You’ve heard the jokes about Nashville weather. If you don't like it, wait five minutes, right? Honestly, that’s a bit of an understatement this week.
We are currently sitting in that weird January pocket where the city can't decide if it wants to be a winter wonderland or a brisk autumn afternoon. If you’re planning to hit Broadway or just trying to figure out if you need to drip your faucets, the next seven days are going to be a rollercoaster.
Basically, the nashville tn weekly weather is looking like a classic Middle Tennessee "cold snap" followed by a sudden, damp rebound.
The Immediate Outlook: Bracing for the Big Dip
Tonight is actually feeling somewhat decent at 40°F, but don't let that fool you. The humidity is sitting high at 83%, making that southwest wind feel a lot sharper than the 6 mph suggests. If you're out late, it’s already feeling like 36°F.
Saturday, January 17, starts off with a high of 42°F under partly sunny skies. Sounds okay? Maybe. But the real story is the overnight drop. We are looking at a low of 19°F.
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That is a massive swing.
When the temperature drops that fast, the wind usually picks up, and tomorrow is no exception with west winds hitting 15 mph.
The Deep Freeze (Sunday through Tuesday)
Sunday is where the "dry cold" really settles in. We won't even break the freezing mark for most of the day, topping out at 36°F. The low? Another 19°F.
Monday stays identical at 36°F for the high, but the overnight is going to be the coldest of the week at 16°F. Tuesday follows suit with a high of 38°F and a low of 15°F.
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Why This Week is Tricky
Most people assume Nashville is "The South" and therefore "not that cold."
Tell that to your frozen pipes.
What's wild about this week is the lack of significant moisture during the coldest bits. While there's a tiny 10% chance of snow on Monday, it’s mostly just clear, biting cold. This is actually more dangerous in some ways because people let their guard down when there isn't a foot of snow on the ground.
The Mid-Week "Warm" Up (and the Rain)
By Wednesday, January 21, the pattern flips.
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We jump nearly 15 degrees to a high of 51°F. That sounds like a relief until you see the precipitation. We’ve got a 45% chance of light rain moving in overnight.
| Date | High Temp | Low Temp | Condition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jan 17 | 42°F | 19°F | Partly Sunny |
| Sun, Jan 18 | 36°F | 19°F | Sunny |
| Mon, Jan 19 | 36°F | 16°F | Mostly Cloudy |
| Tue, Jan 20 | 38°F | 15°F | Sunny |
| Wed, Jan 21 | 51°F | 32°F | Light Rain |
| Thu, Jan 22 | 41°F | 25°F | Partly Sunny |
| Fri, Jan 23 | 48°F | 28°F | Partly Sunny |
Surviving the Music City Chill
If you’re visiting, layers aren't just a suggestion; they are a survival tactic.
A heavy wool coat is great for the Sunday-Tuesday stretch, but you’ll want something water-resistant by Wednesday. Nashville isn't built for ice, and while the forecast doesn't explicitly scream "ice storm" yet, that 40% chance of snow/rain on Thursday when the high is 41°F is exactly the kind of setup that makes local meteorologists nervous.
Remember, the humidity here stays relatively high even in winter (35% to 52% this week), which means the cold "clings" to you. It’s a damp cold that gets into your bones.
Actionable Tips for the Week
- Drip the Faucets: When it hits 15°F or 16°F on Monday and Tuesday nights, those exterior wall pipes are at risk.
- Check the Pets: It’s too cold for outdoor animals starting Sunday night.
- Wind Protection: Saturday’s 15 mph wind will make that 42°F feel like the 20s. Wear a windbreaker over your hoodie.
- Commute Watch: Keep an eye on Wednesday night into Thursday morning. That transition from 51°F rain back down to a 25°F low on Thursday can create "black ice" on overpasses like the I-40/I-65 split.
Stay warm, keep the coffee brewing, and don't be surprised if you see the whole city in parkas one day and light jackets the next. That’s just Nashville for you.