If you're looking at the 30 day forecast for Paris France, you’re probably seeing a lot of conflicting icons on your screen. One app says rain. Another says "partly cloudy." A third might be hinting at a random Siberian cold snap.
Welcome to Paris in January and February.
Honestly, planning around the weather here feels like trying to predict which way a cat will jump. It's erratic. It’s moody. But if you’re heading to the City of Light in early 2026, there are some very real patterns emerging from the noise that you need to know before you zip up your suitcase.
The Current Vibe: Mild, Wet, and a Bit Confused
Right now, we are coming off a week that felt more like March than mid-winter. Temperatures have been hovering between 7°C and 13°C. It’s been gray. Drizzly. The kind of weather where you think you don't need an umbrella until your coat is suddenly soaked through.
But don’t get too comfortable with the "warmth."
Meteorologists at Météo-France are currently watching a massive block of high pressure over Scandinavia. Why does that matter to you? Because if that high pressure shifts just a few hundred miles to the west, it acts like a giant fan blowing Arctic air straight down the Champs-Élysées.
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What to expect through late January
For the next ten days or so, the 30 day forecast for Paris France shows a tug-of-war. The Atlantic is trying to keep things mild and damp, while the North is trying to freeze the fountains.
- Daytime Highs: Expect a range from 4°C (39°F) to 11°C (52°F).
- Nighttime Lows: They’re dipping toward freezing, roughly 1°C to 3°C.
- The Rain Factor: It’s almost a daily occurrence, but it’s rarely a "washout." It’s more of a persistent mist that makes the pavement look shiny and cinematic.
Will It Actually Snow?
People always ask about snow. They want that Emily in Paris winter wonderland moment.
Look, historically, Paris doesn't get much snow. When it does happen, it’s usually in late January or early February. Current models for the final week of January 2026 show a "continental air mass" moving in. This is the big one. If the humidity from the Atlantic meets that cold Siberian air, we could see a dusting.
But usually? It just turns into slush. It’s cold. It’s messy. You’ll want waterproof boots, not just stylish sneakers. If you’re here around January 25th to February 1st, keep a very close eye on the morning reports. That's the "danger zone" for a legitimate cold snap.
February 2026: The Long Range Look
As we push into February, the days get longer—praise be—but they don't necessarily get warmer.
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The first half of February 2026 is looking fairly standard. Average highs will sit around 7°C or 8°C. The "sunshine" hours are still pretty dismal, maybe 2 or 3 hours of actual bright light a day. Most of the time, the sky is a flat, heavy white. It’s actually great for photography because the light is soft, but it can feel a bit "blah" if you’re hoping for blue skies.
One thing to keep in mind: the school holidays.
From February 21st through early March, Paris sees a surge in domestic tourism. Even if the weather is biting, the cafes will be packed. People in Paris don't stay inside just because it’s 4 degrees out. They just sit under the heat lamps and keep drinking their espresso.
Quick Temperature Check
If you need the "skinny" on the numbers for your 30-day window:
- Last Week of January: Unstable. Potentially very cold (0°C to 5°C).
- First Week of February: Damp and breezy. Highs of 7°C.
- Mid-February: Slight warm-up. Potential for "false spring" days where it hits 12°C.
How to Not Hate the Weather
The biggest mistake people make with the 30 day forecast for Paris France is over-preparing for the "cold" and under-preparing for the "indoor heat."
The Metro is a furnace. The museums are kept at a steady, warm temperature to protect the art. If you wear a heavy thermal undershirt and a massive parka, you will start sweating the second you step into the Louvre. You'll be miserable.
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The Layering Strategy (The "Parisian Onion")
Basically, you want a base layer that looks decent on its own. A light wool sweater or a stylish cardigan. Then, a water-resistant outer shell. Avoid those giant "Arctic expedition" coats unless the forecast specifically predicts a polar vortex. A sleek wool coat with a hidden rain layer is the move.
And socks. Good lord, bring better socks. The dampness from the cobblestones seeps through thin cotton. Wool blends are your best friend here.
Actionable Tips for Your Trip
Don't let the "gray" forecast bum you out. Paris is actually more manageable when the weather is mediocre because the crowds at the Eiffel Tower and the Musée d'Orsay thin out significantly.
- Download the "Météo France" App: Forget the default weather app on your phone. It’s often wrong for local micro-climates. The national French service is much more accurate for the 1-hour "rain start/stop" predictions.
- The "Passage" Backup Plan: If the 30-day outlook shows a string of rainy days, map out the Passages Couverts. These are 19th-century glass-roofed shopping arcades like Passage des Panoramas or Galerie Vivienne. They are dry, heated, and beautiful.
- Museum Timing: Book your big museum tickets (Louvre, Orsay) for the mornings when the "persistent drizzle" is most likely. Save your outdoor walks for the 2:00 PM to 4:00 PM window when the sun has the best chance of breaking through.
- Waterproof Your Shoes: Even if you aren't bringing rain boots, spray your leather shoes with a protectant before you leave. The puddles in Paris are deceptive and deep.
The 30 day forecast for Paris France isn't an ultimatum; it's a suggestion. Pack a sturdy umbrella—the wind near the Seine will snap a cheap one in seconds—and prepare for a city that looks its most romantic under a bit of mist.
Next Steps for Your Trip
Check the specific daily highs for your arrival dates on a 7-day rolling basis, as the long-range models can shift drastically if the North Atlantic Oscillation flips. Make sure your "rainy day" itinerary is as solid as your sunny one.