Is Wyoming a Red or Blue State? What Most People Get Wrong

Is Wyoming a Red or Blue State? What Most People Get Wrong

If you’ve ever driven across the vast, wind-swept plains of the Cowboy State, you probably didn't see many "Blue Wave" yard signs. Honestly, you probably saw more antelope than people. But when folks ask is Wyoming a red or blue state, the answer feels so obvious it’s almost a trick question.

It is red. Deep, dark, crimson red.

In the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump didn't just win Wyoming; he crushed it. He took home over 71% of the vote. That’s not just a win—it’s a blowout that makes other "red states" look purple by comparison. Wyoming has the distinction of being the most Republican state in the entire country based on those margins. But if you stop there, you’re missing the weird, localized drama that makes Wyoming politics actually interesting.

The GOP Stronghold: Why Wyoming Stays Red

The Republican grip on Wyoming isn't some new trend. It’s baked into the soil. The state hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964, when Lyndon B. Johnson won in a national landslide. Since then? It’s been a sea of red.

Why?

Basically, it comes down to industry and identity. Wyoming is the nation’s top coal producer. It’s huge in natural gas and oil. When national Democrats talk about the "Green New Deal" or phasing out fossil fuels, people in Gillette or Casper don’t hear environmental progress—they hear "you’re losing your job."

There's also a deep-seated libertarian streak. People here generally want the federal government to leave them alone. This "frontier justice" mentality fits the modern GOP platform like a well-worn pair of boots.

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The Numbers Don't Lie

As of January 2026, the voter registration stats are almost comical.

  • Republicans: Over 210,000
  • Democrats: Around 31,000
  • Unaffiliated: Roughly 26,000

Think about that. There are nearly seven Republicans for every one Democrat. In many counties, the Democratic party barely exists in an organized fashion. If you’re running for office in Niobrara County as a Democrat, you might as well be campaigning on Mars.

The "Blue Islands" in the Red Sea

Okay, so it's a red state. But is it entirely red? Not quite. There are two places where you can actually find a concentrated group of Democrats: Teton County and Albany County.

Teton County is home to Jackson Hole. It’s where the billionaires live (and the millionaires serve them coffee). It is the bluest spot in the state. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Teton with about 66% of the vote. It’s a total outlier—a wealthy, tourism-driven bubble that cares more about conservation and social issues than coal mines.

Then there’s Albany County, home to the University of Wyoming in Laramie. College towns are almost always more liberal, but even here, the margin is razor-thin. In 2024, Trump actually edged out Harris in Albany County by a few hundred votes, which shows just how much the state has shifted to the right recently.

Is Wyoming a Red or Blue State? The Liz Cheney Factor

You can't talk about Wyoming politics without mentioning the 2022 primary. It was the "Big Bang" of modern Wyoming GOP identity.

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Liz Cheney, daughter of former VP Dick Cheney, was Wyoming’s lone Representative. She was as conservative as they come. But she broke the cardinal rule: she turned on Donald Trump after January 6th. The state party didn't just disagree with her; they essentially excommunicated her.

They stopped recognizing her as a Republican. Then, in the primary, Harriet Hageman (backed by Trump) beat her by nearly 40 points.

This told us something vital. Wyoming isn't just "Republican" in the traditional, country-club sense. It is MAGA territory. The "Old Guard" of the GOP, represented by the Cheneys, is mostly gone. The current state legislature reflects this, with a massive "Freedom Caucus" that often fights with the more moderate Republican Governor, Mark Gordon.

The Inner War: Red vs. Redder

Since the Democrats have so little power, the real "is Wyoming a red or blue state" debate happens within the Republican party.

The state is currently a "Republican Trifecta." That means the GOP holds the Governor’s office and supermajorities in both the State House and State Senate. In the House, there are 56 Republicans and only 6 Democrats. It’s not even a fair fight.

Because of this dominance, the state’s political battles are between "traditional" Republicans and the "Freedom Caucus." They argue over things like:

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  1. School Choice: How much state money should follow students to private schools?
  2. Property Taxes: As people move into Wyoming from California and Colorado, home values are skyrocketing. Everyone wants a tax cut, but they disagree on how to do it.
  3. State Sovereignty: How hard should Wyoming fight federal mandates on land use?

It’s a bit like a family dinner where everyone is on the same team but everyone is still screaming at each other.

What This Means for the Future

If you're looking for Wyoming to flip blue anytime soon, don't hold your breath. It isn't happening. Even as states like Arizona or Georgia shift, Wyoming is doubling down on its identity.

However, keep an eye on the "Unaffiliated" voters. In Wyoming, you can change your party affiliation on the day of a primary. Many Democrats or Independents register as Republicans just so they can have a say in the only election that actually matters: the GOP primary.

So, while the "Blue" side looks dead on paper, some of those votes are hiding inside the "Red" column, trying to pick the most moderate Republican available.

Actionable Insights for Following Wyoming Politics

If you really want to understand where the state is headed, don't look at the General Election. Look at these three things instead:

  • Watch the Primaries: The August primary is the "real" election. If a candidate wins the GOP primary, they are effectively the winner.
  • Track the Freedom Caucus: See if they gain more seats in the 2026 legislative session. If they do, expect more aggressive social legislation.
  • Monitor Energy Prices: Wyoming’s budget is a rollercoaster. When oil is up, the state is flush. When coal tanks, the state enters a "fiscal crisis." This drives every political decision made in Cheyenne.

To stay updated on the ground, check out local outlets like WyoFile or the Casper Star-Tribune. They cover the nuances that national maps miss. For official data, the Wyoming Secretary of State website is the gold standard for voter registration and election results.