Honestly, if you're waking up in MoBay today, January 16, 2026, don't let the gray sky outside your resort window trick you into staying in bed. It’s cloudy. Like, officially cloudy. But here’s the thing about Montego Bay weather today—it’s that weird, perfect kind of Caribbean overcast where you can still get a tan through the haze without even trying.
The temperature is sitting pretty at 77°F right now. It feels a bit heavier, though. Because of that 80% humidity, the "real feel" is actually closer to 81°F. You’ve probably noticed the air feels a little thick, like a warm hug that lasts maybe three seconds too long.
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What to actually expect on the ground
Don't cancel your catamaran trip. Seriously. While the sky looks a bit moody, the chance of actual rain hitting your drink is only about 10% this morning. It’s mostly just "vibes" rain—enough to make the hibiscus flowers look shiny but not enough to ruin a round of golf at White Witch.
The wind is coming in from the east at about 7 mph. It's a light breeze, barely enough to move the palm fronds, but it helps take the edge off that humidity. If you’re down by the Hip Strip, you’ll barely feel it.
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Planning your afternoon in MoBay
As we move into the afternoon, things shift slightly. We’re looking at a high of 82°F. The clouds might break for some "liquid sunshine" (that's what the locals call light rain) with the precipitation chance bumping up to 25% during the daylight hours.
- The Temperature Spread: High of 82°F / Low of 75°F
- UV Index: It’s a 2 today. That’s low.
- Wind Update: It’ll pick up to about 13 mph later from the east.
Basically, it's a "comfortable" day. Not sweltering, not chilly. Just... Jamaica.
Why the UV Index matters today
Most tourists see a UV index of 2 and think they can skip the SPF. Bad move. Even with the clouds, the tropical sun is sneaky. Since the humidity is at 74% for the daily average, your skin is going to stay moist, which actually makes it easier to burn if you aren't careful. Wear the sunscreen. Your future self will thank you when you aren't peeling like an onion at Margaritaville tonight.
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Real talk on the evening forecast
Tonight is going to be a classic Jamaican evening. The temperature will dip to a very manageable 75°F. It’ll stay cloudy, and there’s a small 15% chance of a stray shower. If you’re planning dinner on a terrace, you’re golden. The east wind will keep things moving so it doesn't feel stagnant.
Montego Bay weather today is actually great for the stuff people usually avoid when it's 90 degrees and sunny. It’s the perfect day to head into the hills or do a walking tour of Sam Sharpe Square without melting into the pavement.
Actionable Next Steps:
- Pack a light waterproof layer: Not for a monsoon, just for those 25% chance "light rain" moments while you're out.
- Book the outdoor activities: The low UV index and 82°F high make this the best day of the week for hiking or long beach walks.
- Stay hydrated: 80% humidity means you're losing water faster than you think, even if you don't feel "hot."