Jameson Williams: What Most People Get Wrong About the Lions Deep Threat

Jameson Williams: What Most People Get Wrong About the Lions Deep Threat

If you’ve spent any time on NFL Twitter or lurking in fantasy football subreddits lately, you’ve probably seen the "Jamo" discourse. It’s polarized. People either think Jameson Williams is the next Randy Moss or a first-round bust waiting to happen.

There is basically no middle ground.

But honestly? Both sides are usually missing the point. The reality of Jameson Williams isn’t found in a highlight reel of a 60-yard bomb or a box score that shows two targets and zero catches. It’s found in the "Jameson effect"—a specific brand of offensive gravity that changes how every other player on the Detroit Lions operates.

You’ve gotta look at the 2024 and 2025 seasons to see the full picture. By the end of 2024, Williams finally cracked that 1,000-yard milestone, finishing with 1,001 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. He was doing this while averaging over 17 yards per catch. That's explosive. It’s also exactly what the Lions hoped for when they traded up to grab him at No. 12 back in 2022, even with a torn ACL from his Alabama days.

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Why the "Bust" Label Never Actually Fit

Let’s be real for a second. Williams started his career behind the 8-ball. Most guys get a full rookie training camp; he got a rehab room.

When he did finally hit the field, he got hit with a gambling suspension in 2023. Then came a PED suspension in late 2024. If you’re just looking at the news cycle, it looks messy.

But Dan Campbell hasn't wavered. Why? Because the metrics show that when Williams is on the field, the Lions' run game actually gets easier.

The Gravity of 4.3 Speed

In late 2025, defensive coordinators started selling out to stop Williams from getting behind them. We saw this clearly in games against teams like the Bengals and Buccaneers. When Williams is sprinting down the sideline, he’s taking two defenders with him.

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown gets the entire middle of the field to himself.
  • Sam LaPorta finds massive holes in the seam.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs doesn't have to deal with a stacked box as often.

Actually, when defenses did stop respecting Williams in 2025, David Montgomery started seeing 8+ defenders in the box nearly 48% of the time. That’s a nightmare for a play-caller. Ben Johnson (or whoever is holding the clipboard in the future) knows that even if Williams has zero catches, his presence is the reason the offense is moving.

The 2025 Statistical Shift

People were worried about his "invisible acts." There was a stretch in 2025 where his production dipped. He went from averaging 66 yards a game in 2024 down to about 41 yards.

Critics called it a regression.

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I’d argue it was an evolution. The Lions started moving his Average Depth of Target (aDOT). In 2023, it was a massive 16.0 yards. By 2024, they brought it down to 11.6. They were trying to make him a "complete" receiver, not just a track star.

By the time the 2025 season wrapped, Williams had 65 receptions for 1,117 yards. He became the first-read target about 14.5% of the time. That’s not "decoy" usage. That’s a WR2 who is knocking on the door of WR1 status.

What Really Happened with the Suspensions?

The gambling thing was weird. Williams was suspended for betting on non-NFL games while at a team facility. The rules were updated shortly after, and his six-game ban was cut to four.

Then came the 2024 PED suspension. Williams was "surprised" by it and claimed he doesn't even take vitamins. Whether you believe that or not, he "took it on the chin," as he put it.

The narrative that he’s a "distraction" doesn't seem to match the locker room reality. Coaches like Scottie Montgomery have praised his "clean, physical" blocking. You don't see "diva" wide receivers throwing blocks 20 yards downfield for their running backs. Williams does.

Comparing the Values

Metric (2025) Jameson Williams Elite Deep Threat Average
Yards Per Catch 17.2 15.1
Target Share 18.4% 21.0%
Air Yards Share 34.3% 29.5%

He’s getting the "air yards"—the deep shots—but the target share is still a bit lower than the true superstars. That’s mostly because Amon-Ra St. Brown is a target hog. But 1,117 yards on 65 catches is wildly efficient. It means when he does get the ball, something big is usually happening.


The Road Ahead: 2026 and Beyond

Jameson Williams is currently 24 years old. He’s entering what should be his physical prime.

The Lions have a decision to make on his long-term contract eventually. If he keeps putting up 1,100-yard seasons while maintaining that 17.0+ yards per catch average, he’s going to be very, very expensive.

Most people get him wrong because they want him to be a PPR machine who catches 10 balls for 80 yards. That’s never going to be Jamo. He’s the guy who catches 3 balls for 110 yards and a score. He’s a "momentum" player.

If you're a fan or a fantasy manager, you have to accept the volatility. The "boom" games are league-winners; the "bust" games are just the price of admission for having a guy who can outrun a secondary at any moment.

How to Evaluate His Future

If you want to track if he's actually "arrived," stop looking at the total yards. Watch his success rate against man coverage. In 2025, he was elite there—ranking in the top 5 with a 3.14 Yards Per Route Run (YPRR) against man.

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When teams try to leave a corner on an island with him, he wins. When they double him, the Lions win. Either way, Detroit is happy.

To truly capitalize on his trajectory, keep an eye on his participation in "designed touches." If the Lions increase his rushing attempts or screen targets (which hovered around 0.5 per game in 2025), his floor becomes much safer. For now, he remains the league's premier "home run" threat who is finally starting to learn how to hit singles and doubles too.