Snow Expected in Chicago: What Most People Get Wrong About This Week’s Forecast

Snow Expected in Chicago: What Most People Get Wrong About This Week’s Forecast

Look, Chicagoans are pretty much born with a scraper in one hand and a bottle of de-icer in the other. We think we've seen it all. But honestly, this January 2026 stretch is turning into a weirdly localized headache that’s catching people off guard.

It's not a massive "Snowmageddon" blizzard. Not yet.

Right now, we're looking at a relentless, annoying series of clippers and lake-effect bursts. The snow expected in Chicago over the next few days isn't about one giant dump of powder; it's about the cumulative "death by a thousand cuts" on your commute.

The Immediate Outlook for Saturday and Sunday

As of today, Saturday, January 17, the city is sitting under a stubborn cloud deck. We’ve already seen light snow today with a high of only 19°F. If you’ve been outside, you know that 16 mph wind from the west makes it feel more like 3°F. It's that biting, Chicago-style cold that gets into your marrow.

Tomorrow, Sunday, January 18, things get a bit more active. We’re looking at snow showers throughout both the day and night. The chance of precipitation bumps up to 25%, which doesn't sound like much until you’re trying to merge onto the Kennedy in a whiteout.

The National Weather Service has been keeping a close eye on these "intermittent" patterns. Unlike a major system where you can see the wall of snow coming on radar from three states away, these showers are patchy. One neighborhood gets a dusting, while another three miles away gets an inch in twenty minutes. It’s localized. It’s frustrating. It’s Chicago.

Why Snow Expected in Chicago This Week is Different

Normally, we worry about the big systems coming up from the Gulf or sweeping across the plains. But this week, it's all about the moisture off Lake Michigan and these fast-moving "clippers."

Earlier this month, specifically on January 14, we saw a brutal example of this. A morning snow squall absolutely snarled the rush hour commute. Visibility at O'Hare and Midway dropped to a quarter-mile in what felt like seconds. That’s the danger right now.

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You're driving along at 55 mph, and suddenly, you can’t see the taillights in front of you.

The Temperature Rollercoaster

The real story isn't just the flakes; it's the mercury. On Monday, January 19, the high is projected to be a measly 9°F. That is dangerously cold. When you combine that with the 19 mph west winds we're expecting, the wind chill is going to be well below zero.

Here is how the next few days break down in terms of raw numbers:

  • Saturday (Today): Light snow, High 19°F, Low 13°F.
  • Sunday: Snow showers, High 21°F, Low 9°F.
  • Monday: Partly sunny but brutal, High 9°F, Low 7°F.
  • Tuesday: A "warm-up" to 28°F, but snow showers return at night with a 35% chance.

If you’re planning on Tuesday being your "errand day," do it in the morning. By the time the sun goes down, that 35% chance of snow kicks in, and it’s likely to coat the roads just in time for the freeze-over.

Lake Effect Realities

While the city proper is dealing with these clippers, our neighbors in Northwest Indiana are getting hammered. Lake-effect snow is a different beast entirely. We’ve seen reports of over six inches in places like Porter and LaPorte counties while downtown Chicago just sees a few flurries.

This happens because the cold air moves over the relatively warmer waters of Lake Michigan, picking up moisture and dumping it the second it hits land. If that wind shifts just a few degrees to the north, those six-inch totals could easily slide into the Chicago lakefront.

The Long-Term 2026 Winter Context

Kinda wild to think about, but just over a week ago on January 8, Chicago actually hit 60°F. We broke rainfall records at O'Hare with nearly two inches of rain. That "winter" felt more like a soggy April.

Now, the bill has come due.

The Farmers’ Almanac and various climate models for the 2025-2026 season predicted a "chill, snow, repeat" cycle. We’re officially in the "repeat" phase. Historically, January is our snowiest month, averaging about 11.3 inches. While we’re currently below the historical average for total accumulation, the frequency of these small events is what’s causing the most trouble for IDOT and CDOT crews.

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Practical Steps for the Next 48 Hours

Don't be the person stuck on the side of I-90 because you thought "it’s just a few flurries."

  1. Check the Squall Warnings: The NWS now issues specific Snow Squall Warnings that trigger alerts on your phone. If you get one, stay off the road for 30 minutes. These things move fast and leave as quickly as they arrive.
  2. Top Off Fluids: Cold like Monday's 9°F high will find the weakness in your car battery and your wiper fluid. Make sure you’re using the -20°F rated de-icer fluid.
  3. Pet Safety: With highs not even hitting double digits on Monday, "quick potty breaks" are the rule. Salt on the sidewalks can also burn their paws, so wipe them down when they come inside.
  4. Commute Buffers: If you’re taking the 'L' or Metra, expect switches to freeze. It happens every year, and with the snow showers expected Sunday night, Monday morning transit will likely have "minor delays" written all over it.

Honestly, the best thing you can do is keep the gas tank at least half full. If you do get stuck in a traffic jam caused by a localized whiteout, you’ll want that heater running. We aren't looking at a historical burial this week, but the combination of sub-zero wind chills and slick, "clippery" snow makes this one of the more dangerous stretches of the season so far. Stay warm, keep the lights on, and maybe skip the car wash until Wednesday.

Check your tires tonight. Cold air makes the pressure drop, and the last thing you want on a slick Sunday night is a low-pressure light popping up while you're navigating a snow shower. If you have a choice, knock out your grocery runs before the sun sets on Sunday. Once that Monday deep freeze hits, even the salt on the roads starts to lose its effectiveness, turning every side street into a skating rink. Stay safe out there.