NBA Rumors of Trade: What Most People Get Wrong About the 2026 Deadline

NBA Rumors of Trade: What Most People Get Wrong About the 2026 Deadline

The NBA trade deadline is roughly three weeks away, and honestly, the league feels like it’s vibrating. We’ve already seen the massive Trae Young domino fall—shipped off to the Wizards for CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert.

That was just the appetizer.

Right now, everyone is staring at Milwaukee and Memphis. The air is thick with NBA rumors of trade involving guys who usually don't even get their names whispered in January. We’re talking about MVP-level talent and franchise cornerstones possibly changing jerseys before February 5. It’s chaotic. It’s stressful for the fanbases involved. And it’s exactly why we love this league.

The Jonathan Kuminga Situation Is Getting Messy

If you’ve been following the Golden State saga, you know Jonathan Kuminga is officially trade-eligible as of today, January 15. He’s basically been the "in-case-of-emergency" glass for the Warriors for years, but now the glass is shattered. He wants out. He’s not even in the rotation right now, which is wild for a guy with his ceiling.

The Sacramento Kings are the ones knocking the loudest.

But there’s a catch. Reports from Michael Scotto suggest the Kings are suddenly hesitant to cough up a first-round pick. They offered one over the summer, but now? They’re playing hardball. Maybe they think they can just sign him as a free agent this summer if the Warriors decline his team option. It’s a risky game of chicken.

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Meanwhile, the Lakers are lurking. Rob Pelinka is reportedly dangling Jarred Vanderbilt and Gabe Vincent to find a wing. Could Kuminga be that guy? The Warriors might hate the idea of sending him to a rival, but if the Kings won't give up a pick, Golden State has to look elsewhere.

The Ja Morant Miami Rumors

This one caught everyone off guard. Ja Morant just bought a $3.2 million mansion in South Florida. Does a real estate purchase mean a trade is imminent? Not always. But when Sham Charania reports that the Grizzlies are actually listening to offers for the first time ever, you start connecting dots.

Memphis is at a crossroads.

Tension between Morant and the organization has been bubbling all season. If they move him, they’re going to want a haul of young talent and picks. The Heat are the team to watch here. They have that "Culture" everyone talks about—the kind of structure that might be exactly what Morant needs to reset his career. But would Pat Riley risk the chemistry for a superstar with Ja's baggage?

Giannis and the "If They Don't Want Me" Factor

The biggest fish in the sea is Giannis Antetokounmpo. He told The Athletic last week that he’d never ask for a trade. "It's not in my nature," he said.

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But then he added the kicker: "If they don't want me..."

That tiny caveat has front offices across the league hyperventilating. The Bucks are struggling. They’re old. They’re expensive. If they decide they can't build a winner around him anymore, a trade could happen. It likely won't be this month—blockbusters this big usually wait for the summer—but don't be shocked if a desperate team like the Thunder or Rockets tries to throw the kitchen sink at Milwaukee before Feb 5.

Everyone Else on the Move

It’s not just the superstars. The middle of the market is where the most active NBA rumors of trade are living right now.

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nets): He’s averaging nearly 26 points a game in Brooklyn. He’s a knockdown shooter with size. Contenders are drooling.
  • Nikola Vucevic (Bulls): Chicago has eight guys on expiring deals. Vucevic is the most consistent of the bunch. He’s a walking double-double who could help a team like the Knicks or Pelicans.
  • Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): Danny Ainge is back at it. He’s looking for the next massive haul of picks.
  • Anthony Davis (Mavericks): After the Nico Harrison firing, AD's future in Dallas is murky. He's dealing with a hand injury, but teams are still calling to see if the Mavs are ready to tank for Cooper Flagg.

What You Should Actually Watch For

Don't get distracted by the flashy names that never move. Focus on the "Trade-Eligible" list that just expanded. Today, 11 more players became available, including Josh Giddey, Naz Reid, and Santi Aldama.

The real action usually happens in the final 48 hours. Teams wait for the price to drop. They wait for a star to get frustrated.

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If you're trying to figure out where the next move comes from, look at the teams underperforming their payroll. The Cavs are reportedly looking to move off Lonzo Ball’s contract to save nearly $60 million in luxury tax. The Suns and Blazers are "sneaky buyers" looking for centers like Nick Richards or Robert Williams III.

Keep an eye on the Pelicans too. They’ve made Herb Jones and Trey Murphy III off-limits, which tells you they think they can win now. If they're buyers, they might be the dark horse to land a disgruntled star.

To stay ahead of the curve, watch the injury reports and DNP-CDs (Did Not Play - Coach's Decision). When a healthy player like Kuminga or Dalton Knecht stops seeing the floor, a trade call has usually already been made.

Check the salary cap implications for your team before getting excited about a rumor. Most "blockbuster" ideas die because the math doesn't work under the new CBA's harsh apron rules. If a team is over the second apron, like the Celtics or Suns, their ability to trade is severely restricted. They can't aggregate salaries or take back more money than they send out. That's the real reason many of these rumors never turn into reality.