Honestly, if you're looking at the nashville weather forecast 10 day right now, you're probably seeing a bit of a rollercoaster. That's just January in Middle Tennessee for you. One minute it's 50 degrees and raining, and the next, you're scraping frost off your windshield in 20-degree air.
Right now, as of early Saturday, January 17, 2026, things are getting pretty real. The temperature is sitting at exactly 36°F, but with that west wind moving at 6 mph, it feels more like 30°F. If you’re heading out for coffee or a morning walk, yeah, it’s cold. The humidity is super high at 93%, which gives the air that heavy, bone-chilling dampness that Nashville does so well in the winter.
What's actually happening over the next week?
The next few days are basically a lesson in "Arctic air." Today, Saturday, we’re looking at a high of 40°F with partly sunny skies. It sounds decent until you realize the low tonight is going to hit 20°F. And that’s just the start. Sunday is going to be even colder, struggling to reach a high of 33°F.
Basically, the "Big Chill" peaks Monday and Tuesday. Monday, January 19, is looking at a high of just 32°F and a low of 17°F. Tuesday keeps that same low of 17°F. We’re talking about "stay inside and drink hot cocoa" weather. The National Weather Service in Nashville has been talking about a strong cold front and an upper-level trough that’s just sitting over the Eastern U.S., which is why we're seeing these temperatures plunge 15-25 degrees below what’s normal for this time of year.
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The Mid-Week Mess
If you can make it to Wednesday, January 21, things start to shift. We’ll see a high of 42°F, which feels like a heatwave after Monday. But—and there's always a but—there’s a 45% chance of a rain and snow mix during the day. This is that classic Nashville scenario where the precipitation hits just as the temperatures are trying to climb, making the roads potentially "interesting."
By Thursday and Friday, we finally crawl back into the mid-40s.
- Friday, Jan 23: High of 47°F, low of 34°F.
- Saturday, Jan 24: High of 44°F with a chance of light rain.
- Sunday, Jan 25: High of 39°F and a low of 25°F.
One weird thing to watch is the humidity. Next Sunday and Monday (Jan 25-26), the humidity is forecast to be at 100%. When it's 40°F and 100% humidity with light rain, it’s a specific kind of miserable that requires waterproof gear and a lot of patience.
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Why Nashville weather is so unpredictable
People always joke that if you don't like the weather in Tennessee, just wait five minutes. There’s some truth to that, mostly because we’re tucked into the Tennessee River Valley. We’ve got the Cumberland Plateau to our east, which can sometimes block or trap weather systems.
Historically, January is our coldest month. While our average high is usually around 46°F, we’ve seen crazy extremes—like the record low of -11°F back in 1985. We're not hitting those levels this week, but 17°F is still plenty cold for a city that usually prefers a mild spring.
Real Talk: What to Wear
If you're visiting or just trying to survive the commute, don't trust the "sunny" icons on your app.
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- Layers are everything. You’ll want a base layer for those 17-degree mornings.
- Wind protection. Today’s west wind is 13 mph, which makes 40°F feel much harsher.
- Waterproof shoes. Between the rain-snow mix on Wednesday and the 100% humidity rain later in the week, soggy socks are a real threat.
The Big Picture
Looking toward the end of the 10-day window, Monday, January 26, is keeping the trend alive with a high of 40°F and a mix of light rain during the day and snow at night. It’s a very "winter in the South" pattern: wet, cold, and slightly chaotic.
Actionable Next Steps:
- Check your pipes: With lows hitting 17°F on Monday and Tuesday nights, make sure your outdoor faucets are covered.
- Wednesday Travel: If you have a commute on Wednesday, Jan 21, check the radar early. That rain/snow mix at 42°F can be deceptively slick.
- Gear Up: Make sure you have a heavy coat ready by Sunday evening; you won't want to be without it for the Monday morning rush.