NFL Comp Picks 2025: Why Some Teams Win Free Agency by Losing

NFL Comp Picks 2025: Why Some Teams Win Free Agency by Losing

It is that weird time of the year where NFL fans start obsessing over things that aren't actually touchdowns. Basically, we’re talking about the "free money" of the NFL Draft. Most people think losing a star player in free agency is a disaster. Honestly? For teams like the Baltimore Ravens or the Dallas Cowboys, it’s just part of the plan.

The league finally made it official in March. We now know exactly how the nfl comp picks 2025 are distributed. It isn't just a random handout. It’s a complex, slightly annoying math problem solved by the NFL Management Council to keep the league somewhat balanced. If you lost more talent than you brought in during the 2024 cycle, the league gives you extra picks at the end of rounds three through seven to say "sorry for your loss."

The Big Winners: Who Cleaned Up?

Four teams managed to max out the system this year. You can’t get more than four picks from the standard formula, and the Ravens, Cowboys, Dolphins, and 49ers all hit that ceiling.

Baltimore is the gold standard here. They’ve been doing this since the system started in 1994. This year, they snagged four picks because guys like Patrick Queen and Jadeveon Clowney walked out the door. It feels like a gut punch when a Pro Bowler leaves, but when Eric DeCosta sees a fourth-round pick coming back in return, he’s probably sleeping just fine.

The Cowboys are in a similar boat, though their haul is a bit lower in the draft order. They lost Tyron Smith and Tony Pollard, among others. Because Jerry Jones was famously quiet in free agency—seriously, they barely signed anyone—they didn't "cancel out" those losses. That’s the secret sauce. If you sign a big-name free agent, you lose a pick. Dallas chose to keep their wallet closed and their draft board full.

The 2025 Compensatory Pick Breakdown by Team

  • Baltimore Ravens: 4 picks (one 4th, one 5th, two 6th)
  • Dallas Cowboys: 4 picks (three 5th, one 6th)
  • Miami Dolphins: 4 picks (one 3rd, one 4th, two 7th)
  • San Francisco 49ers: 4 picks (one 3rd special, one 4th, two 7th)
  • L.A. Chargers: 3 picks (two 6th, one 7th)
  • Seattle Seahawks: 3 picks (one 4th, two 5th)

The Kirk Cousins Effect: Minnesota’s Big Prize

The highest-valued "normal" pick this year went to the Minnesota Vikings. Why? Because Kirk Cousins signed a massive deal with the Atlanta Falcons. The formula heavily weighs Average Per Year (APY) salary. When a quarterback signs a contract worth $45 million a year, the former team is almost guaranteed a third-round pick, which is the highest possible "regular" compensation.

Minnesota is sitting at pick No. 97 overall because of Kirk. That’s essentially a late second-rounder in terms of talent. For a team trying to rebuild around a rookie QB, that’s a massive win.

What Most People Get Wrong About the Formula

You’ll hear fans complain that their team didn't get a pick for a guy they cut. Here’s the thing: "Street Free Agents" don't count. If a player is released before his contract ends, he is dead to the compensatory formula. Only players whose contracts expired count as Compensatory Free Agents (CFAs).

Also, there’s the "Cancellation" rule. This is where it gets spicy. If you lose a top-tier linebacker but sign a top-tier safety, they cancel each other out. You get nothing. This is why teams like the Houston Texans or Chicago Bears, who were aggressive spenders last year, aren't seeing any extra love in the nfl comp picks 2025 list. They traded their future picks for immediate talent.

The Three Factors That Matter

  1. Salary: This is about 75% of the equation. Higher APY = Higher Pick.
  2. Playing Time: If your former player sits on the bench all year for his new team, your pick value drops.
  3. Postseason Honors: If they make the All-Pro team, it can actually bump a 4th-rounder up to a 3rd.

The "Special" Picks Nobody Talks About

There are three picks in the third round this year that have nothing to do with players leaving. These are the "Resolution JC-2A" picks. Basically, if a team loses a minority coach or executive to a Head Coach or GM job elsewhere, they get a 3rd-round pick for two years.

For 2025, the San Francisco 49ers (DeMeco Ryans/Ran Carthon), Los Angeles Rams (Raheem Morris), and Detroit Lions (Aaron Glenn) all received these special selections. It’s a huge advantage. These picks fall at the very end of the third round, right around pick 100-102. It's the league's way of rewarding teams for developing diverse leadership talent.

[Image showing the 2020 NFL Resolution JC-2A rule for compensatory picks]

A Late Recalculation Drama

Kinda crazy, but the NFL actually had to recalculate the picks a few days after the initial announcement. On March 14, 2025, the Management Council realized they made a mistake with the New Orleans Saints.

They ended up awarding the Saints an extra 7th-round pick and taking one away from the Dolphins. It shifted the "Mr. Irrelevant" slot and moved the Browns and Chargers down a spot. It’s proof that even the league’s "proprietary formula" is prone to human error.

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Why This Matters for Your Team's Future

Having these extra picks doesn't just mean more rookies. It means trade bait. Because compensatory picks can now be traded (a rule change from a few years back), teams like the 49ers can package those extra 3rd and 4th rounders to move up in the first round.

If you're a fan of a team with zero comp picks, don't panic. It usually means your team was aggressive in free agency to win now. But if you're a Ravens or Cowboys fan, you're looking at a "war chest" of mid-round talent that keeps the roster young and cheap.

Actionable Steps for Draft Weekend

If you want to track how your team uses these nfl comp picks 2025, keep an eye on the end of Friday night (Round 3) and the start of Saturday afternoon (Rounds 4-7).

  • Watch the "Special" 3rd Rounders: These often happen around pick 97-102. This is where the 49ers and Rams usually find their hidden gems.
  • Look for Trade-Ups: Teams with 10+ total picks (like Dallas and Baltimore) are the most likely candidates to trade their comp picks to move up and grab a falling star in the 2nd round.
  • Check the "Mr. Irrelevant" Slot: The very last pick of the draft is a compensatory pick. This year, it’s a battle between the Patriots and the Chiefs for that final 7th-round slot after the recalculations.

The draft is a game of volume. The more darts you have, the more likely you are to hit a bullseye. For the teams at the top of the 2025 compensatory list, they’ve just been handed a lot more darts.