nj 10 day weather report: What Most People Get Wrong

nj 10 day weather report: What Most People Get Wrong

Snow is dumping on the Garden State right now. If you're looking at the nj 10 day weather report today, Sunday, January 18, 2026, you’ve probably noticed the slush piling up outside your window. It’s 31°F out there, though it honestly feels more like 27°F with that southeast wind kicking around.

We are currently in the thick of a light to moderate snow event. Humidity is a massive 95%, which basically means the air is as saturated as it gets. If you were hoping for a dry winter day, this isn't it.

The Immediate Outlook: Shovels and Sunshine

Today is the messy part. We’re looking at a high of 35°F, but it's going to drop down to a freezing 22°F tonight. The chance of snow is sticking at 71% for the daytime hours, tapering off to 40% as the sun goes down.

Monday, January 19, brings a total 180-degree flip. The snow disappears. It’ll be sunny with a high of 34°F, but don’t let the sun fool you—the low is hitting 17°F. Plus, the wind is picking up to 14 mph from the southwest, so that "sunny" day is going to bite.

Tuesday is arguably the most brutal day in the current nj 10 day weather report. We’re talking a high of only 22°F and a low of 11°F. It’s clear, it’s sunny, and it’s absolutely frigid. If you have pipes that like to freeze, Tuesday night is when they’ll do it.

Mid-Week Shifts and Rain Potential

By Wednesday, January 21, the deep freeze starts to crack just a little. We get back up to 35°F, though the morning starts at that same 11°F mark. Interestingly, the nighttime forecast calls for light rain. This is a classic Jersey "Miller B" setup where the cold air retreats just enough to let liquid precipitation through, even if the ground is still frozen.

Thursday stays relatively "mild" for January with a high of 39°F. It’ll be partly sunny, and the low will settle at 22°F.

  • Friday, Jan 23: Mostly cloudy, high of 31°F, low of 22°F.
  • Saturday, Jan 24: Partly sunny, high of 33°F, low of 16°F. Northwest winds at 13 mph.

Looking Toward Next Week: Another Storm?

The tail end of this nj 10 day weather report shows a return to active winter weather. Sunday, January 25, brings mostly cloudy skies and a dip back to a high of 22°F.

The real day to watch is Monday, January 26. There is a 75% chance of snow all day and all night. With a high of 23°F and a low of 13°F, this won’t be the "wintry mix" garbage we often see at the coast; this looks like a straight snow event for most of the state. Northeast winds will be humming at 11 mph, which usually signals a coastal system gathering strength.

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Tuesday, January 27, looks like the cleanup day—mostly sunny, high of 24°F, and a brisk 12 mph west wind.

Why Jersey Weather Is So Hard to Pin Down

State Climatologist David Robinson has often pointed out that New Jersey is a "battleground" for air masses. We have the warm Atlantic to our east and the cold continental air to our west. This is why you see 35°F and rain in Cape May while Sussex County is getting buried in six inches of powder.

According to recent reports from the NJ State Climatologist's office at Rutgers, our winters are trendily becoming "wetter and warmer" on average, but that doesn't stop these sharp, arctic outbreaks like the one hitting us this Tuesday.

Basically, the 10-day forecast is a guide, not a guarantee. Small shifts in a low-pressure system's track—even just 50 miles—can be the difference between a "snow day" and just a "rainy Tuesday."

Actionable Next Steps for New Jersey Residents:

  1. Tuesday Freeze Prep: Since temperatures will hit 11°F on Tuesday night, January 20, make sure your outdoor hoses are disconnected and any vulnerable pipes are insulated.
  2. Travel Planning: If you have a commute on Monday, January 26, keep an eye on that 75% snow probability. It looks like the most significant travel impact day in the coming week.
  3. Monitor Wind Chill: Monday and Tuesday will have double-digit wind speeds (14 mph and 12 mph). The "real feel" will likely stay in the single digits during the morning hours.
  4. Salt Early: With the snow falling today and temperatures dropping to 22°F tonight, anything that isn't cleared will turn into a solid sheet of ice by Monday morning.