If you’ve lived in West Tennessee for more than a week, you know the drill. You wake up to frost on the windshield, and by 3:00 PM, you're considering rolling down the windows. It’s a mess. Honestly, trying to pin down the Jackson TN weather forecast 10 day outlook is like trying to catch a greased pig at the West Tennessee State Fair.
Right now, as we sit in mid-January 2026, the atmosphere is doing that weird shimmy it always does. We just came off a crisp, sunny Thursday where the high struggled to hit 36°F. It was cold. Deep-in-your-bones cold. But if you’re looking at the horizon, things are getting... damp.
The Immediate Mess: Rain and Rollercoasters
Friday, January 16, is where the transition starts. We're looking at a high of 49°F, which sounds like a relief until you realize there’s a 30% chance of rain showers moving in. It’s that annoying kind of rain. Not a cleansing thunderstorm, just a persistent drizzle that makes Highway 45 a nightmare.
Then comes the weekend drop. Saturday stays chilly with a high of 39°F, and by Sunday, we’re bottoming out again.
Here is what the next few days actually look like for Jackson:
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- Friday (Jan 16): High 49°F / Low 33°F. Potential for light showers.
- Saturday (Jan 17): High 39°F / Low 20°F. Partly sunny but deceptive.
- Sunday (Jan 18): High 35°F / Low 25°F. Bright sun, zero warmth.
- Monday (Jan 19): High 36°F / Low 14°F. MLK Day is going to be a freezer.
That 14°F low on Monday night is no joke. If you haven't dripped your faucets or checked on your outdoor pets, that’s your deadline. Hub City doesn't usually play when the temps dip into the teens.
Why the 10-Day Outlook is Tricky
Most people think weather is a straight line. It's not. In Jackson, we sit in this weird geographic pocket where moisture from the Gulf hits cold air coming down the plains. By the time we get to Tuesday, January 20, the sun stays out, but the high only reaches 34°F. It's basically a refrigerator with the light left on.
But wait for Wednesday.
Wednesday, January 21, jumps nearly 13 degrees to a high of 47°F. This is where the Jackson TN weather forecast 10 day gets really interesting—and a bit soggy. By the time we hit the end of next week, specifically January 23 and 24, the floodgates open.
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We are looking at a 60% chance of rain on Friday the 23rd, followed by a 50% chance on Saturday. The temperatures climb into the mid-50s (around 53°F to 55°F). It’s that classic Tennessee winter pattern: freeze, thaw, soak, repeat.
The Science of the "Jackson Swing"
Local meteorologists often talk about the "Mississippi Valley setup." Basically, we don't have mountains to protect us. When a front moves through, it hits us full force. According to historical data from the National Weather Service and long-range trackers like the Farmers' Almanac, January in Jackson is typically our cloudiest month. We spend about 45% of our time under overcast skies.
Honestly, the "comfort" level this time of year is zero. We don't see those "comfortable" 70-degree days again until late March or April. Instead, we get high humidity (averaging 88% this month) which makes the 35-degree air feel significantly sharper than it would in a dry climate like Denver.
Real Talk on Snow
Everyone asks: "Is it going to snow?"
Statistically, January is our best shot, averaging about 1.2 inches for the month. Looking at the current 10-day window, there’s a slight whisper of a rain/snow mix late Friday night (the 16th) or into Saturday, but don't buy out the milk and bread at Kroger just yet. The ground is still a bit too warm for the "Big One."
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Most of what we see in the 10-day is liquid. Cold, biting liquid.
Practical Steps for Jacksonians
Don't get caught off guard by the Monday night dip. 14°F is the "burst pipe" threshold for older homes in Midtown.
- Cover the vents: If you have a crawlspace, get those foam blocks in.
- Watch the Saturday wind: We’re expecting gusts that make that 39°F high feel like 28°F.
- Plan for Friday transit: Rain on Jan 16 plus 33°F lows overnight means Saturday morning could have some "black ice" patches on the smaller backroads near Casey Jones Village.
- The Wednesday Warm-up: Use the 47°F high on Jan 21 to clear your gutters before the heavy rain hits on the 23rd.
The Jackson TN weather forecast 10 day shows a classic battle between arctic air and Gulf moisture. You'll need the heavy parka on Monday and the raincoat by Friday. Stay weather-aware, especially with those overnight lows swinging by 20 degrees in a single 24-hour cycle.