Honestly, if you're looking at a map of Florida and thinking every coastal town feels the same, you haven't spent enough time tracking Palm Coast Florida weather. It's different here.
Most people assume it's just a carbon copy of Miami's tropical heat or Jacksonville's slightly crisp winters. It isn't. Nestled between St. Augustine and Daytona, Palm Coast sits in a bit of a climatic sweet spot. You get the Atlantic influence without some of the extreme volatility you see further south, but you also avoid the bone-chilling dampness that can creep into the Panhandle.
Right now, as of January 17, 2026, the local vibe is actually pretty comfortable. We're looking at a current temperature of 69°F. It feels a bit warmer—around 76°F—thanks to the 49% humidity and a gentle 7 mph breeze coming from the south. It’s "light sweater" weather for locals and "shorts and a t-shirt" weather for everyone visiting from up north.
The Reality of Seasonal Shifts in Palm Coast
If you want the real dirt on when to visit, you have to look past the generic "sunny Florida" brochure. Palm Coast has seasons. Sorta.
January is historically the coldest month, but "cold" is a relative term when your average high is 67°F. Take today's forecast: we’re peaking at 72°F during the day. But don't let the sunshine fool you. The low tonight is dropping to 36°F. That’s a massive swing. If you’re out at a restaurant on the Intracoastal at 6:00 PM, you’ll be fine. By 11:00 PM? You’ll be shivering if you didn't bring a jacket.
The spring is where the magic happens.
April is arguably the best month. Humidity hits its annual low—about 69%—and the temperatures stay in that glorious 78°F to 80°F range. It’s dry. It’s bright. It’s the time of year when you can actually go for a hike in Graham Swamp without feeling like you're breathing through a wet towel.
Summer Heat and the 2:00 PM "Washout"
Summer is a different beast. By June, the humidity starts its aggressive climb. August is the peak of the "muck," with humidity hitting 80% and a 100% chance of "muggy" days according to historical dew point data.
- June: Highs around 88°F, but the rain starts picking up (over 6 inches).
- July: The hottest month on average, hitting 90°F regularly.
- August: The wettest month. You can set your watch by the afternoon thunderstorms.
These storms aren't just rain. They’re events. The sky turns a bruised purple around 2:00 PM, the wind picks up, and for forty-five minutes, it looks like the world is ending. Then, the sun pops back out, the steam rises off the asphalt, and everything feels ten times more humid than before. If you're golfing at Hammock Dunes, you learn to book early morning tee times. No exceptions.
Hurricanes and Wind Risk: The Elephant in the Room
We have to talk about hurricane season. It runs from June 1st to November 30th, and Palm Coast isn't immune. Historically, the most active window is mid-August through late October.
The National Hurricane Center watches the Atlantic basin like a hawk during this time. While Palm Coast doesn't get hit as frequently with direct landfalls as the Southeast Florida coastline, the risk is real. For instance, back in 1960, a major storm (Donna) brought gusts estimated up to 184 mph to this general area.
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Today, experts suggest that 100% of homes in the Palm Coast area have at least some wind risk. It’s why the building codes here are so strict. If you’re moving here or visiting during the fall, you pay attention to the "cone of uncertainty." You don't panic, but you definitely have a plan.
Wind and Water: A Local's Perspective
October is actually the windiest month here, with average speeds around 17 mph. It’s great for the kite surfers over at Jungle Hut Road Park, but it can make the Atlantic quite choppy.
The water temperature follows its own schedule. It’s coldest in February (around 58°F to 60°F) and doesn't really get "bathtub warm" until August when it hits about 82°F. Even in the dead of summer, that Atlantic breeze provides a "cool edge" that you just don't get in landlocked Orlando.
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What to Pack for Your Trip
Packing for Palm Coast Florida weather requires some strategy because of those temperature swings I mentioned earlier.
- Layers for Winter: If you're here in January or February, bring a heavy hoodie or a light puffer jacket for the evenings. 36°F is no joke when the wind is coming off the ocean.
- Breathable Fabrics for Summer: Linen is your friend. Polyester is your enemy.
- The "Rain Strategy": Don't bother with a heavy raincoat in July. You'll just sweat inside it. Get a lightweight, vented poncho or just a sturdy umbrella and wait out the storm in a cafe.
- Sun Protection: The UV index today is a 3, which is moderate. In July? It hits 10+ regularly. You will burn in fifteen minutes without SPF 30.
Actionable Next Steps for Planning
If you're eyeing a trip or a move, here’s how to handle the climate like a pro.
Check the dew point, not just the temperature. If the dew point is over 70°F, it's going to feel oppressive regardless of the "number" on the thermometer. For outdoor activities like biking the Lehigh Trail, aim for the shoulder seasons—specifically late March to early May or late October to November.
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Always have a "Rainy Day" backup. Palm Coast has great indoor spots like the local breweries or the arts scene in nearby Flagler Beach. If the forecast says 60% chance of rain, it usually means it'll rain hard for an hour, not all day. Don't cancel your plans; just shift them.
Monitor the National Hurricane Center (NHC) updates if you’re visiting between August and October. Modern forecasting gives us plenty of lead time, so there’s no reason to be caught off guard. Palm Coast is a beautiful, breezy escape, provided you respect the power of the Atlantic and the quirkiness of the Florida sky.