sticky winter rain that feels more like May than mid-winter.
The Humidity Factor
People often ask why a 60-degree day in Spring feels different than a 60-degree day in, say, Dallas or El Paso. It’s the dew point. In Spring, our proximity to the coast means the air is almost always holding onto a little extra weight. Even in January, the humidity can jump from a crisp 30% to a sweltering 80% in 24 hours.
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When the dew point hits 65°F or higher, that’s when the "muggy" feeling sets in. According to historical data from the National Weather Service (NWS) at Bush Intercontinental Airport—just a stone's throw away—January usually stays under that threshold, but the end of this month is trending toward some abnormally humid "warm fronts."
Why the Spring Texas Weather Forecast is So Moody
The geography of our area is basically a playground for air masses. You have cold, dry Arctic air pushing down from the north meeting that warm, wet soup coming off the Gulf. When they clash over Spring, things get interesting.
- The January Dip: Historically, January 7 or 8 is the coldest point of the year here. We’re past that "lowest" average high of 62°F, but don’t let your guard down.
- The Rain Patterns: We get about 53 inches of rain a year. Most of that hits in late spring (the season, not the town), but January still averages nearly 4 inches of precipitation.
- The Ice Threat: While snow is basically a myth in Southeast Texas—usually happening once a decade if we’re "lucky"—freezing rain and sleet are the real enemies. They happen when a cold front stalls right at the edge of the coast.
A Look Toward February and March
If you’re planning outdoor projects or gardening, February is usually the wild card. The spring texas weather forecast for February often includes the most overcast days of the year. Cloud cover peaks at about 57% during this month, meaning lots of grey, "blah" days before the bluebonnets start popping in March.
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Speaking of March, that’s when the severe weather threat really ramps up. We’re talking about the "clash of seasons." May is technically the wettest month, but March is when the thunderstorms start carrying that "downburst" energy—winds that can hit 60 to 80 mph without even needing a tornado to do it.
Surviving the "Four Seasons in One Week"
If you’re new to the area, or just visiting, the "layering" advice isn't just a cliché. It’s a survival strategy. You can start the day at 42°F and end it at 77°F. That’s a 35-degree swing. It’s taxing on your HVAC system and your sinuses.
Honestly, the best way to handle the local forecast is to watch the wind direction. If it’s coming from the North or Northwest, enjoy the dry air. The second it shifts to the South or Southeast, get ready for the "Texas Steam."
Practical Next Steps for Residents
- Seal the gaps: With 16 mph winds predicted for mid-January, those little drafts around your windows will start costing you money on your heating bill.
- Watch the Dew Point: Don't just look at the temperature. If the dew point is rising quickly, expect fog and low visibility during your morning commute on I-45 or the Hardy Toll Road.
- Garden Prep: Hold off on any sensitive planting. While it feels like spring is already here when it hits 75°F in late January, the "last freeze" in our region usually doesn't happen until late February or even early March.
Stay weather-aware, especially toward the end of the month when those rain chances spike. The Gulf is already trending a bit warmer than usual this year, which typically acts as fuel for those late-winter showers. Keep your rain gear in the car—you're going to need it before the month is out.