If you’ve lived in Texas for more than five minutes, you know the drill. One day you’re wearing shorts and flip-flops, and the next, you’re panic-buying every loaf of bread at H-E-B because someone mentioned the word "flurries" on the news. After the grid-shaking trauma of 2021, everyone wants to know if it is going to snow in Texas 2025.
Honestly, the answer isn’t a simple yes or no. Weather in the Lone Star State is basically a game of atmospheric roulette.
But if we look at what actually happened during the start of the year and what’s brewing for the end of 2025, the picture is wilder than you might think. We already saw a literal "Gulf Coast Blizzard" in January 2025 that broke records from 1901. Yeah, you read that right.
The January 2025 shocker and what it tells us
Most of us were expecting a quiet, mild winter back in January. NOAA had been talking about a "weak La Niña," which usually means Texas stays warm and dry. But the atmosphere didn’t get the memo.
Around January 20, 2025, a massive trough in the jet stream dipped so far south it basically sat on the Gulf of Mexico. This created what meteorologists called the 2025 Gulf Coast Blizzard (or Storm Éowyn). While people in Dallas were just shivering, Southeast Texas got slammed.
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- Beaumont and Port Arthur saw 4.5 inches of snow on January 21. That’s the snowiest day those cities have had since they started keeping records in 1901.
- Houston (La Porte area) recorded up to 6 inches of snow.
- Hebbronville actually dealt with a quarter-inch of ice.
It was a mess. Space Center Houston closed down, and major highways turned into skating rinks. This event proved that even in a "warm" year, a single Arctic blast can turn the state upside down in 48 hours.
Is it going to snow in Texas 2025 during the holidays?
Now that we’re looking at the tail end of the year—the 2025-2026 winter season—the vibe is changing again.
Forecasters from the National Weather Service and the Climate Prediction Center are leaning back into the La Niña pattern. This typically means the jet stream stays further north. For us down here, that translates to a "warmer and drier" outlook for most of the state.
But don't toss your heavy coat just yet.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac and NOAA both suggest that while the season as a whole might average out as warm, we are still looking at "periodic cold snaps." Specifically, they’ve flagged late November and mid-December as potential windows for "wet snow" or "chilly rain" in North and Central Texas.
If you're dreaming of a White Christmas in San Antonio or Austin, don't hold your breath. Statistically, it's a long shot. However, the Almanac does hint at some "wet snow" possibilities for South Central Texas around December 20 to 23. It’ll probably be that slushy stuff that melts before you can even take a photo, but hey, it counts.
Regional breakdown for late 2025
The Panhandle is always the outlier. Up in Amarillo and Lubbock, snow isn't a "maybe," it's an "eventually." They are the most likely to see real accumulation as we head into December 2025.
Central Texas (Austin/San Antonio) is looking at a mostly dry end to the year. Drought conditions are actually expected to worsen in these areas because of the La Niña influence.
Houston and the Coast might see more of that "cold rain" than actual flakes. After the historic January event, the atmosphere might be "snowed out" for the region for a while.
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Why the "Weak La Niña" is so confusing
Weather experts like Jon Gottschalck at the Climate Prediction Center have noted that this year's La Niña is "weak."
When La Niña is strong, we can almost guarantee a boring, dusty winter. But when it's weak, the "teleconnections"—the way weather in the Pacific affects Texas—are less predictable. This "weakness" is exactly why we got that freak blizzard in January despite the "warm" forecast.
Basically, the gates to the Arctic are left slightly ajar. Every few weeks, a piece of that freezing air escapes and slides down the Plains. If that air hits moisture from the Gulf, you get snow. If it doesn't, you just get a really high electric bill from your heater.
Real talk: How to prepare
Even if the 2025-2026 outlook says "above average temperatures," you have to remember that "average" is just a math equation. It doesn't mean it won't hit 15 degrees for three days in December.
- Drip your faucets: Don't wait for a blizzard. If the forecast says it's dropping below 28°F for more than a few hours, just do it.
- Check your tires: Most Texas drivers are great until there's a half-inch of slush. Then it’s Mad Max on I-35. If you see snow in the forecast for 2025, stay home.
- Insulate the "spigots": Those outdoor faucets are the first things to go. Foam covers are like five bucks at the hardware store—get them now before the rush.
Winter in Texas is a wild ride. We started 2025 with a record-breaking blizzard in places that rarely see a flurry, and we’re ending it with a forecast that says "warm and dry." If that’s not Texas weather in a nutshell, I don’t know what is. Keep your eyes on the local radar around mid-December; that's our next real chance to see if the sky decides to surprise us again.
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Keep your pipes wrapped and your pantry stocked with at least a few days of food. Even a "mild" winter can have a mean streak.