Pelicans vs Trail Blazers: Why the Battle for the Play-In Spot is Getting Weird

Pelicans vs Trail Blazers: Why the Battle for the Play-In Spot is Getting Weird

New Orleans and Portland aren't exactly the Lakers and Celtics. They don't have decades of vitriol or a dozen banners hanging between them. But honestly? If you’ve been watching the Pelicans vs Trail Blazers matchup lately, you know it’s become one of the most unpredictable, high-stakes slugfests in the Western Conference.

On January 2, 2026, the Smoothie King Center witnessed a game that basically summed up the current state of both franchises. The Pelicans, struggling at 8-28, were desperate for a spark. Portland, hovering around the 15-20 mark, needed to solidify their grip on that final Play-In spot. What we got was a 122-109 Portland victory that left New Orleans fans wondering when the injury luck—or lack thereof—would finally turn.

The Deni Avdija Show and the Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Dynamic

Deni Avdija isn't a name that usually strikes fear into the hearts of defenders, but maybe it should. In that January 2nd meeting, he went absolutely nuclear. He dropped 34 points, dished out 11 assists, and grabbed 7 boards. It was a masterclass in modern point-forward play.

Portland’s rebuild is starting to show real teeth. Shaedon Sharpe added 23 points, looking every bit like the star the Blazers hoped he’d become. On the other side, Zion Williamson was doing Zion things. He finished with 35 points and 8 rebounds, but it just wasn't enough. When you’re the leading scorer in a game and your team still loses by double digits, it tells you everything you need to know about the supporting cast issues currently plaguing New Orleans.

The Pelicans have been decimated. Brandon Ingram, often the focal point of their half-court offense, has seen his name swirl in trade rumors and injury reports for months. Meanwhile, rookie Derik Queen has been a bright spot, recently putting up a career-high 26 points against Portland back in November. But relying on rookies in the Western Conference is a recipe for a 14th-seed finish.

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Breaking Down the Stats: Why Portland Has the Edge

The numbers tell a weird story here. If you look at the season averages, these two teams are surprisingly similar on paper. Both are shooting about 34% from deep and roughly 78% from the charity stripe. So why is Portland 6.5 games ahead in the standings?

  1. The Glass: Portland is a beast on the boards. They rank second in the NBA with over 14 offensive rebounds per game.
  2. Pace: The Blazers are playing at the 6th fastest tempo in the league. They want to run.
  3. The "Blender" Factor: New Orleans, despite the "Smoothie King Center" name, has struggled at home. They are currently the lowest-scoring home offense in the league when it comes to three-pointers.

This mismatch in "second-chance points" is usually where the Pelicans vs Trail Blazers games are decided. If Donovan Clingan and Deandre Ayton (now with the Lakers, but his impact remains a ghost in Portland's system) control the paint, New Orleans has to rely on hero ball from Zion. And hero ball is exhausting.

Looking Back to Move Forward

We can't talk about this matchup without mentioning the 143-120 blowout New Orleans handed Portland on December 11, 2025. It was one of those nights where everything went right. The Pelicans tied a franchise record for points. They looked like the team everyone expected them to be three years ago.

But that’s the problem with the 2025-26 Pelicans. They are the personification of "flashes of brilliance." One night they look like a top-four seed, and the next, they are giving up 125 points to a Portland team that is still finding its identity.

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Key Matchups to Watch for the Rest of 2026

The next time these two meet is April 2nd in Portland. By then, we’ll know if New Orleans has officially pivoted to "Tank Mode" or if they’ve managed to claw back into the Play-In conversation.

Shaedon Sharpe vs. Jordan Hawkins
This is the battle of the young guards. Sharpe has the verticality and the finishing, while Hawkins is arguably one of the purest shooters in the league when his feet are set. If Hawkins can find his rhythm, it opens up the lane for Zion. If Sharpe dominates, the Blazers run away with it.

The Interior Defense
Donovan Clingan is quickly becoming a problem for the rest of the league. At 7'2", his ability to contest Zion at the rim is one of the few things that actually works against the Pelicans' star. New Orleans has tried rotating Yves Missi and Kevon Looney, but they lack the sheer rim protection needed to slow down Portland’s transition game.

Actionable Insights for Fans and Analysts

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If you're following the Pelicans vs Trail Blazers season series, keep an eye on the injury report two hours before tip-off. New Orleans is currently a "wait and see" team. If Trey Murphy III and Herbert Jones are healthy, the Pelicans' defensive rating jumps significantly. Without them, they are a sieve.

For those looking at the betting lines or fantasy implications, the "Over" has been a frequent friend in this series. Both teams rank in the top half of the league in pace but bottom third in defensive efficiency over their last ten games.

The Western Conference is a meat grinder. Portland is currently 1.5 games ahead of the Clippers and Jazz for that 10th spot. Every single game against a "lower" opponent like the Pelicans is a must-win. For New Orleans, it’s about pride and figuring out if this core can ever stay on the floor together long enough to matter.

Keep an eye on the trade deadline. With the way the standings look in mid-January, don't be surprised if the rosters look very different the next time these two squads face off in April.

Check the updated Western Conference standings daily, as the 10th through 13th spots are currently separated by a razor-thin margin. Monitor the minutes for Pelicans rookie Jeremiah Fears; his recent 18-point outing suggests he might be taking over more of the ball-handling duties as the season progresses.