If you’re looking at the sky over the Alamo City this morning and wondering if you need to grab that umbrella, the short answer is basically no. You can leave the rain gear at home.
Honestly, the bigger concern for anyone in South Texas today isn't moisture falling from the sky. It's the wind. A dry cold front is currently pushing through the region, and while "cold front" usually sounds like it might bring a storm, this one is a bit of a tease. It’s bringing plenty of air, but almost zero water.
Is it going to rain in San Antonio today or are we clear?
According to the latest data from the National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio, the rain chance for Wednesday, January 14, 2026, is sitting at a solid 0%. We are looking at a "dry passage." This means the front is moving through without enough moisture to trigger anything more than maybe a stray cloud or two.
Instead of raindrops, you’re going to feel a sharp shift in the wind. By mid-morning, those winds are expected to kick up from the northwest, gusting between 20 and 30 mph. It’s going to feel brisk. If you have light patio furniture or those empty recycling bins sitting out on the curb, you might want to secure them before they end up in your neighbor's yard.
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Today’s Forecast Breakdown
- High Temperature: Near 70°F (though it'll feel cooler with the wind).
- Rain Chance: 0%.
- Wind: Northwest 15-25 mph, with higher gusts.
- Conditions: Mostly sunny and very dry.
The air behind this front is incredibly thirsty. Relative humidity levels are expected to plumet this afternoon, dropping into the 20% range. This creates a different kind of weather hazard that most people don't think about when they're just checking for rain: fire danger.
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You’d think January would be damp, right? Not this year. Because it hasn't rained significantly in weeks, the grass and brush around San Antonio are basically kindling.
Meteorologist Shelby Ebertowski from KSAT has pointed out that the combination of these gusty winds and the low humidity has pushed us into "Elevated Fire Weather" territory. Basically, if a spark starts in the grass today, the wind will turn it into a problem faster than you can call 211.
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Avoid any outdoor burning today. Even a tossed cigarette or a trailer chain dragging on the highway and sparking could cause a mess in these conditions.
Why did the rain miss us?
Weather in San Antonio is often a game of "just missed it." For rain to happen, you need three things: moisture, instability, and a "lift" (like a front). Today, we have the front, but the Gulf of Mexico moisture just didn't pull far enough north to meet it. The "deep" moisture is currently hugging the coast or staying further east toward Houston.
Looking ahead: When is the next actual rain chance?
If you’re a gardener or just someone who hates washing their car only for it to rain the next day, you’ve got a window of safety for a while. The dry pattern is sticking around through the upcoming weekend.
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The models are currently eyeing Monday night into Tuesday morning for the next real possibility of precipitation. Even then, the NWS is hinting that it might be light rain or even just a "cold drizzle." There’s some chatter in the long-range "spaghetti models" about a potential for wintery mix early next week, but for now, that’s mostly just speculation. For today, you’re looking at pure, dry Texas sunshine.
Actionable steps for San Antonians today:
- Ditch the umbrella: It's just extra weight today.
- Moisturize: That 20% humidity is going to wreak havoc on your skin and lips.
- Check your tires: Drastic temperature shifts (we’re going from a high of 70 today to a low of 41 tonight) often trigger those annoying "low pressure" sensors in your car.
- Mind the wind: If you're driving a high-profile vehicle on I-10 or Loop 1604, keep both hands on the wheel. Those northwest gusts can catch you off guard.
- Wait to wash the car: While it won't rain today, the wind is going to blow a lot of dust and pollen around. You might want to hold off until the winds die down on Thursday.
Enjoy the sunshine while it lasts. Even without the rain, the drop in temperature tonight will be a reminder that winter in San Antonio is finally deciding to show up, even if it's fashionably late.