Percentage of voters by age: Why the 18-year-old gap isn't what you think

Percentage of voters by age: Why the 18-year-old gap isn't what you think

It's a Tuesday morning in November. You're standing in a line that snakes around a local elementary school gym. You look around. If you’re in a typical American precinct, you’re probably seeing a lot of gray hair. This isn't just a vibe; it's the hard math of American democracy.

When we talk about the percentage of voters by age, we’re usually looking at a lopsided see-saw. The older you get, the more likely you are to show up. It’s been that way since the 26th Amendment lowered the voting age to 18 in 1971. But the 2024 election threw some serious curveballs into that narrative.

Honestly, the "lazy youth" stereotype is getting a bit dusty. While the youngest voters still trail behind grandma and grandpa, the gap is shifting in ways that have campaign managers losing sleep.

The 2024 Reality Check: Who Actually Showed Up?

According to the latest 2025 data from the U.S. Census Bureau and analysis by CIRCLE at Tufts University, about 65.3% of the citizen voting-age population cast a ballot in the 2024 presidential election. That’s a massive number—the second highest in over a century, tied with the 1960 Kennedy-Nixon race.

But when you slice that by age, the numbers diverge wildly.

For the 65 and older crowd, turnout hit a staggering 74.7%. Basically, three out of every four seniors voted. Compare that to the 18–24 age group, where only 47.7% showed up. It's a thirty-point canyon. Even the slightly older "youth" group (ages 25–44) only hovered around 60.2%.

Why the massive disparity? Experts like Dr. Abby Kiesa from CIRCLE point out that it isn't just "apathy." It’s institutional. Older people have stable addresses. They have established routines. They aren't trying to figure out how to register while moving between dorms or starting a first job in a new city.

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The Surprising Rightward Shift in the Youth Vote

For years, the "youth vote" was treated as a monolith—a guaranteed blue wave. 2024 blew that up.

While young voters (18–29) still favored the Democratic ticket, the margin shrank significantly. In 2020, Joe Biden won this group by roughly 24 points. By 2024, that lead for Kamala Harris was chopped down to about 10 points.

Wait, it gets weirder.

If you look at the 18–24-year-olds, they supported Harris by 10 points. But their slightly older peers—the 25–29-year-olds—actually supported Donald Trump by 2 points. This "micro-generation" split is something we haven't seen in decades. It turns out that those five years of "real world" experience, dealing with inflation and the housing market, radically changed how people in their late 20s viewed the candidates.

The Gender Chasm

Gender is the new secret sauce in the percentage of voters by age data. In the 2024 cycle, young women (18–29) turned out at roughly 50%, while young men lagged at 41%.

But look at who they voted for:

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  • Young Men: 56% voted for Trump.
  • Young Women: 58% voted for Harris.

It’s almost a mirror image. We’re seeing a generation that is essentially speaking two different political languages. Young men were primarily motivated by the economy and jobs (40% cited this as their top issue), while young women were more likely to prioritize reproductive rights and healthcare.

Why the "Age-Turnout Gap" Still Exists

If you're 70, you've probably lived in the same house for a decade. You know where the polling place is. You get the mailers. You’ve seen how local property taxes affect your retirement.

For a 19-year-old, the "cost" of voting is higher. I'm not talking about money—I'm talking about time and "know-how."

A recent study published in eScholarship argues that voting costs are distributed unequally. Young people are less likely to have a driver's license (the primary ID in many states). They are less likely to know they can update their registration at the DMV.

In states with "high-friction" voting—think strict ID laws or no same-day registration—youth turnout craters. In Oklahoma and Arkansas, youth turnout in 2024 was a measly 33%. Meanwhile, in Minnesota, which has same-day registration and a culture of civic engagement, it was 62%.

Policy matters more than "vibe."

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The Midterm Slump vs. Presidential Peaks

We can't talk about the percentage of voters by age without mentioning the midterm "drop-off."

In 2022, a "record-breaking" year for midterm youth turnout, only 23% of 18–29-year-olds voted. That sounds terrible until you realize the 2014 midterm youth turnout was just 13%. We are technically in a "golden age" of youth participation, even if it feels low compared to the 70% rates of the Boomer generation.

The 2026 midterms will be the ultimate test. Historically, the party in power loses seats, and younger voters—who tend to be more fickle—often stay home. If the 47% turnout from 2024 holds steady or only drops slightly in 2026, it would signal a permanent shift in American politics.

Actionable Insights: Moving the Needle

Understanding the data is one thing; changing it is another. If you're looking to influence these numbers, here's what the evidence says actually works:

  • Pre-Registration is King: States that allow 16 and 17-year-olds to "pre-register" see significantly higher turnout once they hit 18. It catches them while they are still in a stable environment (high school).
  • On-Campus Polling: It sounds simple, but placing a ballot box in a student union can jump turnout by double digits. Removing the "transportation" hurdle is the single biggest fix for the age gap.
  • The "Vibe" Shift vs. Policy: Campaigns that focus on "economic utility"—how a specific policy puts money in a 22-year-old’s pocket—are outperforming campaigns that focus on "civic duty."
  • Peer-to-Peer Networks: Data consistently shows that a text from a friend is 10x more effective at getting a young person to the polls than a celebrity endorsement or a TV ad.

The percentage of voters by age isn't a fixed law of nature. It’s a reflection of how easy—or hard—we make it for different groups to participate. As the 2026 cycle approaches, the question isn't whether young people care. They do. The question is whether the system will actually let them show it.

To stay ahead of the next election cycle, you should check your state's current registration status and look into "Permanent Mail-In" options, which statistically eliminate the most common barriers for younger, more mobile voters.