You’ve heard the jokes. Miami doesn't have seasons; it just has different levels of humidity. But honestly, if you’re looking at the miami weather 10 day forecast right now, you know that’s not quite true.
Today is Friday, January 16, 2026. If you stepped outside this morning, you probably felt that bite. We’re sitting at a crisp 46°F. It feels like 41°F. In a city where people break out the parkas when it hits 65°F, this is basically the arctic.
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The north wind is pushing at 9 mph, keeping things bright but chilly. It’s sunny, sure, but don't let the glare fool you into thinking it's beach weather. Not today.
What’s Actually Happening This Week
The local vibe is shifting fast. We just came off a record-tying 84°F weekend—classic Miami mood swings—and now we’re in the middle of a "Cold Weather Advisory" from the National Weather Service.
Basically, a powerful cold front swept through yesterday. It brought the coldest air we've seen in about three years. Meteorologist Vivian Gonzalez and the team at Local 10 have been tracking this trough extending all the way from Canada. It’s a literal funnel of chilly air.
The Immediate Outlook
- Saturday, Jan 17: We start to "warm" back up. High of 76°F. The wind shifts to the east. It'll be mostly cloudy, though, so don't expect a tan.
- Sunday, Jan 18: This is the peak of the rebound. We might hit 80°F. But—and there's always a "but"—it’s going to be overcast with a chance of passing showers.
- Monday, Jan 19 (MLK Day): Another dip. Highs back down to 68°F. Lows hitting 50°F.
It's a rollercoaster. You’re gonna need the hoodie in the morning and a light tee by 2 PM. Then maybe a raincoat.
The Mid-Week "Muck"
By Tuesday and Wednesday (Jan 20-21), the mercury settles into the low-to-mid 70s. Humidity is hovering around 60%, which is actually pretty comfortable for us.
Thursday, January 22, looks like the outlier. We’re looking at a 65% chance of rain. Showers and light rain are expected to stick around most of the day with a high of 75°F. If you’re planning an outdoor event, Thursday is your enemy.
Beyond the Front: The Long Range
As we head into next weekend (Jan 24-25), things stabilize. We’re looking at highs of 78°F and 76°F.
The interesting thing about this miami weather 10 day forecast is how it reflects the broader La Niña pattern. The Old Farmer’s Almanac and local experts have been saying this winter would be "colder than normal" for Florida, and we’re seeing that play out. Usually, January is dry. We get about 1.6 inches of rain all month. But this week, the stalled fronts are keeping things damp.
Surprising Stats for January 2026
Most people assume Miami is always 80 degrees. Look at the numbers for the next few days:
- The Low Point: 45°F tonight.
- The High Point: 80°F on Sunday.
- The UV Factor: Even on "cool" days, the UV index is hitting 4. You can still get a sunburn in 60-degree weather.
What You Should Actually Do
If you're living through this 10-day stretch, stop checking the "daily high" and start checking the "hourly feel."
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- Layering is the only way. That 45°F low and 67°F high for today means a 22-degree swing.
- Watch the Rip Currents. The north and east winds are kicking up the surf. Even if it looks pretty, the Atlantic is hazardous right now.
- Hydrate regardless. The humidity is lower (around 57-59%), which means you won't feel as sweaty, but the sun is still doing its thing.
Keep an eye on the transition into Monday. That drop from Sunday's 80°F to Monday's 68°F is going to feel a lot more dramatic than the numbers suggest. Welcome to a real Miami winter.
Check the wind direction specifically on Sunday; it’s coming from the West at 9 mph, which usually means the humidity stays a bit lower before the next clouds roll in. Stay dry on Thursday.
Actionable Next Steps:
Keep your weather app open for Thursday’s rain timing—the 65% chance of showers is currently centered on the morning hours, but that could shift. If you have sensitive plants outside, tonight's 45°F is the "danger zone," so bring them in or cover them before the sun goes down.