Honestly, trying to keep track of the Lombardi Trophy’s travel schedule over the last decade is like trying to follow a shell game at a sketchy carnival. You think you know where the dominance lies—usually with a guy named Brady or Mahomes—but then a backup quarterback like Nick Foles or a defensive wrecking ball like Von Miller enters the chat and flips the script.
The NFL is supposed to have "parity." That’s the corporate line, anyway. But when you look at the last ten year super bowl winners, you see a weird mix of inevitable dynasties and "how did they pull that off?" underdog stories. We just watched the Philadelphia Eagles dismantle the Kansas City Chiefs 40-22 in Super Bowl LIX (February 2025), which feels like a fever dream considering how much Patrick Mahomes has owned the postseason lately.
But that's the beauty of it. One year you're watching a defensive masterclass in a stadium that’s barely room temperature, and the next, you're seeing a rookie quarterback try to fill shoes that are roughly size 50.
The Most Recent Reign: A Bird's Eye View
The most recent entry in the history books is the Philadelphia Eagles, who took down the Chiefs in early 2025. It wasn't even close. Jalen Hurts looked like a man possessed, putting up three touchdowns and taking home the MVP trophy.
What’s wild is that just a year prior, the Chiefs were the ones dancing in the confetti. In February 2024, at Super Bowl LVIII, Kansas City pulled off a 25-22 overtime thriller against the San Francisco 49ers. That was the game that cemented the Chiefs as the first back-to-back champs since the early 2000s Patriots. It felt like they were never going to lose again.
Funny how fast things change in this league.
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The Dynasty Years (and the Glitches in the Matrix)
If you look at the stretch from 2016 to 2024, it’s basically the Mahomes and Brady show, with a few guest appearances.
- 2024 (Super Bowl LVIII): Kansas City Chiefs. They beat the Niners in a game that felt like a chess match until the very end. Mahomes was Mahomes.
- 2023 (Super Bowl LVII): Kansas City Chiefs. The "Kelce Bowl." This was the 38-35 shootout against Philly where Harrison Butker kicked the game-winner after a controversial holding call.
- 2022 (Super Bowl LVI): Los Angeles Rams. They went all-in, traded every draft pick they had for veterans, and it actually worked. They beat the Bengals 23-20 on their home turf at SoFi Stadium. Cooper Kupp was basically unguardable.
- 2021 (Super Bowl LV): Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tom Brady moved to Florida, brought Rob Gronkowski out of retirement, and destroyed the Chiefs 31-9. It was a defensive clinic.
Why the 2010s Still Feel Like Yesterday
Going back a bit further, the landscape was a little more diverse, though still dominated by the same few faces.
In 2020 (Super Bowl LIV), we saw the beginning of the current era. The Chiefs trailed the 49ers by 10 in the fourth quarter. Everyone thought it was over. Then Mahomes hit Tyreek Hill on "Jet Chip Wasp," and the rest is history. 31-20, Chiefs.
Before that? The lowest-scoring Super Bowl in history. 2019 (Super Bowl LIII) was a 13-3 grind where the Patriots out-lasted the Rams. It wasn't pretty. It was barely football. But it gave Brady his sixth ring.
And we can't talk about the last decade without mentioning 2018 (Super Bowl LII). The "Philly Special." Nick Foles, a backup, catching a touchdown pass and beating the Patriots 41-33. It’s still one of the most statistically insane games ever played, with both teams combining for over 1,100 yards of offense.
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The Defensive Masterpieces
Sometimes, the quarterbacks aren't the story.
In 2017 (Super Bowl LI), the Patriots pulled off the 28-3 comeback against Atlanta. That’s the one everyone remembers. But in 2016 (Super Bowl 50), it was all about the Denver Broncos' defense. Peyton Manning was basically a passenger; Von Miller was the pilot. They tormented Cam Newton and the Panthers for a 24-10 win.
Rounding out the ten-year lookback is 2015 (Super Bowl XLIX). The Malcolm Butler interception. The Seahawks were on the one-yard line. They had Marshawn Lynch. They passed. The Patriots won 28-24.
The Reality of Winning Back-to-Back
Everyone talks about dynasties, but winning two in a row is statistically stupidly hard. The Chiefs did it in '23 and '24, which was the first time anyone had pulled that off since the 2003-2004 Patriots.
The "Super Bowl Hangover" is a real thing. Look at the Eagles in 2025—after winning the title, they struggled with "eerie" locker room vibes, according to Travis Kelce on his podcast. They ended up losing in the Wild Card round the following year.
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It takes a specific kind of mental toughness to win, get the ring, get the bag, and then come back and do it all over again while everyone is gunning for your head.
Actionable Insights for Fans and Bettors
If you’re looking at the last ten year super bowl winners to predict what’s coming next, keep these things in mind:
- Don't bet against the defense: Even in a "pass-happy" league, teams like the 2016 Broncos and the 2021 Bucs proved that a relentless pass rush can neutralize even the greatest quarterbacks.
- The "Home Field" Myth: For decades, no team played a Super Bowl in their own stadium. Then the Bucs (2021) and the Rams (2022) did it back-to-back and won. The streak is broken, but it’s still incredibly rare.
- Watch the Trenches: The 2025 Eagles won because of their defensive line. They sacked Mahomes six times. Skill players get the jerseys sold, but the big guys in the middle decide the winners.
The next few years look wide open. With legends like Travis Kelce hinting at retirement and new blood like Drake Maye and Caleb Williams entering the playoff picture, the dominance of the "Old Guard" is finally starting to crack.
To stay ahead of the curve, keep a close eye on salary cap movements this offseason. Teams like the Dolphins are currently in "cap hell," which usually means they’ll have to shed the veteran talent necessary to make a deep January run. Meanwhile, teams with rookie-contract quarterbacks are the ones with the cash to build "super teams" around them.