Jason Boris Mock Draft 2025: Why the Most Accurate Expert Still Matters

Jason Boris Mock Draft 2025: Why the Most Accurate Expert Still Matters

Every year, the NFL world descends into a collective fever dream of rumors and "smoke." You’ve seen the drill. Insiders tweet about a quarterback’s rising stock while scouts anonymous-source their way into headlines. But while everyone is shouting, one guy in a small town in Pennsylvania is usually just... right.

Jason Boris mock draft 2025 is the one fans and actual league analysts wait for, and honestly, the reason is simple: he wins. A lot.

Boris isn't a "connected" national insider in the way Adam Schefter or Ian Rapoport are. He doesn't spend his days in a suit on a Bristol set. He's a sportswriter for the Times News in Lehighton, PA, who has quietly become the "King of the Hill" in the world of mock draft accuracy. We aren't just talking about a lucky year, either. The Huddle Report, which is basically the gold standard for grading these things, has ranked him as the most accurate mock drafter over several five-year spans.

The Method Behind the Madness

Most people making mock drafts are trying to be "first." Boris waits. He doesn't typically drop his full, final projection until the morning of the draft. Why? Because that’s when the signal finally starts to separate from the noise.

His process is more like a logic puzzle than a scouting report. He identifies a "pool" of roughly 35 players who are legitimate first-round talents. From there, he works backward. He looks at team tendencies, coaching changes, and historical data. If a GM has a "type"—like a specific height-weight profile for defensive ends—Boris notices.

Last year, he hit a historic mark, scoring 59 points in The Huddle Report’s grading. He correctly identified 29 of the 32 players that went in the first round. That is an absurd hit rate. Even more impressive? He matched 15 of those players to the exact team that drafted them. In a league where one trade can ruin an entire mock, getting nearly half the picks perfect is basically wizardry.

What to Watch for in the Jason Boris Mock Draft 2025

The 2025 class is weird. There’s no other way to put it. Unlike some years where you have a "generational" talent like Caleb Williams or Trevor Lawrence at the top, the 2025 group is heavy on defensive line talent and offensive tackles, but the quarterbacks are a polarizing mess.

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The Quarterback Conundrum

Boris has already noted that the Tennessee Titans are a team to watch at the top. While the media was buzzing about Shedeur Sanders, Boris pointed toward Cam Ward out of Miami. He noted that the Titans' lack of movement in free agency spoke louder than any "insider" report.

The Travis Hunter Factor

Where do you put a guy who plays both ways? Boris doesn't get distracted by the "Heisman" hype. He looks at where a player actually fits. For a team like the Cleveland Browns, who have historically struggled to find a steady identity, a transformational athlete like Hunter or an edge like Abdul Carter makes more sense than forcing a reach on a Tier 2 quarterback.

The Trench Warfare

The Raiders and Patriots are desperate for offensive line help. Boris has leaned toward Will Campbell (LSU) and Armand Membou (Missouri). He’s mentioned that the Raiders, under their current leadership, want to get back to a "bully ball" identity. That means Membou at right tackle is a very "Boris" pick—it’s not flashy, but it’s the move that fits the organizational DNA.

Why the Huddle Report Matters

You might wonder why we care about a specific grading service. Well, it's because it eliminates the "I told you so" culture of sports media.

  • Player Accuracy: Did the 32 guys you predicted actually go in the first round?
  • Slot Accuracy: Did you get the player to the right team?
  • Longevity: Can you do it five years in a row?

Boris has been the "King of the Hill" (the best five-year average) for two different eras: 2012–2017 and again recently in 2024. He’s beat out names you see on TV every day. It's proof that you don't need to be in the room to know what the room is thinking. You just have to be better at the math.

The 2025 "Slide" Candidates

One thing Boris is great at is identifying the "slide." Every year, a top-10 talent falls to the 20s. In his early 2025 projections, he’s hinted that defensive tackle Mason Graham might be that guy. Not because Graham isn't elite—he is—but because of how the board falls.

If the top of the draft is heavy on tackles and the "big two" quarterbacks, someone has to drop. Boris often catches these trends before the national media, who are usually too busy hyping the "big name" players to notice the draft-day math doesn't add up for everyone.

Common Misconceptions About Mock Drafts

Most fans think a mock draft is what the writer thinks should happen. That's a "Big Board."

A real mock draft, especially a Jason Boris mock draft 2025, is an attempt to predict what the GMs will do. It doesn't matter if Boris thinks a player is a bust; if he thinks the Jaguars are going to take him, he puts him there. He’s mentioned before that he puts together a short-list for each of the 32 teams. He looks for the intersection of "Highest Rated Player" and "Greatest Need," then filters it through the GM's past behavior.

It’s cold. It’s calculated. It’s why he wins.

Actionable Steps for Draft Fans

If you're trying to win your own draft pool or just want to be the smartest person in the room on draft night, stop following the "mock draft of the day" from every major site. Instead:

  • Track the "Big Three": Look at Boris, Brendan Donahue, and the consensus top-5 on The Huddle Report.
  • Wait for the "Final" Version: Don't put too much stock in a mock draft released in February. The real information doesn't leak until 48 hours before the event.
  • Ignore the "Draft Grades": Experts who grade a draft five minutes after it ends are usually wrong. Look at the "hit rate" of the analysts who predicted the picks instead.
  • Watch the Betting Lines: Boris’ picks often align with where the "sharp" money is going late in the cycle.

The 2025 NFL Draft will be a chaotic mess of trades and defensive runs. But if history tells us anything, Jason Boris will have a pretty good idea of exactly how that mess is going to look before the first name is ever called. Keep an eye on the Times News or Fantasy Alarm the morning of April 24th—that's when the real 2025 roadmap usually arrives.