If you’re staring at your phone’s weather app right now trying to figure out if you should cancel those plans in Asbury Park or head to Mountain Creek, I’ve got some news. New Jersey weather is doing that thing it does again. It’s messy. It’s unpredictable. Honestly, it’s just Jersey.
Right now, we are sitting in the middle of a literal "split-personality" forecast. As of Sunday, January 18, 2026, the Garden State is getting slapped with a mix of light showers and legitimate snow. The current temp is hovering at 34°F. That’s that weird, slushy territory where you don’t know whether to wear rain boots or snow boots.
The 10-Day Reality Check
Most people think a 10-day forecast is a guarantee. It isn't. It’s a suggestion from the universe. But looking at the data for new jersey weather 10 days out, we are entering a deep-freeze cycle that is going to make the next week feel very different from the current slush.
Tomorrow, Monday, January 19, things dry out, but they get crisp. We’re looking at a high of 34°F and a low of 14°F. If you’re heading out for MLK Day events, keep in mind the wind is shifting southwest at 12 mph. It’s going to bite.
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Tuesday is where the "polar" part of the Jersey winter really kicks in. The high won't even break freezing, topping out at 22°F. That night? A bone-chilling 13°F. This isn't just "jacket weather"; this is "find where you hid the thermal underwear" weather.
The Mid-Week Tease and the Weekend Punch
Wednesday, January 21, gives us a tiny break with a high of 35°F, followed by a "warm" Thursday at 43°F. Don't get used to it. By the time we hit the end of the week, the temperatures start falling off a cliff again.
- Friday, Jan 23: Mostly cloudy, high of 36°F.
- Saturday, Jan 24: Partly sunny but dropping to 24°F.
- Sunday, Jan 25: This is the one to watch. We’ve got a 35% chance of snow overnight with a low of 11°F.
The real headline for this 10-day stretch happens on Monday, January 26. We are currently looking at a 70% chance of snow with winds kicking up to 19 mph from the northwest. If you have a commute through the Pulaski Skyway or up the Parkway, this is the day that’s likely going to be a headache. The high is only 24°F, so whatever falls is going to stick and stay frozen.
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Why Jersey Winters Are Getting Weirder
I was chatting with a local climatologist recently about why our "snow" is often just "gray slush." It’s the Atlantic. We’ve got the ocean on one side and the mountains on the other. That coastal influence means places like Cape May might be sitting at 36°F and raining while Sussex County is getting buried in four inches of powder.
For this specific 10-day window, the "Blue Ridge" effect is strong. The cold air is getting trapped against the highlands, which is why the lows on Tuesday, January 27 are predicted to hit 7°F. Yes, single digits.
Honestly, the biggest mistake people make is looking at the "High" temperature and thinking they're safe. In Jersey, it’s the wind and the humidity. When you have 100% humidity (like we do today) at 34°F, the cold doesn't just sit on your skin; it sinks into your bones.
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Survival Tips for the Next 10 Days
Don't wait until Sunday night to look for your ice scraper. You’ll be that person using a credit card on your windshield at 7:00 AM. Not a good look.
- Check your tire pressure now. That drop from 34°F today to 14°F tomorrow will trigger every "Low Tire" light in the state.
- Watch the Monday (Jan 26) system. A 70% chance of snow this far out usually means a significant system is moving through the Tri-State area.
- Layer up for Tuesday. With a low of 13°F and a west wind at 13 mph, the wind chill is going to be brutal.
The stretch ends on Wednesday, January 28, with a high of 20°F and a low of 8°F. Basically, the next 10 days are a masterclass in New Jersey winter. It starts wet, gets windy, and ends in a deep freeze.
Keep your tanks half-full and your coats by the door. New Jersey doesn't do "mild" very well in late January.
Actionable Next Steps:
Check your outdoor pipes today before the temperature drops below 20°F tonight. Make sure to clear your gutters of any remaining slush from today's rain before it freezes into solid ice dams during Tuesday's 13°F cold snap.