If you’ve lived in the Hudson Valley long enough, you know the drill. One minute you're walking down Liberty Street without a hat, enjoying a weirdly balmy afternoon, and the next, you're chipping an inch of ice off your windshield while the wind tries to take your face off. Right now, anyone tracking the newburgh weather 10 day forecast is seeing exactly that kind of identity crisis.
We’ve had a bit of a break lately. Honestly, the start of January 2026 has been significantly warmer than the brutal deep freeze we dealt with last year. But don't get too comfortable. The "January Thaw" is officially packing its bags.
The immediate shift: Rain, snow, and the "in-between"
Wednesday, January 14, started off relatively mild with a high of 46°F. That’s the kind of temperature that makes you think spring is coming early, but the reality is much sloppier. We’ve been seeing a mix of rain and snow throughout the day, driven by a brisk northwest wind hitting 21 mph. It’s that damp, heavy cold that sinks into your bones.
Tonight, the temperature is going to take a nose-dive to 22°F. Everything that melted or fell as rain this afternoon? It’s going to freeze. Hard.
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Thursday, January 15, looks like a transitional mess. We’re looking at a high of 31°F, which is basically the freezing point, and there’s a 35% chance of snow showers moving in by nighttime. If you're commuting near Stewart International Airport, watch the bridges. They always freeze first.
Breaking down the newburgh weather 10 day outlook
The weekend is where things get interesting—and by interesting, I mean "stay inside and make a big pot of chili." Friday, January 16, brings a high of 43°F, but the overnight period is the real concern. We have a 65% chance of light snow as the low drops to 29°F.
Here is the quick breakdown of what to expect for the rest of the week:
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- Saturday, Jan 17: Mostly cloudy with a high of 31°F. The wind will be coming from the west at 15 mph, making it feel much colder.
- Sunday, Jan 18: Partly sunny but chilly. High 27°F, low 16°F. This is standard January business.
- Monday, Jan 19 (MLK Day): Coldest day of the stretch. We’re looking at a high of only 26°F and a low of 11°F. If you have outdoor plans for the holiday, layer up.
- Tuesday, Jan 20: Still freezing. High 30°F, low 13°F.
The trend for the following days—Wednesday through Friday—shows a slight recovery in temperatures, heading back into the low 40s. Specifically, Wednesday, January 21, hits 42°F, and Thursday, January 22, stays around 43°F. By Friday, January 23, we’re looking at 44°F with a 35% chance of light rain at night.
Why the Polar Vortex is the real story
Meteorologists at the MERRA-2 project and various National Weather Service outposts are keeping a very close eye on the Polar Vortex right now. While our current newburgh weather 10 day looks like a rollercoaster of 30s and 40s, there is a serious risk of Arctic air surging down in the latter half of the month.
The vortex is weakening. When that happens, the cold air that’s usually bottled up at the North Pole starts to wobble and spill south.
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Historically, Newburgh averages a high of 36°F in January. We are hovering right around that average, but the volatility is higher than usual. We’re seeing humidity levels around 70%, which is quite high for winter, meaning any precipitation we get is likely to be heavy and "wet" rather than light and powdery.
Practical steps for Newburgh residents
Don't let the 40-degree days fool you into thinking the worst is over.
- Check your salt supply. With temperatures swinging from 46°F down to 22°F in a single day, the freeze-thaw cycle is going to create black ice on driveways and sidewalks.
- Pipe protection. When we hit that 11°F low on Monday night, make sure your outdoor hoses are disconnected. If you have pipes on exterior walls, maybe leave the tap at a tiny drip.
- Driving strategy. The 15-20 mph winds we're seeing this week can create sudden drifts, especially on more open stretches of Route 300 or Route 17K.
Basically, keep the heavy coat by the door. You’re going to need it before the week is out.