You’ve felt it. That bite in the air walking down Beale Street lately isn't just a breeze; it's the real deal. Memphis weather is notoriously moody, but the current memphis weather 15 day forecast is shaping up to be a textbook example of why we keep our heavy coats and light jackets in the same closet. Honestly, if you aren't checking the radar every morning, you're playing a dangerous game with your wardrobe.
Right now, we are sitting in a deep chill. As of Saturday night, January 17, it’s a crisp 32°F out there under clear skies. It feels like the kind of cold that settles into your bones, especially with that northwest wind.
The Immediate Outlook: Sun, Then a Shift
Tomorrow, Sunday, looks like a winner if you like the sun but hate the heat. We're looking at a high of 34°F. It’s going to be bright, but don’t let that fool you into thinking it’s warm. The low is dropping to 20°F. Basically, it’s perfect "stay inside and watch football" weather.
Monday carries that same torch—high of 34°F, low of 21°F, and mostly cloudy. It’s consistent. It’s predictable.
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Then, things get weird.
By Wednesday, January 21, the mercury starts to climb. We’re talking a high of 45°F. That’s a double-edged sword because with the warmth comes the moisture. There’s a 35% chance of rain during the day. If you’ve lived in the Mid-South long enough, you know this transition period is when the humidity starts to make everything feel a little "soggy" before the next front hits.
Mid-Week Transition and Rain Chances
Friday, January 23, is the outlier of the week. We might actually hit 54°F. That sounds like patio weather until you see the 40% chance of rain that night. It’s a messy setup.
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- Tuesday (Jan 20): Sunny, hitting 40°F. Clear skies.
- Wednesday (Jan 21): Partly sunny, 45°F. Watch for afternoon showers.
- Thursday (Jan 22): Sunny again, 49°F. A brief break from the dampness.
The Long Range: A Return to the Deep Freeze?
The back half of this 15-day window is where the memphis weather 15 day forecast gets interesting for snow lovers—or haters.
By Sunday, January 25, the temperature takes a nose-dive. We go from a high of 39°F during the day to a brutal 18°F at night. The data shows a 75% chance of snow that Sunday night. North winds at 12 mph will make that 18 degrees feel significantly colder. If you have outdoor pipes that haven't been wrapped yet, that is your deadline.
Monday and Tuesday (Jan 26-27) stay in the "ice box" range. Highs are struggling to even reach 28°F and 27°F.
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It’s a classic Memphis oscillation. We go from freezing to mild and back to "is the power grid okay?" levels of cold in less than ten days.
Actionable Steps for Memphians
Don't get caught off guard by the swing. The jump from 54 degrees on Friday to 18 degrees on Sunday is exactly how people end up with burst pipes and dead car batteries.
- Check your antifreeze: Before the 25th hits, make sure your vehicle is ready for a hard freeze.
- Drip the faucets: When that Sunday night low of 18°F arrives, let those taps drip.
- Plan for the damp: Wednesday and Friday are your "mud" days. If you’ve got yard work or construction, aim for Tuesday or Thursday.
- Pet Safety: These late January lows are dangerous. Bring the animals inside.
The reality of Memphis in January is that the forecast is a suggestion until about 48 hours out, but the trend for the next two weeks is clearly leaning toward a very wet transition followed by a very sharp, very dry cold snap. Stay warm.
Keep an eye on the Sunday night window for that snow—it’s the highest probability we’ve seen so far this season.