If you’re thinking about hitting the Strip sometime in the next month, you probably have a mental image of neon lights and pool parties. But honestly, the 30 day forecast for las vegas usually throws people for a loop this time of year.
Right now, it's January 16, 2026. If you stepped outside tonight, you’d feel a crisp 56°F under a perfectly clear sky. It’s actually pretty nice—not exactly "winter coat" weather for most, but definitely "bring a hoodie" weather.
People think the desert is just a constant heat lamp.
It isn't.
In fact, the next four weeks are going to be a wild mix of sunshine, surprising chill, and even a few raindrops that’ll catch the unprepared off guard.
Why the Las Vegas 30 Day Forecast Isn't What You Think
We’re currently in the thick of the "cool season." It officially lasts until about late February. If you're looking at the data for today, Friday, January 16, we’re peaking at a lovely 72°F. That’s a bit of a tease, though.
Tomorrow, Saturday the 17th, the high drops to 68°F. By Sunday, we’re looking at 65°F with actual clouds. This isn't just a one-day dip; it’s the start of a trend where the desert reminds you it can get moody.
The biggest mistake? Packing for the high and forgetting the low.
Check this out: while Saturday hits 68°F, the night plunges to 42°F. That is a 26-degree swing. If you're standing in line for a club at 11 PM in a t-shirt, you’re going to be miserable.
The Rainy Season (Yes, Really)
Believe it or not, January and February are statistically the "wettest" months in Vegas. I use that term loosely because "wet" in the Mojave means maybe three days of rain.
Looking at the upcoming week:
- Jan 23: There's a 25% chance of light rain during the day.
- Jan 24: That 25% chance lingers, though it mostly turns into "mostly sunny" intervals.
- Relative Humidity: It’s bouncing between 19% and 37%. For most people, that still feels bone-dry, but it’s enough to make the air feel "heavy" by Nevada standards.
February's Slow Burn
As we move into early February, the 30 day forecast for las vegas starts to shift toward a slow warm-up. Historically, February highs average around 61°F to 64°F, but we often see spikes into the 70s toward the end of the month.
According to data from the National Weather Service and long-range outlooks for the Desert Southwest, we should expect February 2026 to be about 2 degrees warmer than the historical average.
But don't get too comfortable. The Almanac suggests a "chilly" period from Feb 18-28. It's that classic desert back-and-forth. One day you're in shorts at Red Rock Canyon, and the next, you’re looking at snow on the peaks of Lee Canyon.
Actually, if you’re a skier, the mountain is doing great right now. Lee Canyon reported a season total of 59 inches as of today, Jan 16. So while you’re walking past the Bellagio fountains in a sweater, people 45 minutes away are literally snowboarding.
Pack Like a Pro (The "Three-Layer" Rule)
Since the weather is jumping between 40°F and 72°F over the next 30 days, you need a strategy. I’ve seen too many tourists buying overpriced $80 hoodies at gift shops because they didn't believe the forecast.
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- The Base: A standard t-shirt or breathable top.
- The Mid: A light sweater or denim jacket.
- The Shell: A windbreaker or a slightly heavier coat for those 40-degree nights.
Honestly, the wind is the real killer. While it’s calm tonight at 3 mph, we’ve seen gusts up to 35 knots earlier this month. When that wind kicks up across the flat desert floor, a 60-degree day feels like 50.
What about the "Real" Winter?
A lot of people ask if it ever snows on the Strip. The short answer: almost never. The long answer: it happened a bit in early January, but the 30 day forecast for las vegas shows zero chance of snow for the valley floor through mid-February. You’ll see it on the mountains, which makes for a killer backdrop for photos, but you won't be shoveling it off your rental car.
Actionable Tips for Your Trip
- Check the UV Index: Even when it’s 65°F, the UV index is hitting 2 or 3. It’s low, but the desert sun is direct. If you’re hiking Red Rock, you still need sunscreen.
- Hydrate More Than You Think: 23% humidity is "moist" for Vegas, but it’ll still dry out your skin and throat faster than you realize.
- Book Outdoor Activities for 1 PM: This is the sweet spot. Between 12 PM and 3 PM, you’ll get the peak temperature. Before 10 AM or after 5 PM, the temperature falls off a cliff.
- Watch the Wind: If you see "North Wind" at more than 10 mph in the forecast, cancel those outdoor dining plans. The wind tunnels between the big hotels are no joke.
The next month in Vegas is basically a tug-of-war between the end of winter and the first whispers of spring. Enjoy the 70-degree "tease" days while they last, but keep that jacket within arm's reach.
Next Steps:
If you're heading out this week, specifically monitor the January 23rd window for that potential rain. It’s not a washout, but it’s enough to make the outdoor walkways slippery. For hikers, keep an eye on the wind speeds—anything over 15 mph makes the higher elevation trails in Red Rock significantly more difficult.