So, if you’re living in Memphis right now, you probably noticed that bite in the air this morning. Honestly, it’s that classic Mid-South transition where one minute you’re thinking about a light hoodie and the next you’re digging through the closet for the heavy parka you swore you wouldn't need yet.
The Memphis 10 day weather forecast is looking like a bit of a roller coaster, and not the fun kind you find at a theme park. We are looking at a serious stretch of arctic air moving in, and while we aren't exactly talking about a "Snowpocalypse" just yet, the vibes are definitely shifting toward heavy-duty winter.
The Immediate Freeze: What’s Happening Right Now
Right now, as of Saturday, January 17, 2026, we are sitting at a crisp 37°F. But here’s the kicker: with that northwest wind hitting at 9 mph, it actually feels more like 30°F. It’s mostly cloudy, and there is a tiny 10% chance of snow flurries throughout the day. Basically, it’s gray, it’s cold, and it’s very Memphis.
Tonight is when the real cold settles in. We are expecting the temperature to bottom out at 20°F. If you have outdoor pets or plants that aren't fans of the freezer, you’ve gotta move them now.
Breaking Down the Next Few Days
The early part of this week is going to be a test of your home's insulation. Sunday, January 18, is looking sunny, which is a nice lie because the high is only going to hit 35°F. With a low of 19°F that night, Monday morning is going to be brutal for anyone heading into work.
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Monday stays cloudy and cold with a high of 34°F and another 22°F night. Honestly, it’s just a solid block of "stay inside and drink coffee" weather.
Is Snow Actually Coming to Memphis?
This is the question everyone asks as soon as the thermometer dips below forty. Looking at the Memphis 10 day weather forecast, things get a little weird around Wednesday and Thursday.
National Weather Service discussions out of the Memphis office (shoutout to the meteorologists at KMEM) are pointing toward a moisture surge mid-week.
- Wednesday, January 21: We see a "warm-up" to 42°F, but it comes with rain. A 35% chance during the day, which might turn into a 20% chance of snow overnight as the low hits 36°F.
- Thursday, January 22: This is the day to watch. The forecast shows a high of 47°F and a low of 36°F. Some local reports suggest a wintry mix could happen if that cold air catches up to the moisture fast enough.
- The Weekend Outlook: Friday and Saturday (Jan 23-24) actually look a bit warmer with highs near 50°F, but the rain chances jump up to 40%.
It’s that messy, slushy kind of forecast that makes driving on I-240 a nightmare. You've seen how people here handle a single snowflake; it’s basically survival of the fittest out there.
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Memphis Weather Trends: What Most People Get Wrong
A lot of people think Memphis is "South" enough to escape the real winter. Not true. Because we are sitting right in the middle of the Mississippi Valley, we get these "arctic plunges" that drop straight down from Canada with nothing to stop them.
Historically, January is our coldest month. We usually average a high of 49°F and a low of 31°F. This current 10-day stretch is actually running significantly colder than our long-term averages. When we see lows in the teens or low twenties for three or four nights in a row, it starts putting a lot of stress on the local power grid and plumbing.
Why the Humidity Matters (Even in Winter)
Memphis is famously "muggy," but in the winter, that humidity just makes the cold feel wetter and more "bone-chilling." The relative humidity is sitting around 62% right now. In a dry climate like Denver, 30 degrees feels okay. In Memphis? It feels like the air is trying to turn you into a human popsicle.
Practical Steps for the Next 10 Days
Since we’re looking at some pretty deep freezes at night, you should probably do the usual Memphis winter prep.
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First, check your pipes. If you’re in an older Midtown house or one of those classic ranch-styles in East Memphis, let the faucets drip. It sounds like an old wives' tale, but it works.
Second, watch the Wednesday/Thursday transition closely. If that rain turns to sleet or freezing rain overnight on Wednesday, the Thursday morning commute will be a mess.
Lastly, check on your neighbors. We’ve got a lot of folks in the city who might struggle with these 20-degree nights. A quick text or a knock on the door goes a long way.
The Memphis 10 day weather forecast shows we aren't out of the woods yet. We’ve got at least four or five more days of below-average temperatures before we see anything resembling a "mild" Southern winter again. Keep the layers on, keep the pets inside, and maybe start a slow cooker of chili. You're gonna need it.