If you’ve stepped outside in Manhattan today, you already know the vibe. It’s that classic, bone-chilling dampness that only a New York winter provides. Currently, it's 36°F, but honestly, with the southwest wind kicking at 7 mph, it feels more like 30°F. The sky is dropping a steady light rain, and the humidity is sitting at a heavy 71%.
Basically, it's miserable.
But if you’re looking at the new york 14 day weather forecast, things are about to shift from "wet and gross" to "legitimately freezing." We are moving out of the drizzly mess and straight into a period of snow and plummeting temperatures.
The Immediate Outlook: Snow is Coming
Today, Saturday, January 17, is the transition point. While it started as rain, we’re expecting light snow to take over with a high of 38°F and a low of 31°F. There is a massive 97% chance of precipitation during the day. If you’re heading out tonight, the snow chance drops to 20%, but it stays cloudy.
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Tomorrow, Sunday, January 18, is when the "real" winter feels kick in. We’re looking at snow showers and a high of 34°F. The low? A biting 22°F. North winds at 7 mph will keep that chill locked in place.
The Mid-Week Deep Freeze
Monday and Tuesday are where the new york 14 day weather forecast starts to look a bit intimidating for anyone who hates the cold.
- Monday, Jan 19: It’ll be sunny, but don't let that fool you. The high is only 32°F and the low crashes to 17°F.
- Tuesday, Jan 20: This is likely the coldest day of the week. We’re talking a high of 23°F and a low of 14°F. It’s going to be clear and sunny, but at those temperatures, your coffee will be cold before you leave the shop.
The air is getting much drier, too. Humidity levels are dropping into the 50s, which means static electricity and dry skin are officially back in season.
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What to Expect for the Rest of the Month
The 14-day trend shows a brief "warm" spike on Thursday, January 22, reaching 41°F, but it's short-lived. By the following Sunday, January 25, we are back down to a high of 20°F and a brutal low of 7°F.
Honestly, the variation is wild. One day you're dealing with 41°F and southwest winds at 15 mph, and three days later, you're looking at single-digit nights. This is largely due to a stratospheric warming event that experts, like those at Severe Weather Europe, have been tracking. It’s disrupting the polar vortex and sending that Arctic air straight down the Hudson.
Survival Tactics for New Yorkers
If you're navigating the city over the next two weeks, you need a plan. The streets are going to be a mix of slush and black ice, especially by Monday when Sunday's snow showers freeze solid.
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- Footwear is everything. Forget sneakers or UGGs. You need waterproof boots with actual grip. The "slush puddles" at the corners of 5th Ave are deeper than they look.
- The Layering Rule. Since Tuesday’s high is only 23°F, a single heavy coat won't cut it. Use a thermal base layer.
- Wind Protection. With winds hitting 14-16 mph later next week, those cross-streets will feel like wind tunnels. A neck gaiter or a heavy wool scarf is non-negotiable.
The Long View
Looking further out toward the end of January, the new york 14 day weather forecast suggests we’ll stay in this below-average temperature pattern. The Old Farmer’s Almanac and recent NWS outlooks mention that while we’re in a weak La Niña year, the current stratospheric shifts are overriding the usual "milder" trends we might expect.
Basically, keep the heavy parka by the door. You’re going to need it through at least the 27th, where highs struggle to break 24°F. It's a proper New York winter, finally.
Next Steps for Your Week:
- Check your window seals today before the 14°F lows hit on Tuesday.
- Grab a pair of touchscreen-friendly glove liners; you don't want your hands exposed when checking the train schedule in 20-degree weather.
- Plan your heavy outdoor errands for Thursday when it hits 41°F, as it’s the only "warm" window you’ll get for a while.